Abstract
This study, using data from the China Education Panel Survey, examines the impact of peers with severe sickness experience within the classroom on the mental health of middle school students. To address endogeneity issues and establish causal inference, we focus on a sample of schools where students are randomly assigned to classes. Our results indicate that a one standard deviation increase in the share of peers with severe sickness experience in the classroom reduces students’ standardized indexes of mental health by 0.07 standard deviations. To explore potential mechanisms, we examine the classroom environment and teachers’ teaching behavior. Our findings indicate that exposure to peers with severe sickness experience deteriorates the classroom environment, but no significant effect is found on teachers’ teaching behavior.
Funding source: National Social Science Fund of China
Award Identifier / Grant number: No. 23 & ZD183
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Conflict of interest: The authors have no relevant financial or non-financial interests to disclose.
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Research funding: This work is funded by the Major Program of the National Social Science Fund of China (Grant No. 23 & ZD183).
Appendix A: Additional Figures and Tables
see Figures A1 and A2, Tables A1–A12.

Distribution of the number and share of students with severe sickness experience. Note. Data are from the 2013–2014 CEPS. The figures plot the distributions of the number and share of students with severe sickness experience.

Placebo test. Note. Data are from the 2013–2014 CEPS. The figure plots the distribution of mental health index coefficients and corresponding p-values from 1,000 regressions, each conducted after randomly reassigning the share of peers with severe sickness experience across classes within each school. The vertical dashed lines represent the baseline estimates for the corresponding outcomes (Columns 3 and 7 of Table 3).
Comparison of average health and academic outcomes between students with severe sickness experience and students who repeated a grade in primary school.
| Students with severe sickness experience(1) | Students who repeated a grade in primary school(2) | |
|---|---|---|
| Panel A. Mental health | ||
| Average index | −0.337 | −0.127 |
| PCA index | −0.338 | −0.126 |
| Panel B. Physical health | ||
| Physical health (self-report) | 0.576 | 0.685 |
| Physical health (parents’ assessments) | 0.547 | 0.673 |
| Height-for-age | −0.247 | −0.242 |
| Panel C. Test scores | ||
| Chinese | −0.083 | −0.219 |
| Mathematics | −0.134 | −0.179 |
| English | −0.083 | −0.267 |
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Data are from the 2013–2014 CEPS. The sample used here is identical to that in the main analysis. Variable definitions and construction details are provided in Section 3.
Characteristics of random sample and full CEPS sample.
| Random sample | Full CEPS sample | |
|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | |
| Panel A. School characteristics | ||
| # of schools | 63 | 112 |
| Type of schools | ||
| Public school | 92.06 % | 92.86 % |
| Private school | 7.94 % | 7.14 % |
| Rank of schools | ||
| Medium and below | 19.05 % | 21.43 % |
| Top middle ranking | 57.14 % | 59.82 % |
| Top | 23.81 % | 18.75 % |
| School principal | ||
| Gender (Male = 1) | 79.37 % | 82.57 % |
| Education | 5.52 | 5.41 |
| Working experience | 24.76 | 24.56 |
| Whether school principal graduated from a normal college (Yes = 1) | 100 % | 99.07 % |
| Panel B. Class characteristics | ||
| # of classes | 194 | 438 |
| Head teacher characteristics | ||
| Age | 37.53 | 37.16 |
| Gender (Male = 1) | 31.96 % | 34.02 % |
| Education | 5.44 | 5.39 |
| Working experience | 15.85 | 15.87 |
| Marital status (Married = 1) | 90.72 % | 89.24 % |
| Student characteristics | ||
| Age | 13.91 | 13.90 |
| Gender (Male = 1) | 49.73 % | 51.53 % |
| Minority (Yes = 1) | 10.90 % | 8.73 % |
| Local student (Yes = 1) | 81.27 % | 82.04 % |
| Whether fathers have a college education or above (Yes = 1) | 21.30 % | 15.39 % |
| Whether mothers have a college education or above (Yes = 1) | 18.49 % | 12.91 % |
| Low-income family (Yes = 1) | 15.32 % | 21.31 % |
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Data are from the 2013–2014 CEPS.
Principal components of the mental health index.
| Component | Eigenvalue | Difference | Proportion | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Factor1 | 3.27 | 2.70 | 0.65 | 0.65 |
| Factor2 | 0.57 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.77 |
| Factor3 | 0.45 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.86 |
| Factor4 | 0.36 | 0.02 | 0.07 | 0.93 |
| Factor5 | 0.35 | 0.07 | 1.00 |
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Data are from the 2013–2014 CEPS.
Contribution of each variable and Kaiser-Meyer-Olkin measure of sampling adequacy.
| Variable | Factor1 | Uniqueness | KMO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blue | 0.83 | 0.32 | 0.86 |
| Depressed | 0.82 | 0.33 | 0.85 |
| Unhappy | 0.84 | 0.29 | 0.86 |
| Perceiving life as meaningless | 0.74 | 0.45 | 0.89 |
| Sad | 0.81 | 0.34 | 0.87 |
| Overall | 0.86 |
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Data are from the 2013–2014 CEPS.
The correlation between severe sickness experience and student characteristics.
| Severe sickness experience | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | (8) | (9) | (10) | (11) | (12) | |
| Age | 0.014** | 0.010 | ||||||||||
| (0.006) | (0.006) | |||||||||||
| Gender | 0.003 | −0.002 | ||||||||||
| (0.006) | (0.006) | |||||||||||
| Minority | −0.002 | −0.003 | ||||||||||
| (0.013) | (0.013) | |||||||||||
| Local student | 0.003 | 0.006 | ||||||||||
| (0.009) | (0.009) | |||||||||||
| Only child | −0.002 | 0.000 | ||||||||||
| (0.006) | (0.007) | |||||||||||
| Owing computer | −0.016* | −0.012 | ||||||||||
| (0.009) | (0.009) | |||||||||||
| Suspension in primary school | 0.125*** | 0.122*** | ||||||||||
| (0.023) | (0.022) | |||||||||||
| Grade repetition in primary school | 0.022* | 0.009 | ||||||||||
| (0.013) | (0.013) | |||||||||||
| Whether fathers have a college education or above | −0.003 | 0.002 | ||||||||||
| (0.008) | (0.008) | |||||||||||
| Whether mothers have a college education or above | −0.008 | −0.006 | ||||||||||
| (0.008) | (0.009) | |||||||||||
| Low-income family | 0.030*** | 0.027** | ||||||||||
| (0.011) | (0.011) | |||||||||||
| School-grade fixed effects | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| R 2 | 0.076 | 0.075 | 0.075 | 0.075 | 0.075 | 0.075 | 0.082 | 0.075 | 0.075 | 0.075 | 0.076 | 0.084 |
| Observations | 7,348 | 7,348 | 7,348 | 7,348 | 7,348 | 7,348 | 7,348 | 7,348 | 7,348 | 7,348 | 7,348 | 7,348 |
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Data are from the 2013–2014 CEPS. The dependent variable is a dummy indicating whether a student experienced severe sickness before primary school. All regressions include school-grade fixed effects. Standard errors in parentheses are clustered at the class level. ***, **, and *denote statistical significance at the 1 %, 5 %, and 10 % level, respectively.
The correlation between severe sickness experience and students’ human capital performance.
| Average index of mental health | PCA index of mental health | Physical health (self-report) | Physical health (parents’ assessments) | Height-for-age | Chinese | Mathematics | English | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | (8) | |
| Severe sickness experience | −0.397*** | −0.397*** | −0.154*** | −0.179*** | −0.154*** | −0.097** | −0.158*** | −0.098** |
| (0.045) | (0.044) | (0.022) | (0.020) | (0.058) | (0.046) | (0.046) | (0.043) | |
| School-grade fixed effects | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| R 2 | 0.011 | 0.011 | 0.061 | 0.102 | 0.064 | 0.001 | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Observations | 7,348 | 7,348 | 7,291 | 7,229 | 7,116 | 7,154 | 7,157 | 7,157 |
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Data are from the 2013–2014 CEPS. Each column presents the results from a separate regression. All regressions include school-grade fixed effects. Standard errors in parentheses are clustered at the class level. ***, **, and *denote statistical significance at the 1 %, 5 %, and 10 % level, respectively.
Permutation test.
| (1) | |
|---|---|
| Age | 0.472 |
| Gender | 0.476 |
| Minority | 0.246 |
| Local student | 0.461 |
| Only child | 0.478 |
| Owning computer | 0.456 |
| Suspension in primary school | 0.293 |
| Grade repetition in primary school | 0.329 |
| Whether fathers have a college education or above | 0.347 |
| Whether mothers have a college education or above | 0.335 |
| Low-income family | 0.417 |
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Data are from the 2013–2014 CEPS.
The correlation between mental health and student characteristics.
| Average index | PCA index | |
|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | |
| Age | −0.048** | −0.048** |
| (0.021) | (0.021) | |
| Gender | 0.044* | 0.049* |
| (0.025) | (0.025) | |
| Minority | −0.036 | −0.037 |
| (0.053) | (0.053) | |
| Local student | 0.051 | 0.052 |
| (0.039) | (0.039) | |
| Only child | 0.003 | 0.003 |
| (0.029) | (0.029) | |
| Owing computer | −0.005 | −0.005 |
| (0.034) | (0.034) | |
| Suspension in primary school | −0.091 | −0.090 |
| (0.064) | (0.064) | |
| Grade repetition in primary school | −0.125** | −0.124** |
| (0.048) | (0.048) | |
| Whether fathers have a college education or above | 0.069* | 0.067 |
| (0.042) | (0.042) | |
| Whether mothers have a college education or above | 0.038 | 0.039 |
| (0.045) | (0.045) | |
| Low-income family | −0.156*** | −0.157*** |
| (0.036) | (0.036) | |
| School-grade fixed effects | Yes | Yes |
| R 2 | 0.010 | 0.010 |
| Observations | 6,758 | 6,758 |
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Data are from the 2013–2014 CEPS. The dependent variables are average index and PCA index of mental health. All regressions include school-grade fixed effects. Standard errors in parentheses are clustered at the class level. ***, **, and *denote statistical significance at the 1 %, 5 %, and 10 % level, respectively.
The effects of peers without severe sickness experience on the mental health of students with severe sickness experience.
| Average index | PCA index | |
|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | |
| Share of peers without severe sickness experience | 0.092 | 0.095 |
| (0.113) | (0.113) | |
| Student controls | Yes | Yes |
| Class controls | Yes | Yes |
| School-grade fixed effects | Yes | Yes |
| R 2 | 0.160 | 0.159 |
| Observations | 590 | 590 |
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Data are from the 2013–2014 CEPS. Each column presents the results from a separate regression. Student controls include students’ age and dummy variables indicating gender, minority, local student, only child, whether they own computer, whether they were suspended in primary school, whether they repeated a grade in primary school, whether fathers have a college education or above, whether mothers have a college education or above, and whether they come from a low-income family. Class controls include head teacher’s age, gender, education, working experience, marital status, and whether the class is large. All regressions include school-grade fixed effects. Standard errors in parentheses are clustered at the class level. ***, **, and *denote statistical significance at the 1 %, 5 %, and 10 % level, respectively.
The effects of the number of peers with severe sickness experience on students’ mental health.
| Average index | PCA index | |
|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | |
| Number of peers with severe sickness experience | −0.019** | −0.019** |
| (0.008) | (0.008) | |
| Student controls | Yes | Yes |
| Class controls | Yes | Yes |
| School-grade fixed effects | Yes | Yes |
| R 2 | 0.012 | 0.012 |
| Observations | 6,758 | 6,758 |
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Data are from the 2013–2014 CEPS. Each column presents the results from a separate regression. Student controls include students’ age and dummy variables indicating gender, minority, local student, only child, whether they own computer, whether they were suspended in primary school, whether they repeated a grade in primary school, whether fathers have a college education or above, whether mothers have a college education or above, and whether they come from a low-income family. Class controls include head teacher’s age, gender, education, working experience, marital status, and whether the class is large. All regressions include school-grade fixed effects. Standard errors in parentheses are clustered at the class level. ***, **, and *denote statistical significance at the 1 %, 5 %, and 10 % level, respectively.
Tests for sample attrition.
| Attrition dummy | |
|---|---|
| (1) | |
| Share of peers with severe sickness experience | 0.010 |
| (0.016) | |
| School-grade fixed effects | Yes |
| R 2 | 0.092 |
| Observations | 7,741 |
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Data are from the 2013–2014 CEPS. Each column presents the results from a separate regression. All regressions include school-grade fixed effects. Standard errors in parentheses are clustered at the class level. ***, **, and *denote statistical significance at the 1 %, 5 %, and 10 % level, respectively.
The effects of peers with severe sickness experience on detail items of mental health.
| Blue | Depressed | Unhappy | Perceiving life as meaningless | Sad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | |
| Share of peers with severe sickness experience | −0.086** | −0.071* | −0.065 | −0.107** | −0.074** |
| (0.035) | (0.037) | (0.040) | (0.046) | (0.033) | |
| Student controls | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Class controls | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| School-grade fixed effects | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| R 2 | 0.062 | 0.068 | 0.065 | 0.051 | 0.062 |
| Observations | 6,758 | 6,758 | 6,758 | 6,758 | 6,758 |
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Data are from the 2013–2014 CEPS. Each column presents the results from a separate regression. Student controls include students’ age and dummy variables indicating gender, minority, local student, only child, whether they own computer, whether they were suspended in primary school, whether they repeated a grade in primary school, whether fathers have a college education or above, whether mothers have a college education or above, and whether they come from a low-income family. Class controls include head teacher’s age, gender, education, working experience, marital status, and whether the class is large. All regressions include school-grade fixed effects. Standard errors in parentheses are clustered at the class level. ***, **, and *denote statistical significance at the 1 %, 5 %, and 10 % level, respectively.
Appendix B: Additional Analysis for 9th Grade Sample
The differential effects between the 7th- and 9th-grade samples may reflect potential selection issues. To address this concern, we restrict the analysis to 9th-grade students and conduct two balance tests to assess the randomness of classroom assignment, following the procedures outlined in Section 4.2. First, we re-estimate the balance test based on the student pre-determined characteristics. If non-random selection is present, we would expect a significant correlation between the share of peers with severe sickness experience and students’ pre-determined characteristics. However, as shown in Column 2 of Table B1, and consistent with the results in Column 2 of Table 2, most of the characteristics of 9th-grade students are not significantly correlated with the share of peers with severe sickness experience once school-by-grade fixed effects are included. These findings suggest that student characteristics are balanced across classrooms with varying proportions of peers with severe sickness experience, supporting the assumption of random classroom assignment within the 9th-grade sample.
Second, we follow the methodology of Gong et al. (2021) and Chung and Zou (2023) and conduct a permutation test using a resampling approach to further assess the randomness of student assignment in the 9th-grade sample. As shown in Table B2, all p-values exceed 0.1, providing additional evidence that students in 9th grade are randomly assigned to classrooms. This finding suggests that potential selection or shuffling across classrooms is unlikely to bias the assignment process and does not threaten the validity of our results.
Another potential explanation for the differential effects observed between the 7th- and 9th-grade samples could be related to student transfers across classrooms or schools. However, as outlined in Section 2 on the institutional background, middle school admission in China follows the completion of primary education and is determined by household registration. Upon entering the 7th-grade, students are generally assigned to classes through a random allocation process, aiming for an equitable distribution of students across all classes. Moreover, under the compulsory education system, class transfers are generally prohibited except under special circumstances. Given these institutional features, we believe that school or class transfers are unlikely to occur frequently in our sample, thereby limiting the scope for selection bias.
To further address this concern, we examine the potential for class reassignment, particularly among 9th-grade students. Unfortunately, the available data do not allow us to directly observe class-switching behavior for 9th graders, because information on their class status in 7th and 8th grade is unavailable. However, we conduct a related analysis using data from the 7th-grade sample. CEPS conducted a follow-up survey one year later, when the original 7th-grade students advanced to 8th-grade. We use this follow-up data and calculate the proportion of students who changed either their class or school between 7th- and 8th-grade. The results indicate that such transitions are relatively rare. According to official CEPS data, the 7th-grade sample includes 10,279 students, 830 of whom either transferred to a different school or changed classes within the same school by 8th grade, thereby yielding a transfer rate of 8.1 %. In our estimation sample, which is restricted to students randomly assigned to classrooms, the transfer rate falls further to 5.9 %. These low levels of mobility suggest that class and school changes between 7th- and 8th-grade are limited. On the basis of this evidence, we reasonably assume a similarly limited degree of school and class switching in the 9th-grade.
Furthermore, we conduct additional analyses to assess whether exposure to peers with severe sickness experience influences students’ tracking status. We construct a binary variable, “untrackable,” which takes the value 1 if a student cannot be tracked owing to a class or school transfer or for other unspecified reasons, and 0 otherwise. Then, we examine whether the proportion of peers with severe sickness experience in 7th-grade predicts students’ tracking status. The results in Table B3 show no significant relationship, indicating that the presence of such peers does not affect the likelihood of class or school transfers. This result alleviates concerns that our findings for the 9th-grade sample may be driven by selection bias.
In summary, evidence from the transfer rate analysis and regression results suggests that class and school transfers are unlikely to account for the observed effects of peers with severe sickness experience in the 9th-grade sample.
Balance tests for pre-determined characteristics of 9th grade sample.
| Share of peers with severe sickness experience | ||
|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | |
| Age | 0.225** | 0.013* |
| (0.105) | (0.007) | |
| Gender | 0.047 | −0.011 |
| (0.044) | (0.009) | |
| Minority | 1.166*** | −0.015 |
| (0.360) | (0.012) | |
| Local student | 0.106 | 0.028 |
| (0.107) | (0.017) | |
| Only child | −0.582*** | 0.011 |
| (0.138) | (0.011) | |
| Owning computer | −0.756*** | 0.024 |
| (0.182) | (0.017) | |
| Suspension in primary school | 0.250*** | 0.016 |
| (0.092) | (0.024) | |
| Grade repetition in primary | 0.722*** | −0.020 |
| school | (0.137) | (0.012) |
| Whether fathers have a | −0.400*** | 0.015 |
| college education or above | (0.109) | (0.012) |
| Whether mothers have a | −0.402*** | 0.004 |
| college education or above | (0.108) | (0.011) |
| Low-income family | 0.634*** | 0.032 |
| (0.170) | (0.031) | |
| School-grade fixed effects | No | Yes |
| Observations | 3,147 | 3,147 |
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Data are from the 2013–2014 CEPS. In Columns 1 and 2, each cell represents a single regression of the share of peers with severe sickness experience on the corresponding variables. Column 1 presents results without school-grade fixed effects, while Column 2 reports results with school-grade fixed effects included. Standard errors in parentheses are clustered at the class level. ***, **, and *denote statistical significance at the 1 %, 5 %, and 10 % level, respectively.
Permutation test for the 9th grade sample.
| 9th grade sample | |
|---|---|
| (1) | |
| Age | 0.461 |
| Gender | 0.464 |
| Minority | 0.201 |
| Local student | 0.454 |
| Only child | 0.476 |
| Owning computer | 0.484 |
| Suspension in primary school | 0.257 |
| Grade repetition in primary school | 0.295 |
| Whether fathers have a college education or above | 0.330 |
| Whether mothers have a college education or above | 0.301 |
| Low-income family | 0.396 |
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Data are from the 2013–2014 CEPS.
The effects of peers with severe sickness experience on students’ tracking status.
| Untrackable | |
|---|---|
| (1) | |
| Share of peers with severe sickness experience | 0.012 |
| (0.014) | |
| Student controls | Yes |
| Class controls | Yes |
| School-grade fixed effects | Yes |
| R 2 | 0.129 |
| Observations | 3,611 |
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Data are from the 2013–2014 and the 2014–2015 CEPS. Each column presents the results from a separate regression. Student controls include students’ age and dummy variables indicating gender, minority, local student, only child, whether they own computer, whether they were suspended in primary school, whether they repeated a grade in primary school, whether fathers have a college education or above, whether mothers have a college education or above, and whether they come from a low-income family. Class controls include head teacher’s age, gender, education, working experience, marital status, and whether the class is large. All regressions include school-grade fixed effects. Standard errors in parentheses are clustered at the class level. ***, **, and *denote statistical significance at the 1 %, 5 %, and 10 % level, respectively.
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