Abstract
The paper contributes to the discussion on whether real interest rates below real growth rates can be taken as evidence of dynamic inefficiency so that some fiscal intervention may be called for. A seemingly killing objection points to land, a non-produced durable asset in positive supply, as a reason why dynamic inefficiency can be ruled out. If real interest rates were expected to be below real growth rates forever, the value of land would be unbounded, which is incompatible with equilibrium. The paper shows that this objection is not robust to the presence of an arbitrarily small per-unit-of-value transaction cost. The paper also specifies fiscal interventions that provide for Pareto improvements even though they involve a resource cost. For the debate about public debt policy, the land argument is a red herring because it is incompatible with the presence of fiat money and debt denominated in units of fiat money.
Acknowledgment
Without implicating them, I thank Peter Diamond, Christoph Engel, Christian Hellwig, Hans-Jürgen Hellwig, Christian von Weizsäcker, and two referees for very helpful advice.
Appendix A Proofs
Proof of Proposition 3.1.
I first show that, under the specified assumptions, for any E, a, π,
has a unique solution
If p is close to zero, the left-hand side of (A.2) is close to
Next I note that, if
in combination with the constraints in (2.2). Hence if p is equal to the solution
as well as
and
At this point, it is easy to see that the triples
To prove the claimed comparative-statics properties, I note that under the stated assumptions, an increase in E makes the left-hand side of (A.2) go down without affecting the right-hand side. Since, by the above argument, the difference between the left-hand side and the right-hand side is increasing in p. Following an increase in E, therefore, an increase in p is required to restore equality. An increase in
To see that
Proposition 3.2 follows immediately from Proposition 3.1.
Proof of Proposition 3.3 (a).
The line of argument is the same as in the proof of the First Welfare Theorem for competitive equilibria in a complete market system. Given that, for any
Given the stationarity of the equilibrium, with
where
If statement (a) of the proposition is false, there exists an alternative allocation
and, for
and at least one of the inequalities in (A.10) and (A.11) is strict. Because, for
and at least one of the inequalities in (A.10) and (A.12) is strict. The inequalities in (A.12) are equivalent to the inequalities
Upon adding these inequalities over
where the infinite sums are well defined because
which is incompatible with (3.8) holding for all
Proof of Proposition 3.3 (b).
Given the stationarity of the equilibrium, let
Upon setting
Proof of Proposition 4.1.
For uniqueness and for the comparative statics with respect to E, as well as the limit (4.8), the argument is the same as in the proof of Proposition 3.1, with equation (A.2) replaced by the equation
The details are left to the reader. For the comparative statics with respect to T and S, it suffices to observe that increases in T and S make the difference between the left-hand side and the right-hand side of (A.19) go up, so a decrease in p is needed to restore equality in (A.19). □
Proof of Proposition 4.2.
Dropping the dependence on other parameters, for any T, let
Thus, under the given assumptions on u and v,
for all T.
Since
and
it follows that
To assess the welfare implications of the fiscal intervention, I note that people born in date 0, i. e., the old generation at date 1, benefit from the change because their consumption is equal to
are computed as
Upon using (A.19) to substitute for
The second term on the right-hand side is positive because
or, equivalently,
The proposition follows immediately. □
From (A.20), one also finds that
Proof of Proposition 4.3.
The argument is the same as in the proof of Proposition 3.1, with equation (A.2) replaced by the equation
where
The proof of Propositions 4.4 and 4.5 will make use of the following lemma.
Lemma A.1.
Let
Proof.
The first-order condition for
Total differentiation yields
From the constraint, we also have
Upon combining (A.29) and (A.30), one obtains
and
The lemma follows immediately. □
Proof of Propositions 4.4 and 4.5.
Dropping the dependence on other parameters, for any τ, let
Because, with
Since
Proposition 4.4 follows because, with
The second statement of Proposition 4.5 follows from the observation that, as
Proof of Proposition 5.1.
Since
for all t. With stationarity, this equation takes the form
or
For a monetary equilibrium, q must be positive, i. e. we must have
By (A.34),
By the budget constraints in (2.2),
Conversely, suppose that
Using (A.34), (A.37) and the constraint
so
To see that this equilibrium Pareto-dominates the stationary equilibrium under laissez-faire without money, it suffices to observe that second-period consumption is higher – so generation 0 is better off – and the equilibrium rate of return on assets is also higher – so later generations are also better off.
Pareto efficiency follows by the arguments of Okuno and Zilcha (1980) for the case when the interest rate is equal to the growth rate of the economy. □
Appendix B A model with real capital bearing risky returns
In this appendix, I extend the model of Sections 2 and 3 to allow for real capital, a produced non-durable asset with risky returns. In any period t, a member of generation t can use some of the endowment E to make a real investment
To keep the exposition simple, I assume that utility functions are logarithmic, so in the absence of taxes and transfers generation
under the constraints
and
where, as before,
Using (B.3) and (B.4), one can rewrite (B.2) as
Given that the random variables
where
for all p. The associated values for consumption plans are
Lemma B.1.
Under the given assumptions about utility functions and about the random returns on real investments, for any
with
Proof.
By (B.6) and (B.7), the first term in (B.5) is equal to
The pair
If
so an increase in φ combined with an equal-sized decrease in ψ raises (B.8), proving that the pair
Maximization of (B.8) also requires
At any
Because the logarithmic function exhibits decreasing absolute risk aversion, by standard arguments, (B.9) implies that
Proposition B.2.
For given E, a, π,
If E is sufficiently large, the stationary-equilibrium net real rate of return on land,
is negative, and the stationary equilibrium is not weakly efficient.
Proof.
Market clearing requires that the (stationary) demand for land L be equal to the available stock
If p is close to zero,
for all π, and (B.10) follows because, by Lemma B.1,
The last statement of the proposition follows by the same argument as in Propositions 3.2 and 3.3. □
Remark B.3.
In any stationary equilibrium, whether efficient or not, the expected rate of return on real investment exceeds the real growth rate, i. e.,
Proposition B.4.
Suppose that E is large enough so that the stationary-equilibrium net real rate of return on land (B.11) under laissez-faire is negative, i. e.,
there exists a Pareto-dominating stationary equilibrium of the model with real investments and with logarithmic utility, with a lump-sum tax T in the first period of people’s lives and a lump-sum transfer S in the second period, such that the stationary equilibrium land price is
Proof.
Given T, S,
and
This is equivalent to the problem of maximizing (2.2) under the consolidated constraint
The consolidated constraint is exactly the same as in a situation without the lump-sum tax and transfer, but with the price
which is equal to the stock of land
Remark B.5.
Relative to the stationary equilibrium with lump-sum taxes and transfers in Proposition B.4, the laissez-faire equilibrium exhibits an overinvestment in real capital.
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© 2022 Walter de Gruyter GmbH, Berlin/Boston
Artikel in diesem Heft
- Frontmatter
- Original Articles
- Nudging openly – An experimental analysis of nudge transparency in a public goods setting
- Dynamic inefficiency and fiscal interventions in an economy with land and transaction costs
- “Thanks in advance” – The negative effect of a polite phrase on compliance with a request
- Sudden stop: When did firms anticipate the potential consequences of COVID-19?
- A direct measure of subjective business uncertainty
Artikel in diesem Heft
- Frontmatter
- Original Articles
- Nudging openly – An experimental analysis of nudge transparency in a public goods setting
- Dynamic inefficiency and fiscal interventions in an economy with land and transaction costs
- “Thanks in advance” – The negative effect of a polite phrase on compliance with a request
- Sudden stop: When did firms anticipate the potential consequences of COVID-19?
- A direct measure of subjective business uncertainty