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The Effect of the Second Child on the Anthropometric Outcomes and Nutrition Intake of the First Child: Evidence from the Relaxation of the One-Child Policy in Rural China

  • Cheng Chen EMAIL logo , Shin-Yi Chou , Cheng Wang and Wangyang Zhao
Published/Copyright: November 16, 2019

Abstract

This paper attempts to isolate the actual effect of the second child on the anthropometric outcomes and nutrition intake of the first child in rural China, using an exogenous increase in child quantity due to the relaxation of the One-Child Policy (OCP). We utilize both temporal and geographic variation in the OCP, as families are less likely to have the second child if the OCP in their community is strictly enforced after the birth of their first child. Based on a sample of children aged 6–17 from the 1991–2009 China Health and Nutrition Survey, we find that an increase in the number of children significantly decreases the weight and height of first-born girls, but not first-born boys. The worse anthropometric outcomes could be due to the change in the dietary pattern—compared with the only children, first-born girls in two-child families tend to intake less high-fat and high-protein food (e. g. meats, poultry, and milk).

JEL Classification: I12; J13; O1

Acknowledgements

This research uses data from the China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS). We thank the National Institute of Nutrition and Food Safety, China Center for Disease Control and Prevention; the Carolina Population Center, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; the National Institutes of Health (NIH; R01-HD30880, DK056350, and R01-HD38700); and the Fogarty International Center, NIH, for financial support for the CHNS data collection and analysis files since 1989. We thank those parties, the China-Japan Friendship Hospital, and the Ministry of Health for support for CHNS 2009. We thank two anonymous reviewers, the editor, Mariapia Mendola, and participants at the Lehigh University Economics Department seminar for their helpful comments and suggestions. All errors are our own.

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A Appendix

Figure 3: The number of newborns from 1929 to 2014 in China.Source. National Bureau of Statistics of China.
Figure 3:

The number of newborns from 1929 to 2014 in China.

Source. National Bureau of Statistics of China.

Figure 4: The changes in China’s demography over time.Source. The World Bank (www.worldbank.org).
Figure 4:

The changes in China’s demography over time.

Source. The World Bank (www.worldbank.org).

Table 9:

Different versions of food composition table.

Our classification1981 Version1991 Version2002 Version
(1)CerealCerealCerealCereal
(2)Dried beanDried beanDried beanDried bean
(3)VegetablesFresh beanFresh beanPotato and starch
RootsRootsVegetables
Stem, leaves, and flowersStem, leaves, and flowers
MelonsMelons
Solanaceous vegetablesSolanaceous vegetables
Starch
(4)Bacteria and algaeBacteria and algaeBacteria and algaeBacteria and algae
(5)Fruit, nuts, and seedsFruit and dried fruitFruit and dried fruitFruit
NutsNutsNuts and seeds
(6)MeatsMeatsMeatsMeats
(7)PoultryPoultryPoultryPoultry
(8)MilkMilkMilkMilk
Milk substitute
(9)EggsEggsEggsEggs
(10)Fish and seafoodFishFishFish, shrimps, crabs, and mollusks
MollusksMollusks
Shrimps and crabsShrimps and crabs
(11)OthersPicklesPicklesFood for infants
Condiment and othersFood for infantsSavory snack foods and biscuits
GreaseFast food
Savory snack foods and biscuitsDrinks
Tea and drinksAlcoholic drinks
Alcoholic drinkscandies
CandiesGrease
CondimentCondiment
Medicinal foodMedicinal food
Others
Table 10:

First-stage results for the main specification.

Dependent variable: sibling
GirlBoy
Policy0.233***0.084**
(0.038)(0.043)
Child’s age0.090**0.102***
(0.041)(0.037)
Child’s age squared–0.002–0.003**
(0.002)(0.002)
Log of household income–0.0060.005
(0.019)(0.015)
Mother’s age at first birth–0.016***0.003
(0.005)(0.005)
Mother’s BMI0.002–0.001
(0.005)(0.005)
Mother’s year of schooling–0.010**–0.011***
(0.005)(0.004)
Province fixed effectYesYes
Wave fixed effectYesYes
Community characteristicsYesYes
Observations764857
  1. Note. Standard errors, reported in parentheses, are adjusted for clustering by 9 province cells. ***p < 0.01; **p < 0.05; *p < 0.1.

Table 11:

The effects of community characteristics on the relaxtion of the OCP.

Dependent variable: the relaxation of the OCP
(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)
Population density–0.03
(0.02)
Economic activity–0.03
(0.02)
Traditional markets0.01
(0.02)
Modern markets0.00
(0.01)
Transportation infrastructure–0.02
(0.01)
Sanitation–0.03
(0.02)
Communications–0.02
(0.03)
Housing–0.03
(0.02)
Education–0.09
(0.04)
Diversity–0.07*
(0.03)
Health infrastructure–0.02
(-0.01)
Social services–0.05*
(0.02)
Observations149149149149149149149149149149149149
  1. Note. Data are aggregated into the community level. Standard errors, reported in parentheses, are adjusted for clustering by 9 provinces. All regressions include province fixed effects and wave fixed effects. ***p < 0.01; **p < 0.05; *p < 0.1.

Table 12:

Summary statistics of first-born girls in two-child families.

Entire sampleAbove-quota birthsMiddle class and aboveWith mother finishing high schoolWith a younger brotherWith a younger sisterMigration family
(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)
Panel A: Weight and height
Standardized weight–0.723–0.828–0.562–0.681–0.690–0.668–0.547
Standardized height–0.539–0.725–0.352–0.459–0.554–0.482–0.585
Panel B: Percentage of nutrition intake (%)
Fat14.06714.19515.35515.32114.24813.46315.648
Protein13.80814.31614.29314.64713.81213.74012.534
Carbohydrate72.12571.48970.35270.03271.94072.79771.818
Panel C: Percentage of food intake (%)
Cereal44.10742.27742.36241.65244.45743.15443.465
Dried bean4.5644.7884.7205.2234.4964.7483.078
Vegetables35.05935.11233.91332.67035.13134.86442.106
Bacteria and algae0.3040.3220.2990.4140.2890.3440.152
Fruit, nuts, and seeds2.7972.3873.3383.3002.3434.0310.729
Meats5.3767.0545.9046.8785.4095.2863.753
Poultry0.7221.0340.8490.8410.6700.8090.691
Milk0.2150.1930.2830.4630.1630.3570.000
Eggs2.4812.3063.3792.9562.4302.6212.268
Fish and seafood1.8881.9971.9672.4801.9731.6572.483
Others2.4872.5232.9863.1242.6182.1281.273
Observations37411617618228310216
Published Online: 2019-11-16

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