Contents

Chapters in this book

1. Frontmatter i
2. Contents vii
3. Acknowledgments ix
4. Preface xi
5. Chapter 1. Quantifying the Unquantifiable 1
6. Chapter 2. The Ego-deflating Challenge of Radical Skepticism 25
7. Chapter 3. Knowing the Limits of One’s Knowledge 67
8. Chapter 4. Honoring Reputational Bets 121
9. Chapter 5. Contemplating Counterfactuals 144
10. Chapter 6. The Hedgehogs Strike Back 164
11. Chapter 7. Are We Open-minded Enough to Acknowledge the Limits of Open-mindedness? 189
12. Chapter 8. Exploring the Limits on Objectivity and Accountability 216
13. Methodological Appendix 239
14. Technical Appendix 273
15. Index 313