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4 Political underpinnings: disunited Europe

Abstract

Franco-German relations are the important political underpinning for the stability of the international financial system to which observers must pay attention. A Franco-German compromise had laid an early foundation for what was to become the European Union. This chapter shows why so little attention was given in Brussels, Paris and Bonn in the mid-1990s to the uncertainties that surrounded Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) and the dangers that lay in its path. Even assuming that EMU, like the Exchange Rate Mechanism, encounters no market turmoil in the dangerous transition period to 2003, it could very well be that German monetary hegemony in the European Union will doom European economies to prolonged slow growth, high unemployment and low competitiveness. European official and much conventional opinion has always tended to exaggerate the euro's chances of rivalling the dollar.

Abstract

Franco-German relations are the important political underpinning for the stability of the international financial system to which observers must pay attention. A Franco-German compromise had laid an early foundation for what was to become the European Union. This chapter shows why so little attention was given in Brussels, Paris and Bonn in the mid-1990s to the uncertainties that surrounded Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) and the dangers that lay in its path. Even assuming that EMU, like the Exchange Rate Mechanism, encounters no market turmoil in the dangerous transition period to 2003, it could very well be that German monetary hegemony in the European Union will doom European economies to prolonged slow growth, high unemployment and low competitiveness. European official and much conventional opinion has always tended to exaggerate the euro's chances of rivalling the dollar.

Heruntergeladen am 25.4.2026 von https://www.degruyterbrill.com/document/doi/10.7765/9781784997243.00009/html?lang=de
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