Contents

Chapters in this book

1. Frontmatter i
2. Contents v
3. Acknowledgments vii
4. Abbreviations ix
5. Introduction 1
6. 1. Rethinking Realist Theories of Major War 11
7. 2. Foreign Policy Choices and the Probability of Major War 35
8. 3. German Security and the Preparation for World War I 56
9. 4. The July Crisis and the Outbreak of World War I 79
10. 5. The Rise of Russia and the Outbreak of World War II 118
11. 6. Bipolarity, Shifting Power, and the Origins of the Cold War, 1945-1950 146
12. 7. The Berlin and Cuban Missile Crises 176
13. 8. Major War from Pericles to Napoleon 209
14. 9. The Implications of the Argument 235
15. Appendix 247
16. Notes 255
17. Index 313