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9. The de Finetti Lottery and Equiprobability

  • Paul Bartha
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Mistakes of Reason
This chapter is in the book Mistakes of Reason
© 2016 University of Toronto Press, Toronto

© 2016 University of Toronto Press, Toronto

Chapters in this book

  1. Frontmatter i
  2. Contents v
  3. Preface ix
  4. Acknowledgements xi
  5. Introduction: John Woods in Profile 1
  6. I. Reality
  7. 1. Through the Woods to Meinong’s Jungle 15
  8. 2. The Epsilon Logic of Fictions 33
  9. 3. Animadversions on the Logic of Fiction and Reform of Modal Logic 49
  10. 4. Resolving the Skolem Paradox 64
  11. 5. Are Platonism and Pragmatism Compatible? 78
  12. 6. A Neo-Hintikkan Solution to Kripke’s Puzzle 93
  13. II. Knowledge
  14. 7. The Day of the Dolphins: Puzzling over Epistemic Partnership 111
  15. 8. Cognitive Yearning and Fugitive Truth 134
  16. 9. The de Finetti Lottery and Equiprobability 158
  17. 10. The Lottery Paradox 173
  18. 11. Reliabilism and Inference to the Best Explanation 183
  19. Part Two: Respondeo 197
  20. III. Logic and Language
  21. 12. Aristotle and Modern Logic 207
  22. 13. The Peculiarities of Stoic Propositional Logic 224
  23. 14. On the Substitutional Approach to Logical Consequence 243
  24. 15. The Fallacy of Transitivity for Necessary Counterfactuals: On Behalf of (Certain) Non-Transitive Entailment Relations 264
  25. 16. Vagueness and Intuitionistic Logic: On the Wright Track 279
  26. 17. The Semantic Illusion 296
  27. Part Three: Respondeo 321
  28. IV. Reasoning
  29. 18. Arguing from Authority 331
  30. 19. Premiss Acceptability and Truth 348
  31. 20. Emotion, Relevance, and Consolation Arguments 364
  32. 21. Temporal Agents 380
  33. 22. Filtration Structures and the Cut Down Problem for Abduction 398
  34. 23. Mistakes in Reasoning about Argumentation 418
  35. Part Four: Respondeo 442
  36. V. Values
  37. 24. Engineered Death and the (Il)logic of Social Change 453
  38. 25. Incorrect English 474
  39. 26. Ameliorating Computational Exhaustion in Artificial Prudence 491
  40. Part Five: Respondeo 504
  41. Contributors 511
  42. Books by John Woods 517
  43. Index 521
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