Startseite Development and validation of a multivariable prediction rule for detecting a severe acquired ADAMTS13 activity deficiency in patients with thrombotic microangiopathies
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Development and validation of a multivariable prediction rule for detecting a severe acquired ADAMTS13 activity deficiency in patients with thrombotic microangiopathies

  • Jorge M. Nieto ORCID logo EMAIL logo , Félix De La Fuente-Gonzalo ORCID logo , Fernando A. González , Ana Villegas , Rafael Martínez , Manuel E. Fuentes und Paloma Ropero
Veröffentlicht/Copyright: 10. August 2017
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Abstract

Background:

Thrombotic microangiopathies (TMAs) are a group of diseases that have different aetiologies and treatments, but a clinical differential diagnosis remains difficult. Among TMAs, thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura (TTP) is characterised by a severe ADAMTS13 functional deficiency. However, assays exploring ADAMTS13 activity are limited to some specialised laboratories. Our objective was to develop and validate a diagnostic method for TTP in adult patients with TMA.

Methods:

We generated a multivariable model (four predictors) on a cohort of 174 TMA patients in order to predict an ADAMTS13 activity deficiency (AUC of 0.927). The multivariable model was simplified into a binary rule to facilitate the interpretation of the predictions. There were two scenarios for a patient: (1) Predicted ADAMTS13 deficiency; if the patient met four conditions simultaneously (platelets ≤44×109/L, creatinine ≤2 mg/dL (≤176.84 µmol/L) for males or ≤1.9 mg/dL (≤168 µmol/L) for females, age ≤68 years and no history of haematopoietic stem cell transplant [HSCT]); or (2) Predicted “normal” activity; if any of the above conditions are not met. This rule was validated on a second cohort of 86 patients and performed with sensitivity of 87.7% and specificity of 92.7%.

Results and conclusions:

This could lead to the earlier confirmation or rapid exclusion of TTP when ADAMTS13 testing is not avalilable, facilitating a more suitable therapy based on the aetiology of the TMA.

  1. Author contributions: All the authors have accepted responsibility for the entire content of this submitted manuscript and approved submission.

  2. Research funding: None declared.

  3. Employment or leadership: None declared.

  4. Honorarium: None declared.

  5. Competing interests: Jorge M. Nieto, Ana Villegas, Fernando A. González and Félix De La Fuente-Gonzalo have received fees for acting as speakers for Alexion Pharmaceuticals Inc. Paloma Ropero, Manuel E. Ferrer and Rafael Martínez declare no conflict of interest. The funding organization(s) played no role in the study design; in the collection, analysis, and interpretation of data; in the writing of the report; or in the decision to submit the report for publication.

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Supplemental Material:

The online version of this article offers supplementary material (https://doi.org/10.1515/cclm-2017-0437).


Received: 2017-05-17
Accepted: 2017-07-05
Published Online: 2017-08-10
Published in Print: 2018-01-26

©2018 Walter de Gruyter GmbH, Berlin/Boston

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