Yellow Cards: Do They Matter?

Anne Anders; Kurt W Rotthoff

doi:10.2202/1559-0410.1286

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Yellow Cards: Do They Matter?

Anne Anders and Kurt W Rotthoff

Published/Copyright: January 13, 2011

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From the journal Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports Volume 7 Issue 1

Using data from the Bundesliga, the top German football league (American “soccer”), we analyze the effects of yellow and red cards on the probability of victory for a team. For the team receiving the cards, we find that yellow and red cards decrease the probability of victory. However, the number of fouls called increases the probability of victory for that team. We therefore find that aggressive play is valuable, but pushing too hard is detrimental. We also find that the probability change is different for the home and away teams.

Keywords: European football; American soccer; yellow cards; red cards; fouls; bias

Published Online: 2011-1-13

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Articles in the same Issue

https://doi.org/10.2202/1559-0410.1286

Keywords for this article

European football; American soccer; yellow cards; red cards; fouls; bias