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The Obama Effect: Patterns of Geographic Clustering in the 2004 and 2008 Presidential Elections
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Nicholas R Seabrook
Published/Copyright:
July 16, 2009
This paper investigates patterns of geographic clustering in the county vote for the presidential elections of 2004 and 2008. Using local indicators of spatial association (LISA), the statistically significant areas of Democratic and Republican support are identified for both elections, thereby uncovering major sources of spatial autocorrelation in recent presidential voting. Most interestingly, the change in the presidential vote from 2004 to 2008 appears to be significantly more spatially dependent than the raw vote itself, suggesting that the so-called "Obama Effect" also exhibits a high degree of geographic clustering.
Published Online: 2009-7-16
©2011 Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co. KG, Berlin/Boston
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Articles in the same Issue
- Introduction
- Introduction
- Article
- Perception and Reality in Congressional Earmarks
- Institutional Structure and Democratic Values: A Research Note on a Natural Experiment
- Even Closer, Even Longer: What If the 2008 Democratic Primary Used Republican Rules?
- How Barack Obama's Votes Beat Hillary Clinton's Votes in the 2008 Democratic Presidential Contest: Not Malapportionment, But Turnout Variation and the Florida Effect
- Campaign Microtargeting and the Relevance of the Televised Political Ad
- The Obama Effect: Patterns of Geographic Clustering in the 2004 and 2008 Presidential Elections
- U.S. Health Care and Real Health in Comparative Perspective: Lessons from Abroad
- Review
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