My Experiences with Nonlinear Dynamic Models in Economics
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Arnold Zellner
First, the goals and process of model building, including models for learning from data, explaining the past, predicting as yet unobserved data and making policy decisions are discussed. Then attention is given to the important role of nonlinear, dynamic relations in three of my past and one of my current projects: (1) Evaluation of the world's most famous marine conservation program, (2) Assessing effects on regional growth of proposed dam construction on the Susquehanna River, (3) Consideration of the Federal Reserve-MIT-PENN model of the U.S. economy and (4) Construction and use of the new Marshallian Macroeconomic Model. Last, current work to complete the nonlinear, dynamic Marshallian Macroeconomic Model of an economy is described.
©2011 Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co. KG, Berlin/Boston
