Abstract
We analyze the incumbency advantage using a large data set on Italian municipal elections held from 1993 to 2011. We first apply a non-parametric Sharp Regression Discontinuity Design comparing parties that barely win an election to those that barely lose, exploiting the fact that partisan incumbency status changes discontinuously at the threshold of margin of victory of zero. In order to disentangle the personal incumbency advantage from the partisan effect, we rely on a reform that introduced mayoral term limit, and exploit the exogenous change on the incumbency status of mayors keeping the partisan incumbency status constant. We find that the incumbency advantage is essentially driven by the personal effect. The results are robust to different specifications and estimation strategies with excellent balance in observable characteristics. Also, the effect of interest is larger in magnitude for municipalities located in the South of Italy compared to northern municipalities.
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- Endogenous Equity Shares in Cournot Competition: Welfare Analysis and Policy
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- Letter
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- Executive Compensation and Labor Expenses
- A Note on Productive and Dynamic Inefficiencies of Intermediate Regulatory Sanctions
Articles in the same Issue
- Research-articles
- Minimum Wages and Nascent Entrepreneurship in the US
- Social Status Perception and Individual Social Capital: Evidence from the US
- Endogenous Equity Shares in Cournot Competition: Welfare Analysis and Policy
- Personal or Partisan Incumbency Advantage? Evidence from an Electoral Reform at the Local Level in Italy
- Knowledge Obsolescence and Women’s Occupational Sorting: New Evidence from Citation Data
- The Effect of the Second Child on the Anthropometric Outcomes and Nutrition Intake of the First Child: Evidence from the Relaxation of the One-Child Policy in Rural China
- The Challenge of Organizing Elderly Care Programmes: Optimal Policy Design under Complete and Asymmetric Information
- Too Much Stick for the Carrot? Job Search Requirements and Search Behaviour of Unemployment Benefit Claimants
- Assessing Higher Education Policy in Brazil: A Mixed Oligopoly Approach
- Inheritance Taxation in a Model with Intergenerational Time Transfers
- Habits Do Not Die Easily: The Economics of Table Soccer
- Effects of Alcohol Taxation on Prices: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Pass-Through Rates
- Letter
- The Role of Optimism and Pessimism in the Substitution Between Primary and Secondary Health Prevention Efforts
- Executive Compensation and Labor Expenses
- A Note on Productive and Dynamic Inefficiencies of Intermediate Regulatory Sanctions