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Conformity Preferences and Information Gathering Effort in Collective Decision Making

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Published/Copyright: July 29, 2017

Abstract

Our study concerns a collective decision-making model for the collection of information from two voters. Both voters, who tend to make the same voting choices because of their conformity preferences, collect information about the consequences of a project and then vote on the project. We focus on an informative equilibrium in which voters vote informatively using pure strategies. This is a symmetric Nash equilibrium. Our result is interesting as it shows that nonconformist voters exert less effort from a social perspective because of a positive externality that results in the free-rider problem, while conformity preferences can help to improve the sum of the voters’ expected payoffs from the social perspective. This is because conformity preferences may alleviate the free-rider problem associated with coordination (making the same vote). Specifically, conformity preferences give special importance to the correlation between voters’ signals, even if this correlation is unrelated to the accuracy of the signals. Furthermore, we present the exact conformity preference level which helps voters to exert an optimal effort level that maximizes the sum of the voters’ expected payoffs compared to the nonconformist case. In addition, we graphically illustrate comparative statics on effort levels in informative equilibria.

JEL Classification: D72; D82

Funding statement: China Scholarship Council, (Grant / Award Number: “2011811624”).

Appendix

Proof of Lemma 1:

Proof

Supposing that e1=e2=e, and that voter 2 follows his or her signal. When voter 1 has received s1=h, v1=Y yields an expected payoff 12(1+e)×12(1e)×G_+12(1e)×12(1+e)×Gbe2 that is equal to 1e24(G+G_)be2 and v1=N yields an expected payoff that is equals to be2, because of G+G_<0, therefore v1=N dominates v1=Y.

When voter 1 has received s1=h, v1=Y yields an expected payoff 12(1+e)×12(1+e)×G+12(1e)×12(1e)×G_be2 that is equal to 1+e24(G+G_)+e2(GG_)be2 and v1=N yields an expected payoff that is equal to be2, therefore v1=Y dominates v1=N if 1+e24(G+G_)+e2(GG_)>0 . The analogous argument applies to voter 2.

All in all, supposing a level of effort of e=e1=e2 so that 1+e24(G+G_)+e2(GG_)>0, it is optimal for voter i to vote in line with his or her signal: if s1=h, then v1=Y, and if s1=h, v1=N, given that the other voter votes in line with his or her signal.

Proof of Lemma 2:

Proof

We suppose that e1=e2=e and conformist voter 2 follows his or her signal. When voter 1 has received s1=h, v1=Y yields an expected payoff of 12(1+e)×12(1e)×(G_+k)+12(1e)×12(1+e)×(G+k)be2 that is equal to 1e24(G+G_)+1e22kbe2, and v1=N yields an expected payoff of 12(1+e)×12(1+e)×k+12(1e)×12(1e)×kbe2 that is equal to 1+e22kbe2, because of 1e24(G+G_)<0 and 1e22k<1+e22k, therefore v1=N dominates v1=Y.

When voter 1 has received s1=h, v1=Y yields an expected payoff of 12(1+e)×12(1+e)×(G+k)+12(1e)×12(1e)×(G_+k) that is equal to 1+e24(G+G_)+e2(GG_)+1e22kbe2, and v1=N yields an expected payoff of 12(1+e)×12(1e)×k+12(1e)×12(1+e)×kbe2 that is equal to 1e22kbe2, therefore v1=Y dominates v1=N if 1+e24(G+G_)+e2(GG_)+e2k>0. The analogous argument applies to voter 2.

All in all, let us assume that a level of effort of e1=e2=e so that 1+e24(G+G_)+e2(GG_)+e2k>0, it is optimal for voter i to vote in line with his or her signal: if s1=h, then v1=Y, and if s1=h, v1=N, given that the other voter votes in line with his or her signal.

Because 1+e24(G+G_)+e2(GG_)>0, 1+e24(G+G_)+e2(GG_)+e2k>0. Consequently, from Lemma 1, we note that when sincere voting with nonconformist voters exists, sincere voting with conformist voters also exists.

Proof of Theorem 1:

Proof

We suppose that k>0 and the level of effort eC from the function (13), where eC=GG_16b4k(G+G_) and eC[0,1], satisfies the condition for sincere voting in Lemma 2 (i.e. 1+(eC)24(G+G_)+eC2(GG_)+(eC)2k>0). Then, using the functions S1C(eC)=S2C(eC), it is easy to calculate the total expected social surplus, (SC(eC)):

SC(eC)=(G+G_4+k)[1+(eC)2]+GG_2eC2b(eC)2.

We obtain SC(ei):

SC(ei)=(G+G_2+2k)ei+GG_24bei.

Therefore

SC′′(ei)=G+G_2+2k4b.

Consequently, if G+G_2+2k4b>0,SC′′(ei)>0, and if G+G_2+2k4b<0,SC′′(ei)<0. Therefore, SC(ei) increases with ei if G+G_2+2k4b>0 and SC(ei) decreases with ei if G+G_2+2k4b<0.

We assume that eC leads to SC(eC)=0:

(G+G_2+2k)eC+GG_24beC=0.

We obtain

eC=GG_8b4k(G+G_).

From the function S1C(eC)=0, i.e. (GG_2+G+G_2+2k)eC8beC=0. Moreover, we note that because GG_>0, eC/=0. Consequently,

SC(eC)=(GG_2+G+G_2+2k)eC4beC=(GG_2+G+G_2+2k)eC8beC+4beC=0+4beC=4beC>0

Consequently eC, which is derived from the function SC(eC)=0, cannot be equal to eC, because the inequality, SC(eC)>0, is always right. This shows that even when voters have a normative conformity preference, the optimum entire social benefit of collecting information could never be achieved by maximizing each conformist voter’s private benefits. In practice, eC is greater than eC if G+G_2+2k4b>0 and eC is smaller than eC if G+G_2+2k4b>0. All in all,

if k satisfiesthe effort level
4k>8b(G+G_)eC>0>eC
4k=8b(G+G_)eC/=eC
4k<8b(G+G_)4k>8b(G+G_)

In this way, from a social perspective, voters exert more effort when 4k<8b(G+G_), and voters exert less effort when eN.

We now look for the optimal conformity preference level that resolves the free-rider problem in the benchmark. From the eq. (7) for eC and the eq. (13) for k2b,,

if

eCeN=GG_8b(G+G_),

it is obvious that

eC,eN[0,1]

where eC.

Furthermore, we assume that the effort level 1+(eC)24(G+G_)+eC2(GG_)>0 satisfies the condition for sincere voting in Lemma 1, i.e. 1+(eC*)24(G¯+G_)+eC*2(G¯G_)>0. We have therefore proved Theorem 1.

Acknowledgements

I am grateful to Professor Cécile Aubert for her comments on an earlier version of this paper that have led to significant improvements. I would also like to thank Professor Emmanuel Petit who gave valuable guidance in the early stages of this work. Furthermore, I would also like to thank the editor-in-chef and the anonymous referee for their helpful comments and suggestions. In addition, this paper was written with financial support from the China Scholarship Council and GREThA at Bordeaux University.

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Published Online: 2017-7-29

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