CONTENTS

Chapters in this book

1. Frontmatter i
2. CONTENTS v
3. PREFACE vii
4. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS xi
5. ONE. Introduction: Politics and Science 1
6. TWO. A Prediction Contained, 1976-1979 7
7. THREE. The Stakes Increase, 1979 26
8. FOUR. Bureaucratic Politics Takes Over, 1980 43
9. FIVE. Late 1980: The Prediction Goes Public—in the U.S. 67
10. SIX. Brady's 1981 "Trial": The First Day 82
11. SEVEN. Hardball: The Second Day of the Trial 103
12. EIGHT. The Controversy Continues 120
13. NINE. “Doomsday” Approaches —and Passes 140
14. TEN. Reflections 159
15. NOTES 167
16. INDEX 185