Abstract
This study examines Lebanon’s enduring financial and economic crisis, exacerbated by economic challenges, the COVID-19 pandemic, and the Port of Beirut explosion. With over 80 % currency devaluation due to sovereign debt default, the crisis has intensified poverty and unemployment, compounded by political turmoil. Using survey data from 178 stakeholders, experts, and academics, this research explores the intricate drivers of Lebanon’s crisis and offers insights for policymakers. Employing quantitative methods, it uncovers the intertwined role of financial mismanagement, government failures, mounting public debt, financial engineering techniques, and political instability in driving the crisis. Recommendations emphasize prudent financial practices, sound governance, and policy interventions. This study sheds light on Lebanon’s complex financial and economic challenges with data-backed perspectives from diverse stakeholders, providing valuable insights for management practitioners and scholars navigating crises in tumultuous environments. It aims to contribute to the management discourse, equipping stakeholders with actionable strategies for addressing and preventing similar crises. It also explores the interplay between stakeholder perspectives and the determinants of the financial crisis in Lebanon. It delves into the interconnected nature of the crisis and demonstrates how stakeholders from various sectors and backgrounds mirror the factors identified in the literature.
A.1 Survey: Unraveling the Nexus of Factors: Exploring the Drivers of the Financial and Economic Crisis in Lebanon
Thank you for taking the time to participate in this important survey. The purpose of this survey is to gather comprehensive insights and opinions from a wide range of individuals regarding the causes of the financial crisis in Lebanon. Your responses will contribute to a more comprehensive understanding of the factors contributing to the crisis. Your answers will remain anonymous and confidential. Please provide your honest opinions and responses to the following questions.
A.1.1 Section One: Demographic Information
What is your gender?
Male
Female
Prefer not to say
What is your age?
Under 18
18–24
25–34
35–44
45–54
55–64
65 or above
What is your highest level of education completed?
High school or below
Bachelor’s degree
Master’s degree
Ph.D. or equivalent
Other (please specify)
What is your approximate annual income?
Less than $10,000
$10,000–$30,000
$30,000–$50,000
$50,000–$100,000
$100,000 or more
What region of Lebanon do you live in?
Beirut
Tripoli
Sidon
Tyre
Baalbek
Other (please specify)
A.1.2 Section Two: General Overview of the Situation
On a scale of 1–5, with 1 being the lowest and 5 being the highest:
Please rate the overall impact of political instability on the financial crisis in Lebanon.
Please rate the level of government failures’ contribution to the financial crisis in Lebanon.
Please rate the significance of excessive public debt as a cause of the financial crisis in Lebanon.
Please rate the level of financial mismanagement’s contribution to the financial crisis in Lebanon.
Please rate the extent to which financial engineering techniques contributed to concealing the insolvency of the banking industry in Lebanon.
A.1.3 Section Three: Hypothesis Testing
Political Instability and Government Failure:
To what extent do you believe political instability has contributed to the financial crisis in Lebanon?
Not at all
To a small extent
To a moderate extent
To a significant extent
To a very significant extent
Have government failures, such as corruption and ineffective governance, played a significant role in exacerbating the crisis?
Yes, definitely
Yes, to some extent
No, not significantly
Not sure
How has the lack of a stable and coherent government affected investor confidence in Lebanon?
Decreased investor confidence significantly
Decreased investor confidence to some extent
No significant impact on investor confidence
Not sure
How would you rate the performance of the government in managing the financial crisis in Lebanon?
Very poor
Poor
Average
Good
Very good
In your opinion, to what extent has political instability affected investor confidence in Lebanon?
Decreased investor confidence significantly
Decreased investor confidence to some extent
No significant impact on investor confidence
Not sure
How would you assess the level of stability and coherence in the government’s decision-making processes during the financial crisis?
Highly unstable and incoherent
Somewhat unstable and incoherent
Moderately stable and coherent
Highly stable and coherent
To what extent do you believe government failures, such as corruption and ineffective governance, have played a role in exacerbating the financial crisis in Lebanon?
Not a significant role
Some role, but not major
Major role
Not sure
Excessive Public Debt and Financial Mismanagement:
Do you agree that excessive public debt is a key cause of the financial crisis in Lebanon? If yes, to what extent?
Strongly agree
Agree
Neutral
Disagree
Strongly disagree
How has financial mismanagement, such as irresponsible borrowing and a lack of fiscal discipline, contributed to the crisis?
Significantly contributed
Contributed to some extent
No significant contribution
Not sure
In your opinion, what reforms should be implemented to address the issue of public debt in Lebanon?
Increase taxation
Reduce government spending
Restructure the debt
Seek international financial assistance
Other (please specify)
To what extent do you believe excessive public debt has contributed to the financial crisis in Lebanon?
Not at all
To a small extent
To a moderate extent
To a significant extent
To a very significant extent
How would you rate the level of public debt in Lebanon compared to its sustainable limit?
Well within sustainable limits
Slightly above sustainable limits
Moderately above sustainable limits
Significantly above sustainable limits
Unsustainable
In your opinion, to what extent has financial mismanagement, such as irresponsible borrowing and a lack of fiscal discipline, contributed to the financial crisis in Lebanon?
Significantly contributed
Contributed to some extent
No significant contribution
Not sure
How would you assess the level of transparency and accountability in the management of public funds during the financial crisis in Lebanon?
Highly transparent and accountable
Somewhat transparent and accountable
Moderately transparent and accountable
Lacking transparency and accountability
Do you believe that the lack of fiscal discipline in Lebanon, including excessive government spending, has contributed to the financial crisis?
Yes, significantly
Yes, to some extent
No, not significantly
Not sure
Financial Engineering Techniques and Banking Insolvency:
Do you believe that financial engineering techniques employed by central and commercial banks in Lebanon created a Ponzi scheme that concealed the insolvency of the banking industry? Please elaborate.
Yes, definitely
Yes, to some extent
No, not significantly
Not sure
Have there been any instances of questionable practices or misconduct in the Lebanese banking sector that you are aware of?
Yes, multiple instances
Yes, a few instances
No, none that I’m aware of
Not sure
How significant of a role do you think the banking sector’s insolvency has played in the overall financial crisis in Lebanon?
Played a significant role
Played a moderate role
Played a minor role
Not sure
In your opinion, did the use of financial engineering techniques by banks in Lebanon contribute to a false sense of security among depositors and investors?
Yes, definitely
Yes, to some extent
No, not significantly
Not sure
How often do you face difficulties or delays in accessing your bank deposits or transferring money abroad?
Never
Rarely
Sometimes
Often
Always
How comfortable are you with using different exchange rates for different transactions in Lebanon?
Very comfortable
Somewhat comfortable
Neutral
Somewhat uncomfortable
Very uncomfortable
Impact of FATCA Implementation:
In your opinion, to what extent has the implementation of the FATCA law in Lebanon contributed to capital flight?
Significantly contributed
Contributed to some extent
No significant contribution
Not sure
How would you assess the impact of the FATCA law on foreign investment in Lebanon?
Led to a significant decrease in foreign investment
Led to a moderate decrease in foreign investment
No significant impact on foreign investment
Not sure
To what extent has FATCA contributed to aggravating the liquidity problem and resulting in currency devaluation in Lebanon?
Significantly aggravated the liquidity problem and resulted in currency devaluation
Exacerbated the liquidity problem but had minimal impact on currency devaluation
No significant impact on either the liquidity problem or currency devaluation
Not sure
How would you rate the overall impact of the FATCA law’s implementation on the Lebanese economy?
Very negative impact
Negative impact
Neutral impact
Positive impact
Very positive impact
Future Perspectives:
How optimistic or pessimistic are you about the prospects of Lebanon’s economy and its ability to recover from the financial crisis?
Very optimistic
Somewhat optimistic
Neutral
Somewhat pessimistic
Very pessimistic
In your opinion, what are the key steps that should be taken to overcome the financial crisis and promote economic stability in Lebanon?
Strengthening governance and combating corruption
Implementing comprehensive economic reforms
Attracting foreign investments
Fostering job creation and economic diversification
Other (please specify)
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© 2024 Walter de Gruyter GmbH, Berlin/Boston
Articles in the same Issue
- Frontmatter
- Research Articles
- The Impact of the Corporate Governance Mechanisms on Insurance Risk: Perspective from Insurance Industry
- Perceptions of Stakeholders on the Financial and Economic Crisis in Lebanon: An In-depth Analysis
- The Predictive Ability and Profitability of Moving Average Rules in the Saudi Stock Market
Articles in the same Issue
- Frontmatter
- Research Articles
- The Impact of the Corporate Governance Mechanisms on Insurance Risk: Perspective from Insurance Industry
- Perceptions of Stakeholders on the Financial and Economic Crisis in Lebanon: An In-depth Analysis
- The Predictive Ability and Profitability of Moving Average Rules in the Saudi Stock Market