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Dissecting the act of god: an exploration of the effect of religiosity on economic activity

  • Jean-Francois Carpantier and Anastasia Litina EMAIL logo
Published/Copyright: January 10, 2018

Abstract

This research explores whether religiosity has a persistent effect on economic outcomes. We follow a three-step analysis. First, we use a sample of migrants in the United States to establish that religiosity in the country of origin has a lasting effect on the religiosity of migrants. Second, by exploiting variation in the inherited component of religiosity of migrants and controlling only for a baseline set of controls, we uncover a causal link between several aspects of religiosity and income level. The empirical findings of the second step suggest that i) church attendance has a positive impact on income; and ii) stronger faith is associated with a higher income. Finally, we augment the set of controls included in the measure of inherited religiosity in order to capture the effects of social capital, education, and of traits conducive to income growth. When controlling for social capital, the effect of religious attendance on economic outcomes vanishes, and when controlling for the presence of traits conducive to growth, the effect of intensity of faith vanishes as well. We therefore conclude that when properly accounting for unobservables, religiosity does not affect per capita income.

JEL Classification: A14; Z12

Acknowledgement

The authors are grateful to the participants of the seminar series of CREA (University of Luxembourg), the Athens University of Economics and Business, the IRES macro lunch seminar at the Universite Catholique de Louvain and the Utrecht workshop on “The Deep Causes of Economic Development” for their helpful comments and suggestions.

Appendices

A Supplementary information

Table 15:

Countries of origin of the 2nd, 3rd and 4th generation migrants-1935 Cohort.

1935 Cohort
Family originFrequencyFamily originFrequency
Africa2011Japan6
Arab Countries5Lithuania17
Austria36Mexico103
Belgium24Netherlands288
Canada207Norway283
China2Philippines
Czech Rep.104Poland173
Denmark124Portugal15
Finland47Puerto Rico20
France387Romania5
Germany3319Russia56
Greece12Spain96
Hungary25Sweden245
India14Switzerland84
Ireland2473UK3948
Italy243Yugoslavia16
Total14,388
  1. Summary: The table shows the country of origin for the 1935 cohort of migrants as well as the number of migrants coming from each country.

Table 16:

Countries of origin of the 2nd, 3rd and 4th generation migrants-2000 Cohort.

2000 Cohort
Family originFrequencyFamily originFrequency
Africa1183Japan56
Arab Countries26Lithuania74
Austria115Mexico669
Belgium34Netherlands214
Canada307Norway309
China46Philippines35
Czech Rep.292Poland709
Denmark109Portugal70
Finland97Puerto Rico199
France264Romania30
Germany2363Russia354
Greece100Spain139
Hungary129Sweden312
India22Switzerland56
Ireland1643UK1568
Italy1521Yugoslavia105
Total13,150
  1. Summary: The table shows the country of origin for the 2000 cohort of migrants as well as the number of migrants coming from each country.

Table 17:

Transmission of religious attitudes-country of origin fixed effects for the 1935 cohort.

(1)(2)(3)


1935 Cohort
AttendChurch MemberNear God
age0.027**0.009***0.009*
age2−1.86e−05−5.29e−05***−2.30e−05
men−0.829***−0.126***−0.325***
income0.102***0.0181***−0.007
emp0.00322−0.012−0.045
unemp−0.599***−0.065**−0.277***
Africa0.936***0.028***0.456***
Arab Countries−0.886***
Austria−0.414***−0.070***−0.385***
Belgium0.0577
Canada−0.118***−0.108***0.124***
China−1.314***
Czech. Rep0.720***−0.076***0.201***
Denmark−0.221***−0.050***0.126***
Finland−0.266***0.050***0.192***
France0.0210*−0.105***0.255***
Germany0.304***−0.0487***0.236***
Greece0.441***−0.234***
Hungary−0.0474*−0.120***0.299***
India1.070***
Ireland0.148***−0.086***0.211***
Italy−0.245***−0.215***−0.009
Japan−1.884***−0.490***
Lithuania−0.900***−0.133***
Mexico1.033***−0.056***0.337***
Netherlands0.324***0.016***0.290***
Norway0.356***−0.033***0.146***
Poland0.301***−0.173***0.122***
Portugal−1.433***−0.170***
Puerto Rico0.923***−0.183***0.726***
Romania−0.811***
Russia−0.744***−0.044***0.121***
Spain−0.300***−0.049***0.602***
Switzerland0.607***0.077***0.285***
UK0.098***−0.040***0.138***
Yugoslavia1.041***0.440***1.043***
Observations12,88859873382
R-squared0.0580.0570.097
  1. Summary: The table establishes the significance of the coefficient of the country of origin fixed effects for the 1935 cohort, suggesting that culture matters in the transmission of religious attitudes.

Table 18:

Transmission of Religious attitudes-country of origin fixed effects for the 2000 cohort.

(1)(2)(3)


2000 Cohort
AttendChurch MemberNear God
age0.036***0.009***0.006
age2−0.000−6.08e−05*2.52e−05
men−0.582***−0.088***-0.252***
income0.082***0.0154***−0.005
emp−0.156**−0.004−0.004
unemp−0.628***−0.082**0.055
Africa0.893***0.034***0.217***
Arab Countries0.003
Austria0.087**−0.014−0.127***
Belgium−0.190***
Canada−0.104***−0.140***0.067***
China−1.495***
Czech. Rep0.139***−0.143***0.090***
Denmark−0.358***0.008−0.473***
Finland−0.991***−0.133***−0.229***
France−0.315***−0.033***−0.011
Germany−0.012−0.046***0.002
Greece−0.420***−0.081***
Hungary−0.473***−0.089***0.028
India0.865***
Ireland−0.066***−0.054***−0.053***
Italy−0.296***−0.185***−0.068***
Japan−1.057***−0.095***
Lithuania−0.213***−0.121***
Mexico0.371***−0.153***0.044***
Netherlands1.005***0.0985***0.255***
Norway−0.226***−0.0995***−0.050***
Philippines0.348***
Poland0.001−0.140***−0.191***
Portugal−0.797***−0.337***
Puerto Rico−0.405***−0.135***0.137***
Romania−1.286***
Russia−1.142***−0.110***−0.544***
Spain0.166***−0.133***0.505***
Switzerland0.440***−0.107***−0.185***
UK−0.173***−0.042***−0.030**
Yugoslavia−0.084**−0.077***−0.232***
Obs11,94835882078
R-squared0.0660.0490.076
  1. Summary: The table establishes the significance of the coefficient of the country of origin fixed effects for the 2000 cohort, suggesting that culture matters in the transmission of religious attitudes.

B Variable definitions and sources

B.1 Micro analysis variables

GSS Dataset.

Church Attendance. “Church Attendance” corresponds to the question “How often r attends religious services?”. The variable takes values from 0 to 8, with 0 denoting “Never” and 8 denoting “More than once per week”.

Member of a Church. “Church Member” corresponds to the question is “Membership in Church Groups”. The variable is binary with 1 denoting “No” and 2 denoting “Yes”.

Intensity of Religiosity. “Near God” corresponds to the question “How close does r feel to God”. The variable takes values from 0 to 4 with 0 denoting “Does not believe” and 4 denoting “extremely close”.

Age. The variable indicates the age of individuals and takes values between 18 and 89. Age squared is the squared value of Age.

Men. The variable takes the value 1 if the gender of the individual is male.

Employed. The variable takes the value 1 if the individual is employed.

Income. The variables captures the income of individuals. It has 12 categories (1000$, 1000$–2999$, 3000$–3999$, 4000$–4999$, 5000$–5999$, 6000$–6999$, 7000$–7999$, 8000$–9999$, 10000$–14999$, 15000$–19999$, 20000$–24999$, 25000$ or more).

Education. The variable on individuals’ education is an ordered variable taking values from 0 to 20, denoting the highest number of years in school.

Trust. “Trust” is constructed using data from the relevant GSS question, on how much people can be trusted. The variable is binary and take the value of 0 if the response is “Cannot trust” or “Depends” and the value of 1 if the response is “People can be trusted”.

Hard Work. This variable captures the extent to which parents consider hard work as an important quality to teach to a child. The responses are ordered as follows: “Most important”, “2nd important”, “3rd important”, “4th important” and “least important”.

Help Others. This variable captures the extent to which parents consider helping others as an important quality to teach to a child. The responses are ordered as follows: “Most important”, “2nd important”, “3rd important”, “4th important” and “least important”.

Fairness. This variable captures the extent to which parents consider fairness as an important quality to teach to a child. The responses are ordered as follows: “Most important”, “2nd important”, “3rd important”, “4th important” and “least important”.

Ethnic Origin. The variable captures the ethnic origin of the family of individuals. They can declare up to three countries of origin ordering them according to which they relate to more. In the analysis we choose their first response. The respondents come from 23 countries or continents (Austria, Belgium, Canada, China, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, India, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Lithuania, Mexico, the Netherlands, Norway, Philippines, Poland, Portugal, Puerto Rico, Russia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Great Britain and Yugoslavia. Moreover Africa is part of the sample (denoting all migrants of African origin) and Arabic countries.).

WVS

Church Attendance. The question in the WVS is “I’m going to ask how often you do certain things. For each activity,would you say you do them every week or nearly every week; once or twice a month; only a few times a year; or not at all?”. The measure takes values from 1 to 4 with 1 denoting “Not at all” and 4 denoting “Weekly”. The variable has been restructured so as to facilitate interpretation of the results.

Member of a Church. The actual measure is the answer to the question “Now I am going to read out a list of voluntary organizations; for each one, could you tell me whether you are a member, an active member, an inactive member or not a member of that type of organization? Church or religious organization”. The variable takes values from 0 to 2 with 0 denoting “Not a member” and 2 denoting “Active member”.

Intensity of Religiosity. Since WVS does not have a direct measure of how close one feels to god we use this as a proxy. The actual statement is “Life is meaningful only because God exists” and the variable takes the value 0 if they disagree with the statement and the value 1 if the agree. The results are similar if we use instead other proxies from the WVS such as belief in God.

B.2 Macro analysis variables

Income per Capita. Our income per capita measure is constructed using the updated 2013 Maddison dataset (Bolt and van Zanden 2013). For the years 1935–2000 we use the average of 5 years (i.e. 1930–1935 for T1 = 1935 and 1995–2000 for T2 = 2000). Similarly for the 1950–2000 period.

Initial Income per Capita. To construct the initial income per capita we use the updated 2013 Maddison dataset (Bolt and van Zanden 2013). For the years 1935–2000 we take the 1870 income per capita for T1 = 1935 and 1930 for T2 = 2000 ). For the 1950–2000 period, we take respectively 1900 and 1950.

Herfindhal Index of Religions. The Herfindahl index of religion shares comes from the Barro dataset on religious adherence (Barro and McCleary 2003) and is estimated using 10 religion groups and non-religion (including atheists).

Educational Attainement. The data on educational attainment comes from the Barro-Lee (Barro and Lee 2001) dataset and indicates the average years of schooling attained aggregated at the country level.

Polity IV. The quality of institutions measures, denoted by “Polity” comes from the Polity IV data set. We employ the measure “constraints on the chief executive”. The variable takes values from 1 to 7 with higher values denoting better quality of institutions.

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Published Online: 2018-01-10

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