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Bayesian Predictions for Exponentially Distributed Failure Times With One Change-Point

  • Y. Abdel-Aty , J. Franz and M. A. W. Mahmoud
Published/Copyright: March 10, 2010
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Stochastics and Quality Control
From the journal Volume 18 Issue 2

Abstract

Suppose that a number of items is put on operation and that their life times are identically exponentially distributed up to a time a, when the operating conditions change resulting in a different failure intensity of the exponential distribution for those items which have survived the change-point a. Predictions are made for the lifetime of operating items on condition of observed failures of a part of the items before and after the change-point a. The predictions are based on an Bayes approach, which is briefly introduced. Numerical examples are given to illustrate the results.

Published Online: 2010-03-10
Published in Print: 2003-October

© Heldermann Verlag

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