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Variations in tumor growth, intra-individual biological variability, and the interpretation of changes

  • Jaume Trapé EMAIL logo , Silvia Bérgamo , Carolina González-Fernández , José Rives and Laura González-García
Published/Copyright: February 19, 2024

Abstract

Objectives

The identification of changes in tumor markers (TMs) in cancer patients that indicate response to treatment, stabilization or disease progression is a challenge for laboratory medicine. Several approaches have been proposed: assessing percentage increases, applying discriminant values, and estimating half-life (t1/2) or doubling time (DT). In all of them it is assumed that the TM is a surrogate of the variation in tumor size. In general this variation is time-dependent, but this is not the case of intraindividual biological variability (CVi), which can range from 6 % in CA15-3 to 22 % in CA125. When decisions are made on the basis of DT or t1/2, these values can be affected by the CVi; if it is very large, the growth rate very slow and the period of time between determinations very short, the result obtained for DT may be due mainly to the CVi. The aim of this study is to establish the relationship between the CVi and temporal variables.

Methods

We related equations for calculating DT and t1/2 to the reference change values in tumor markers.

Results

The application of the formula obtained allows the calculation of the optimal time between measurements to ensure that the influence of the CVi is minimal in different types of tumors and different scenarios.

Conclusions

Intraindividual variation affects the calculation of DT and t1/2. It is necessary to establish the minimum time between two measurements to ensure that the CVi does not affect their calculation or lead to misinterpretation.


Corresponding author: Jaume Trapé, Laboratory Medicine Department, Althaia Xarxa Assistencial Universitària de Manresa, Dr Joan Soler 1–3 08243, Manresa, Catalonia, Spain; Tissue Repair and Regeneration Laboratory (TR2Lab), Centre for Health and Social Care Research (CESS), University of Vic – Central University of Catalonia, Institut de Recerca i Innovació en Ciències de la Vida i de la Salut a la Catalunya Central (IRIS-CC), Vic, Spain; and Faculty of Medicine, University of Vic – Central University of Catalonia, Vic, Spain, E-mail:

  1. Research ethics: Not applicable.

  2. Informed consent: Not applicable.

  3. Author contributions: JT designed the study and wrote the paper. SB, CG-F, LG-G, JR-J revised the manuscript critically for important intellectual content and approved its submission. JT accept responsibility for the entire content of this manuscript. The authors have accepted responsibility for the entire content of this manuscript and approved its submission.

  4. Competing interests: The authors state no conflict of interest.

  5. Research funding: None declared.

  6. Data availability: Not applicable.

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Received: 2023-07-24
Accepted: 2024-02-02
Published Online: 2024-02-19
Published in Print: 2024-07-26

© 2024 Walter de Gruyter GmbH, Berlin/Boston

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