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Money and Influence in the Chicago City Council

  • Cari Lynn Hennessy

    Cari Lynn Hennessy is a Postdoctoral Research Associate at the Institute for Policy Research at Northwestern University. Her current book project examines representation in Chicago. She is thankful to Daniel Galvin, Benjamin Page, Reuel Rogers, Jason Seawright, and Wesley Skogan for advice on this project. She also thanks David Morrison and the Illinois Campaign for Political Reform for assistance with campaign contribution records.

Published/Copyright: October 18, 2013
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Abstract

This paper examines the impact of campaign spending on the 2006 vote of the Chicago City Council on a proposed living-wage ordinance for big-box retailers. It finds that some aldermen supported the ordinance, despite the strong opposition of Mayor Richard M. Daley and their own private reservations, because labor unions were preparing to spend huge sums of money to unseat aldermen who voted against the proposal. Further analysis of campaign contributions in the 2007 election indicates that spending by labor unions was indeed instrumental in defeating aldermen who opposed the ordinance. The results demonstrate that campaign spending can influence policy decisions at the local level, particularly when an interest group is capable of spending enough money to make a difference in the upcoming election.


Corresponding author: Cari Lynn Hennessy, Northwestern University

About the author

Cari Lynn Hennessy

Cari Lynn Hennessy is a Postdoctoral Research Associate at the Institute for Policy Research at Northwestern University. Her current book project examines representation in Chicago. She is thankful to Daniel Galvin, Benjamin Page, Reuel Rogers, Jason Seawright, and Wesley Skogan for advice on this project. She also thanks David Morrison and the Illinois Campaign for Political Reform for assistance with campaign contribution records.

  1. 1

    Research on campaign contributions and policy decisions at the national level has yielded mixed results, with some finding little evidence of an effect (e.g., Bronars and Lott 1997; Ansolabehere, de Figueiredo, and Snyder 2003) while others find evidence of influence (e.g., Stratmann 2002; Stratmann 2005).

  2. 2

    Chicago is divided into 50 wards, and turnout in aldermanic elections is typically low. In 2011, the average number of voters per ward was only 11,303, meaning that candidates are now spending a great deal of money to reach a small number of voters.

  3. 3

    The Chicago Federation of Labor is an AFL-CIO-affiliated organization that represents over 300 local unions in the Chicago area.

  4. 4

    The City Council approved legislation that would allow a Wal-Mart on the South Side in 2004.

  5. 5

    Wal-Mart worked with African American aldermen who opposed the proposal to position itself as an ally of the African American community, fighting against labor unions that had a history of excluding people of color (Parks and Warren 2011).

  6. 6

    One alderman, Helen Shiller, abstained from voting.

  7. 7

    One alderman, Manuel Flores, was absent.

  8. 8

    I regressed the results on the precincts’ racial composition, the vote for the Democratic candidate for governor, and support for a county-wide referendum on raising the minimum wage in Illinois (which was strongly correlated with support for the big box living wage proposal). I used bootstrapping to calculate a point prediction and standard error for each ward. Further details are available upon request.

  9. 9

    Itemized contributions include all contributions >$150, including in-kind contributions. These data were downloaded from the Illinois State Board of Elections website. I am also thankful to the Illinois Campaign for Political Reform for sharing their campaign contribution records with me.

  10. 10

    While aldermen received other contributions from the business community, many business owners were supportive of the ordinance or neutral because their interests differed from those of big box retailers.

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Published Online: 2013-10-18
Published in Print: 2013-10-01

©2013 by Walter de Gruyter Berlin Boston

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