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Chapters in this book
- Frontmatter i
- Contents v
- Acknowledgments ix
- Contributors and Participants xi
- 1 Models in Ecosystem Science 1
-
Part 1 The Status and Role of Modeling in Ecosystem Science
- 2 The Role of Quantitative Models in Science 11
- 3 The Status of Dynamic Quantitative Modeling in Ecolo 32
- 4 The Utility of Simple Models in Ecosystem Science 49
- 5 In Praise of Mechanistically Rich Models 63
- 6 Modeling for Synthesis and Integration: Forests, People, and Riparian Coarse Woody Debris 83
- 7 The Role of Models in Prediction for Decision 111
-
Part II Evaluating Ecosystem Models
- 8 Propagation and Analysis of Uncertainty in Ecosystem Models 137
- 9 Bayesian Approaches in Ecological Analysis and Modeling 168
- 10 Model Validation and Testing: Past Lessons, Present Concerns, Future Prospects 184
- 11 Standards of Practice for Review and Publication of Models: Summary of Discussion 204
- 12 The Collision of Hypotheses: What Can Be Learned from Comparisons of Ecosystem Models? 211
- 13 Evaluating and Testing Models of Terrestrial Biogeochemistry: The Role of Temperature in Controlling Decomposition 225
- 14 Representing Biogeochemical Diversity and Size Spectra in Ecosystem Models of the Ocean Carbon Cycle 254
- 15 The Mass Balances of Nutrients in Ecosystem Theory and Experiments: Implications for the Coexistence of Species 272
-
Part III The Role of Models in Environmental Policy and Management
- 16 The Role of Models in Ecosystem Management 297
- 17 The Role of Models in Addressing Critical N Loading to Ecosystems 308
- 18 The Role of Models in Addressing Coastal Eutrophication 327
- 19 Quantitative Models in Ecological Toxicology: Application in Ecological Risk Assessment 344
- 20 Effects of Plant Invaders on Nutrient Cycling: Using Models to Explore the Link between Invasion and Development of Species Effects 363
- 21 Predicting the Ecosystem Effects of Climate Change 385
-
Part IV The Future of Modeling in Ecosystem Science
- 22 The Role of Modeling in Undergraduate Education 411
- 23 Increasing Modeling Savvy: Strategies to Advance Quantitative Modeling Skills for Professionals within Ecology 428
- 24 The Limits to Models in Ecology 437
-
Part V Concluding Comments
- 25 The Need for Fast-and-Frugal Models 453
- 26 On the Benefits and Limitations of Prediction 461
- 27 A Community-Wide Investment in Modeling 466
- Index 471
Chapters in this book
- Frontmatter i
- Contents v
- Acknowledgments ix
- Contributors and Participants xi
- 1 Models in Ecosystem Science 1
-
Part 1 The Status and Role of Modeling in Ecosystem Science
- 2 The Role of Quantitative Models in Science 11
- 3 The Status of Dynamic Quantitative Modeling in Ecolo 32
- 4 The Utility of Simple Models in Ecosystem Science 49
- 5 In Praise of Mechanistically Rich Models 63
- 6 Modeling for Synthesis and Integration: Forests, People, and Riparian Coarse Woody Debris 83
- 7 The Role of Models in Prediction for Decision 111
-
Part II Evaluating Ecosystem Models
- 8 Propagation and Analysis of Uncertainty in Ecosystem Models 137
- 9 Bayesian Approaches in Ecological Analysis and Modeling 168
- 10 Model Validation and Testing: Past Lessons, Present Concerns, Future Prospects 184
- 11 Standards of Practice for Review and Publication of Models: Summary of Discussion 204
- 12 The Collision of Hypotheses: What Can Be Learned from Comparisons of Ecosystem Models? 211
- 13 Evaluating and Testing Models of Terrestrial Biogeochemistry: The Role of Temperature in Controlling Decomposition 225
- 14 Representing Biogeochemical Diversity and Size Spectra in Ecosystem Models of the Ocean Carbon Cycle 254
- 15 The Mass Balances of Nutrients in Ecosystem Theory and Experiments: Implications for the Coexistence of Species 272
-
Part III The Role of Models in Environmental Policy and Management
- 16 The Role of Models in Ecosystem Management 297
- 17 The Role of Models in Addressing Critical N Loading to Ecosystems 308
- 18 The Role of Models in Addressing Coastal Eutrophication 327
- 19 Quantitative Models in Ecological Toxicology: Application in Ecological Risk Assessment 344
- 20 Effects of Plant Invaders on Nutrient Cycling: Using Models to Explore the Link between Invasion and Development of Species Effects 363
- 21 Predicting the Ecosystem Effects of Climate Change 385
-
Part IV The Future of Modeling in Ecosystem Science
- 22 The Role of Modeling in Undergraduate Education 411
- 23 Increasing Modeling Savvy: Strategies to Advance Quantitative Modeling Skills for Professionals within Ecology 428
- 24 The Limits to Models in Ecology 437
-
Part V Concluding Comments
- 25 The Need for Fast-and-Frugal Models 453
- 26 On the Benefits and Limitations of Prediction 461
- 27 A Community-Wide Investment in Modeling 466
- Index 471