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Strategic assessment of lithium-ion battery degradation: a data-driven optimization approach

  • Lijuan Wang EMAIL logo und Zhengyang Wang
Veröffentlicht/Copyright: 5. November 2025
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Abstract

The performance and lifespan of energy storage systems, including those used for renewable energy storage and electric vehicles, are significantly hampered by the capacity degradation of lithium-ion batteries. For the best battery management, lowest associated maintenance costs, and longest battery life, an accurate estimation of this degradation is required. In this study, in order to improve performance through hyperparameter tuning, the Lichtenberg Optimization Algorithm (LOA) is used to estimate the capacity degradation of lithium-ion batteries using machine learning (ML) techniques. To choose the best, the different ML models were compared using various performance metrics. Among the models, the LOA-XGBoost with the highest values of R2 (0.9384) and lowest values of MAE (0.0163), MSE (0.0041), RMSE (0.0640), and ME (0.8709) on testing database is the most efficient. The sensitivity analysis also demonstrated that environmental factors, such as the temperature of ambient and battery identification features like battery ID and test ID, contributed the most to degradation, while charge transfer resistance (Rct), traceable database reference (UID), and internal resistance (Re) contributed the least. This study shows how new optimization techniques, such as the Lichtenberg Optimization Algorithm, can be used to improve machine learning models and estimate battery capacity degradation more precisely.


Corresponding author: Lijuan Wang, Henan College of Transportation, Zhengzhou, Henan, 450045, China, E-mail:

Funding source: Henan College of Transportation 2024 College-Level Scientific Research Projects

Acknowledgments

Henan College of Transportation 2024 College-Level Scientific Research Projects 2024-ZDXM-021 Research and Practice on the New-Format E-Textbook Intelligent Connected Whole Vehicle Testing Technology.

  1. Research ethics: Research involving Human Participants and Animals: The observational study conducted on medical staff needs no ethical code. Therefore, the above study was not required to acquire ethical code.

  2. Informed consent: This option is not neccessary due to that the data were collected from the references.

  3. Author contributions: All authors contributed to the study’s conception and design. Data collection, simulation and analysis were performed by “Lijuan Wang and Zhengyang Wang”. Also, the first draft of the manuscript was written by Lijuan Wang. Zhengyang Wang commented on previous versions of the manuscript.

  4. Use of Large Language Models, AI and Machine Learning Tools: During the preparation of this work, the authors used Large Language Models, AI, and Machine Learning tools for tasks such as language refinement, data analysis, or figure generation, with all outputs being reviewed and validated by the authors to ensure accuracy and originality. After using these tools/services, the authors reviewed and edited the content and take full responsibility for the content of the published article.

  5. Conflict of interest: The authors declare no competing of interests.

  6. Research funding: This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.

  7. Data availability: The authors do not have permissions to share data.

Nomenclature

CatBoost

Categorical boosting

CCM

Coulomb counting method

EFB

Exclusive feature bundling

EV

Electric vehicles

GB

Gradient boosting

GOSS

Gradient-based one-sided sampling

HGB

Histogram gradient boosting

ID

Identifier

IQR

Interquartile range

LIB

Lithium-ion battery

LighGBM

Light gradient boosting machine

LOA

Lichtenberg optimization algorithm

MAE

Mean absolute error

ME

Maximum error

ML

Machine learning

MSE

Mean squared error

R2

Coefficient of determination

Rct

Charge transfer resistance

Re

Internal resistance

RF

Random forest

RMSE

Root mean squared error

SOC

State of charge

XGBoost

Extreme gradient boosting

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Received: 2025-05-14
Accepted: 2025-10-07
Published Online: 2025-11-05

© 2025 Walter de Gruyter GmbH, Berlin/Boston

Heruntergeladen am 30.11.2025 von https://www.degruyterbrill.com/document/doi/10.1515/cppm-2025-0120/html?lang=de
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