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Do Female Politicians Lead to Better Learning Outcomes?

  • Sadia Priyanka ORCID logo EMAIL logo
Published/Copyright: September 21, 2022

Abstract

Despite progress towards universal primary education, children in India lag in age and grade-appropriate learning competencies. This paper studies the effect of women’s political leadership in state legislatures on primary school-aged children’s learning outcomes. I use close elections won by women against men as an instrument for the election of a female politician and find significant gains in math and reading proficiency in children 8–11. Using a rich set of school and household-level data, I evaluate the impact on public and household investments. There is an increased likelihood of public schools receiving grants and inputs beneficial for learning. Further, female politicians lead households to exhibit more confidence in the ability of public schools to provide a better education. Consistent with this perception change, there are reduced time allocation and spending on supplementary household resources. The net positive effect suggests the policy effect outweighs the crowding out of private resources.


Corresponding author: Sadia Priyanka, Department of Economics, Connecticut College, 270 Mohegan Ave Pkwy, 06320-4125, New London, CT, USA, E-mail:

Appendix
Table A1:

Election year and states in the sample.

States 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Andhra Pradesh
Assam
Bihar
Gujarat
Haryana
Himachal Pradesh
Karnataka
Kerala
Madhya Pradesh
Maharashtra
Orissa
Punjab
Rajasthan
Tamil nadu
West Bengal
  1. The black dot represents the election year data included in the sample for each state.

Table A2:

Distribution of proficiency levels.

Reading levels Math levels Writing levels
Cannot read 8% Cannot recognize 12% Cannot write 21%
Letters 16% Numbers 36% 1–2 mistakes 41%
Words 24% Subtraction 33% No mistake 38%
Paragraph 23% Division 19%
Story 29%
  1. Weighted using sample weights.

Table A3:

First stage.

Dependent variable: share of seats won by women in a district (Female MLA)
Linear margins (1)
Share of seats won by women in close elections against men in a district 1.045***
(Female MLA Close) (0.104)
Share of seats with close elections between women and men in a district −0.746***
(Total Close) (0.199)
F statistic 103.3
R square 0.951
Individual and household controls Yes
State fixed effects Yes
Observations 1,970
  1. Robust standard errors clustered at the district level in parentheses. Significance levels ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05.

Table A4:

Test of identifying assumptions.

Panel A: personal covariates
Age (1) Female (2) Hindu (3) Muslim (4) SCST (5)
Female MLAs −0.179 −0.093 0.325 −0.024 −0.593*
(0.515) (0.316) (0.389) (0.344) (0.359)
Total Close 0.518 0.108 0.450 −0.482 −0.165
(0.629) (0.346) (0.602) (0.397) (0.432)
Observations 1,970 1,970 1,970 1,970 1,970
Panel B: Household covariates
HH size Income per Adult years of
(1) capita (2) education (3)
Female MLAs −1.199 7,677 1.750
(1.512) (28,028) (4.870)
Total Close −0.109 5,351 −1.248
(2.130) (34,011) (5.192)
Observations 1,970 1,970 1,970
Panel C: Probability of women winning elections
Female MLAs
(Close election-years) (1)
Share independent 0.621*
(0.335)
Share BJP −0.176
(0.165)
Share Janata −0.053
(0.175)
Share congress −0.086
(0.171)
Share soft left 0.314
(0.366)
Share hard left −0.307
(0.231)
Share regional 0.262
(0.169)
Total seats 0.0007
(0.001)
Total electors −2.16e-07
(2.22e-07)
Total votes cast 1.02e-07
(3.16e-07)
Observations 1,970
  1. Estimation applies sample survey weights so that the covariates are representative of the sample. Previous research shows that female MLAs increase primary education attainment (Clots-Figueras 2012), so we expect them to affect children’s years of education. Similarly, MLAs could affect short-term household expenditures. However, the main results are robust to whether we include them as controls or not. Significance levels *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1.

Table A5:

Gender heterogeneity.

Reading Math
Girls (1) Boys (2) Girls (3) Boys (4)
Female MLAs 0.347 0.592** 0.650** 0.708**
(0.221) (0.259) (0.260) (0.311)
Observations 913 1,057 913 1,057
Electoral margins Linear Linear Linear Linear
Individual controls Yes Yes Yes Yes
Household controls Yes Yes Yes Yes
State fixed effect Yes Yes Yes Yes
  1. Robust clustered standard errors at district level in parentheses. Regressions include share of seats in district with close man-woman elections. Individual child controls include age dummies, gender, religion, caste, and years of education completed. Household controls include household size, expenditure and income per capita, and highest adult years of education. Significance levels ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1.

Table A6:

Accounting for ordinal test scores.

Test scores ≥1 (1) ≥2 (2) ≥3 (3) ≥4 (4)
Panel A: Reading
Female MLAs 0.330** 0.310 0.382 0.370*
(0.147) (0.355) (0.366) (0.206)
Observations 1,970 1,970 1,970 1,970
Panel B: Math
Female MLAs 0.213* 0.064 0.697***
(0.111) (0.324) (0.249)
Observations 1,970 1,970 1,970
Electoral margins Linear Linear Linear Linear
Individual controls Yes Yes Yes Yes
Household controls Yes Yes Yes Yes
State fixed effect Yes Yes Yes Yes
  1. Robust clustered standard errors at district level in parentheses. The dependent variable is a dummy variable equal to 1 if the child has mastered at least the skill level corresponding to each score. Regressions include share of seats in district with close man-woman elections. Individual child controls include age dummies, gender, religion, caste, and years of education completed. Household controls include household size, expenditure and income per capita, and highest adult years of education. Significance levels ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1.

Table A7:

OLS and 2SLS estimates (full sample of 8–11 year olds).

Reading Math Writing
OLS (1) 2SLS (2) OLS (3) 2SLS (4) OLS (5) 2SLS (6)
Female MLAs 0.078 0.122 0.010 0.208 0.021 0.299
(0.108) (0.220) (0.078) (0.248) (0.105) (0.388)
Observations 5,998 5,998 5,998 5,998 5,998 5,998
Electoral margins Linear Linear Linear Linear Linear Linear
Individual controls Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Household controls Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
State fixed effect Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
  1. Robust clustered standard errors at district level in parentheses. Full sample of 5998 observations include all children with non-missing test scores (including close and non-close election observations) Regressions include share of seats in district with close man-woman elections. Individual child controls include age dummies, gender, religion, caste, and years of education completed. Household controls include household size, expenditure and income per capita, and highest adult years of education. Significance levels ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1.

Table A8:

Robustness.

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
Female MLAs 1.195* 1.393 0.973** 0.714*** 0.725** 1.000***
(Close elections) (0.648) (0.958) (0.399) (0.260) (0.313) (0.257)
Observations 1,970 1,970 1,970 1,537 1,970 1,970
Sample Average Continuous Continuous Exclusion Sample Sample
z-score test score test score 8-year old weights weights
reading math math reading math
Female MLAs 0.320 0.730*** 0.722*** 0.920*** 0.387* 0.728***
(Close elections) (0.363) (0.266) (0.269) (0.217) (0.205) (0.250)
Observations 1,970 1,970 1,970 1,970 1,970 1,970
Sample Quadratic Quadratic Political Political Reduced Reduced
margins margins controls controls Form form
reading math reading math reading math
All controls Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
State fixed effect Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
  1. Robust clustered standard errors at district level in parentheses. Regressions include share of seats in district with close man-woman elections. Individual child controls include age dummies, gender, religion, caste, and years of education completed. Household controls include household size, expenditure and income per capita, and highest adult years of education. Significance levels ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1.

Table A9:

Effect of female MLAs on teachers.

Received training (1) Female teacher (2) Years of education (3)
Female MLAs 0.265** −0.487 −0.533
(Close elections) (0.119) (0.521) (1.396)
Observations 2,484 2,473 2,484
Electoral margins Linear Linear Linear
State fixed effects Yes Yes Yes
  1. Robust clustered standard errors at district level in parentheses. Regressions include share of seats with close man-woman elections. Significance levels ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1.

Figure A1: 
Illustration of first stage estimate.
The figure shows the share of seats won by female MLAs against the vote margins of all man-woman elections in the sample. The plot uses data-driven and evenly spaced bins to mimic the underlying variability of the data.
Figure A1:

Illustration of first stage estimate.

The figure shows the share of seats won by female MLAs against the vote margins of all man-woman elections in the sample. The plot uses data-driven and evenly spaced bins to mimic the underlying variability of the data.

Figure A2: 
Electoral margins in man-woman elections.
Notes: Panel A plots the distribution of electoral margins in man-woman elections. Panel B depicts the McCrary density test.
Figure A2:

Electoral margins in man-woman elections.

Notes: Panel A plots the distribution of electoral margins in man-woman elections. Panel B depicts the McCrary density test.

Figure A3: 
Election margins and test scores.
The graph plots the effect of female MLAs on reading and math proficiency against various close election bandwidths ranging from 2.5 to 5%. The dashed line represents the 95% confidence intervals of the coefficient estimates.
Figure A3:

Election margins and test scores.

The graph plots the effect of female MLAs on reading and math proficiency against various close election bandwidths ranging from 2.5 to 5%. The dashed line represents the 95% confidence intervals of the coefficient estimates.

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Received: 2021-11-24
Accepted: 2022-08-25
Published Online: 2022-09-21

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