Columbia University Press
What Are the Chances?
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Reviews
James E. Alcock, professor, York University, and author of Belief: What It Means to Believe and Why Our Convictions Are So Compelling:
Who among us does not speak of luck? Good luck, bad luck, cross your fingers, lucky charms? And yet few among us has any real understanding of what it means to be lucky or unlucky. This book provides an excellent examination of just what luck is, presented in a manner that entertains as it explains. It is a most enjoyable and informative read, and one that I highly recommend.
V. S. Ramachandran, author of The Tell-Tale Brain: A Neuroscientist’s Quest for What Makes Us Human:
What Are the Chances? provides intriguing insights into the neuroscientific and psychological underpinnings of how we perceive luck and chance. Such errors of probability judgments are often systematic rather than random. They may arise from misapplication of heuristics that originally were useful shortcuts. A worthwhile read.
David Hand, emeritus professor of mathematics and senior research investigator, Imperial College London, and author of The Improbability Principle:
Barbara Blatchley provides a colorful and accessible look at the fascinating nature of luck. Focusing on the human side as well as the neuroscientific and psychological aspects, she explores what luck is and the role luck plays in our lives.
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Frontmatter
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CONTENTS
vii -
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1. WHAT IS LUCK?
1 -
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2. A BRIEF HISTORY OF LUCK
21 -
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3. LUCK AND PSYCHOLOGY
45 -
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4. LUCK AND PSYCHOLOGY
74 -
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5. LUCK AND YOUR BRAIN: PART I
104 -
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6. LUCK AND YOUR BRAIN: PART II
132 -
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7. HOW TO GET LUCKY
158 -
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8. FORTUNE’S EXPENSIVE SMILE
183 -
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NOTES
195 -
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BIBLIOGRAPHY
215 -
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INDEX
231