Abstract
The major drawback of wind energy relies in its variability in time, which necessitates specific strategies to be settled. One such strategy can be the coordination of wind power production with a co-located power generation of dispatchable energy source (DES), e.g., thermal power station, combined heat and power plant, gas turbine or compressed air energy storage. In this paper, we consider an energy producer that generates power by means of a wind park and of a DES and sells the produced energy to an isolated grid. We determine the optimal quantity of energy produced by a DES, given the unit cost of this energy, that a power producer should buy and use to hedge against the risk inherent in the production of energy through wind turbines. We determine the optimal quantity by solving a static optimization problem taking into account the possible dependence between the amount of energy produced by wind turbines and electricity prices by using a copula function. Several particular cases are studied that allow the determination of the optimal solution in an analytical closed form. Finally, a numerical example concerning a real 48 MW wind farm located in Poland and Polish Power Exchange shows the possibility of implementing the model in real-life problems.
A Proofs
Proof of Lemma 2.1.
We have
where
(A.1)
Now we calculate the first-order derivative of
The use of the Leibniz formula for differentiation under an integral sign gives
The derivatives of the second addendum is
Interchange the limit and the derivatives and apply Leibniz’s formula for differentiation under an integral sign to obtain
The derivatives of the third addendum is
Apply Leibniz’s formula for differentiation under an integral sign to obtain
(A.4)
Now we have to calculate the derivatives of the fourth addendum:
(A.5)
The summation of formulas (A.2), (A.3), (A.4) and (A.5) and some algebraic manipulations gives
To prove the concavity of
where the latter inequality is due to Assumption 3. ∎
Proof of Lemma 3.1.
The objective is the computation of the integral
where the random variable
A change of variable (standardization)
where
This latter integral can be calculated by introducing again a standardization, i.e.
where Φ denotes the cdf of a standard Normal distribution. Therefore we have
where ϕ denotes the probability density function of a standard Normal distribution. The former integrals have been evaluated by [14] who established that
and
Then a simple substitution gives
References
[1] J. P. Barton and D. G. Infield, Energy storage and its use with intermittent renewable energy, IEEE Trans. Energy Conversion 19 (2004), no. 2, 441–448. 10.1109/TEC.2003.822305Search in Google Scholar
[2] G. D’Amico, F. Petroni and F. Prattico, Wind speed prediction for wind farm applications by extreme value theory and copulas, J. Wind Eng. Indus. Aerodynamics 145 (2015), 229–236. 10.1016/j.jweia.2015.06.018Search in Google Scholar
[3] G. D’Amico, F. Petroni and F. Prattico, Performance analysis of second order semi-Markov chains: An application to wind energy production, Methodol. Comput. Appl. Probab. 17 (2015), 781–794. 10.1007/s11009-013-9394-zSearch in Google Scholar
[4] G. D’Amico, F. Petroni and F. Prattico, Insuring wind energy production, Phys. A 467 (2017), 542–553. 10.1016/j.physa.2016.10.023Search in Google Scholar
[5] H. Ding, P. Pinson, Z. Hu and Y. Song, Optimal offering and operating strategies for wind-storage systems with linear decision rules, IEEE Trans. Power Syst. 31 (2016), no. 6, 4755–4764. 10.1109/TPWRS.2016.2521177Search in Google Scholar
[6] F. Durante and C. Sempi, Principles of Copula Theory, Chapman and Hall/CRC, Boca Raton, 2015. 10.1201/b18674Search in Google Scholar
[7] J. Garcia-Gonzalez, R. M. Ruiz de la Muela, L. M. Santos and A. M. Gonzalez, Stochastic joint optimization of wind generation and pumped-storage units in an electricity market, IEEE Trans. Power Syst. 23 (2008), no. 2, 460–468. 10.1109/TPWRS.2008.919430Search in Google Scholar
[8] F. Genoese and M. Genoese, Assessing the value of storage in a future energy system with a high share of renewable electricity generation. An agent-based simulation approach with integrated optimization methods, Energy Syst. 5 (2014), no. 1, 19–44. 10.1007/s12667-013-0076-2Search in Google Scholar
[9] F. Gismondi, J. Janssen, R. Manca and E. Volpe di Prignano, Stochastic cash flows modelled by homogeneous and non-homogeneous discrete time backward semi-Markov reward processes, SORT 38 (2014), no. 2, 107–138. Search in Google Scholar
[10] E. Hittinger, J. F. Whitacre and J. Apt, Compensating for wind variability using co-located natural gas generation and energy storage, Energy Syst. 1 (2010), no. 4, 417–439. 10.1007/s12667-010-0017-2Search in Google Scholar
[11] J. Kim, T. Song, T. Kim and S. Ro, Dynamic simulation of full startup procedure of heavy-duty gas turbines, J. Eng. Gas Turbines Power 124 (2002), no. 3, 510–516. 10.1115/1.1473150Search in Google Scholar
[12] M.-S. Lu, C.-L. Chang, W.-J. Lee and L. Wang, Combining the wind power generation system with energy storage equipment, IEEE Trans. Industry Appl. 45 (2009), no. 6, 10.1109/08IAS.2008.139. 10.1109/08IAS.2008.139Search in Google Scholar
[13] D. Morgenstern, Einfache Beispiele zweidimensionaler Verteilungen, Mitt. Math. Stat. 8 (1956), 234–235. Search in Google Scholar
[14] D. B. Owen, A table of normal integrals, Comm. Statist. Simulation Comput. B9 (1980), 389–419. 10.1080/03610918008812164Search in Google Scholar
[15] F. R. Pazheri, F. Othman, N. H. Malik, E. A. Al-Ammar and M. R. Rohikaa, Optimization of fuel cost and transmission loss in power dispatch with renewable energy and energy storage, International Conference on Green Technologies – ICGT12, IEEE Press, Piscataway (2013), 10-1109/ICGT.2012.6477988. 10-1109/ICGT.2012.6477988Search in Google Scholar
[16] A. Sklar, Fonctions de répartition a n dimensions et leurs marges, Publ. Inst. Stat. Univ. Paris 8 (1959), 229–231. Search in Google Scholar
[17] R. K. Sundaram, A First Course in Optimization Theory, Cambridge University, Cambridge, 1996. 10.1017/CBO9780511804526Search in Google Scholar
[18] Y. Wan, M. Milligan and B. Kirby, Impact of energy imbalance tariff on wind energy, Conference Paper NREL/CP-500-40663, 2007. Search in Google Scholar
[19] R. Weron, Electricity price forecasting: A review of the state-of-the-art with a look into the future, Int. J. Forecast. 30 (2014), no. 4, 1030–1081. 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2014.08.008Search in Google Scholar
[20] Welcome to the new normal: Negative electricity price, Elect. J. 31 (2018), no. 1, 94–94. Search in Google Scholar
© 2019 Walter de Gruyter GmbH, Berlin/Boston
Articles in the same Issue
- Frontmatter
- Notes on Cumulative Entropy as a Risk Measure
- Comparing Short and Long-Memory Charts to Monitor the Traffic Intensity of Single Server Queues
- Optimal Control of a Dispatchable Energy Source for Wind Energy Management
- Bounded M-O Extended Exponential Distribution with Applications
- On Some Characterizations of the Levy Distribution
Articles in the same Issue
- Frontmatter
- Notes on Cumulative Entropy as a Risk Measure
- Comparing Short and Long-Memory Charts to Monitor the Traffic Intensity of Single Server Queues
- Optimal Control of a Dispatchable Energy Source for Wind Energy Management
- Bounded M-O Extended Exponential Distribution with Applications
- On Some Characterizations of the Levy Distribution