G7 Current Account Imbalances
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Edited by:
Richard H. Clarida
About this book
The current account deficit of the United States is more than six percent of its gross domestic product—an all-time high. And the rest of the world, including other G7 countries such as Japan and Germany, must collectively run current account surpluses to finance this deficit. How long can such unevenness between imports and exports be sustained, and what form might their eventual reconciliation take? Putting forth scenarios ranging from a gradual correction to a crash landing for the dollar, G7 Current Account Imbalances brings together economists from around the globe to consider the origins, status, and future of those disparities.
An esteemed group of collaborators here examines the role of the bursting of the dot-com bubble, the history of previous episodes of current account adjustments, and the possibility of the Euro surpassing the dollar as the leading international reserve currency. Though there are areas of broad agreement—that the imbalances will ultimately decline and that currency revaluations will be part of the solution—many areas of contention remain regarding both the dangers of imbalances and the possible forms of adjustment.
This volume will be of tremendous value to economists, politicians, and business leaders alike as they look to the future of the G7 economies.
Author / Editor information
Richard H. Clarida is the C. Lowell Harriss Professor of Economics at Columbia University, Global Strategic Advisor at PIMCO, and a research associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research. In 2002–2003, he served as Assistant US Treasury Secretary for Economic Policy.
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Frontmatter
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Contents
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Acknowledgment
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Introduction
1 - I Origins of G7 Current Account Imbalances
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1 From World Banker to World Venture Capitalist
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2 A Global Perspective on External Positions
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3 Direct Investment, Rising Real Wages, and the Absorption of Excess Labor in the Periphery
103 - II Empirical Studies of G7 Current Account and Exchange Rate Adjustment
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4 Current Account Deficits in Industrial Countries
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5 Are There Thresholds of Current Account Adjustment in the G7?
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6 Current Account Reversals
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7 Understanding the U.S. Trade Deficit
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8 Will the Euro Eventually Surpass the Dollar as Leading International Reserve Currency?
283 - III Theoretical Perspectives on Current Account Sustainability and Adjustment
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9 The Unsustainable U.S. Current Account Position Revisited
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10 Smooth Landing or Crash?
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11 The Dot-Com Bubble, the Bush Deficits, and the U.S. Current Account
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Contributors
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Author Index
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Subject Index
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