Abstract
Despite progress towards universal primary education, children in India lag in age and grade-appropriate learning competencies. This paper studies the effect of women’s political leadership in state legislatures on primary school-aged children’s learning outcomes. I use close elections won by women against men as an instrument for the election of a female politician and find significant gains in math and reading proficiency in children 8–11. Using a rich set of school and household-level data, I evaluate the impact on public and household investments. There is an increased likelihood of public schools receiving grants and inputs beneficial for learning. Further, female politicians lead households to exhibit more confidence in the ability of public schools to provide a better education. Consistent with this perception change, there are reduced time allocation and spending on supplementary household resources. The net positive effect suggests the policy effect outweighs the crowding out of private resources.
Election year and states in the sample.
| States | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andhra Pradesh | • | ||||
| Assam | • | ||||
| Bihar | • | ||||
| Gujarat | • | ||||
| Haryana | • | ||||
| Himachal Pradesh | • | ||||
| Karnataka | • | ||||
| Kerala | • | ||||
| Madhya Pradesh | • | ||||
| Maharashtra | • | ||||
| Orissa | • | ||||
| Punjab | • | ||||
| Rajasthan | • | ||||
| Tamil nadu | • | ||||
| West Bengal | • |
-
The black dot represents the election year data included in the sample for each state.
Distribution of proficiency levels.
| Reading levels | Math levels | Writing levels | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cannot read | 8% | Cannot recognize | 12% | Cannot write | 21% |
| Letters | 16% | Numbers | 36% | 1–2 mistakes | 41% |
| Words | 24% | Subtraction | 33% | No mistake | 38% |
| Paragraph | 23% | Division | 19% | ||
| Story | 29% | ||||
-
Weighted using sample weights.
First stage.
| Dependent variable: share of seats won by women in a district (Female MLA) | |
|---|---|
| Linear margins (1) | |
| Share of seats won by women in close elections against men in a district | 1.045*** |
| (Female MLA Close) | (0.104) |
| Share of seats with close elections between women and men in a district | −0.746*** |
| (Total Close) | (0.199) |
| F statistic | 103.3 |
| R square | 0.951 |
| Individual and household controls | Yes |
| State fixed effects | Yes |
| Observations | 1,970 |
-
Robust standard errors clustered at the district level in parentheses. Significance levels ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05.
Test of identifying assumptions.
| Panel A: personal covariates | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age (1) | Female (2) | Hindu (3) | Muslim (4) | SCST (5) | |
| Female MLAs | −0.179 | −0.093 | 0.325 | −0.024 | −0.593* |
| (0.515) | (0.316) | (0.389) | (0.344) | (0.359) | |
| Total Close | 0.518 | 0.108 | 0.450 | −0.482 | −0.165 |
| (0.629) | (0.346) | (0.602) | (0.397) | (0.432) | |
| Observations | 1,970 | 1,970 | 1,970 | 1,970 | 1,970 |
| Panel B: Household covariates | |||||
| HH size | Income per | Adult years of | |||
| (1) | capita (2) | education (3) | |||
| Female MLAs | −1.199 | 7,677 | 1.750 | ||
| (1.512) | (28,028) | (4.870) | |||
| Total Close | −0.109 | 5,351 | −1.248 | ||
| (2.130) | (34,011) | (5.192) | |||
| Observations | 1,970 | 1,970 | 1,970 | ||
| Panel C: Probability of women winning elections | |||||
| Female MLAs | |||||
| (Close election-years) (1) | |||||
| Share independent | 0.621* | ||||
| (0.335) | |||||
| Share BJP | −0.176 | ||||
| (0.165) | |||||
| Share Janata | −0.053 | ||||
| (0.175) | |||||
| Share congress | −0.086 | ||||
| (0.171) | |||||
| Share soft left | 0.314 | ||||
| (0.366) | |||||
| Share hard left | −0.307 | ||||
| (0.231) | |||||
| Share regional | 0.262 | ||||
| (0.169) | |||||
| Total seats | 0.0007 | ||||
| (0.001) | |||||
| Total electors | −2.16e-07 | ||||
| (2.22e-07) | |||||
| Total votes cast | 1.02e-07 | ||||
| (3.16e-07) | |||||
| Observations | 1,970 | ||||
-
Estimation applies sample survey weights so that the covariates are representative of the sample. Previous research shows that female MLAs increase primary education attainment (Clots-Figueras 2012), so we expect them to affect children’s years of education. Similarly, MLAs could affect short-term household expenditures. However, the main results are robust to whether we include them as controls or not. Significance levels *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1.
Gender heterogeneity.
| Reading | Math | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girls (1) | Boys (2) | Girls (3) | Boys (4) | |
| Female MLAs | 0.347 | 0.592** | 0.650** | 0.708** |
| (0.221) | (0.259) | (0.260) | (0.311) | |
| Observations | 913 | 1,057 | 913 | 1,057 |
| Electoral margins | Linear | Linear | Linear | Linear |
| Individual controls | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Household controls | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| State fixed effect | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
-
Robust clustered standard errors at district level in parentheses. Regressions include share of seats in district with close man-woman elections. Individual child controls include age dummies, gender, religion, caste, and years of education completed. Household controls include household size, expenditure and income per capita, and highest adult years of education. Significance levels ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1.
Accounting for ordinal test scores.
| Test scores | ≥1 (1) | ≥2 (2) | ≥3 (3) | ≥4 (4) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panel A: Reading | ||||
| Female MLAs | 0.330** | 0.310 | 0.382 | 0.370* |
| (0.147) | (0.355) | (0.366) | (0.206) | |
| Observations | 1,970 | 1,970 | 1,970 | 1,970 |
| Panel B: Math | ||||
| Female MLAs | 0.213* | 0.064 | 0.697*** | |
| (0.111) | (0.324) | (0.249) | ||
| Observations | 1,970 | 1,970 | 1,970 | |
| Electoral margins | Linear | Linear | Linear | Linear |
| Individual controls | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Household controls | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| State fixed effect | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
-
Robust clustered standard errors at district level in parentheses. The dependent variable is a dummy variable equal to 1 if the child has mastered at least the skill level corresponding to each score. Regressions include share of seats in district with close man-woman elections. Individual child controls include age dummies, gender, religion, caste, and years of education completed. Household controls include household size, expenditure and income per capita, and highest adult years of education. Significance levels ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1.
OLS and 2SLS estimates (full sample of 8–11 year olds).
| Reading | Math | Writing | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OLS (1) | 2SLS (2) | OLS (3) | 2SLS (4) | OLS (5) | 2SLS (6) | |
| Female MLAs | 0.078 | 0.122 | 0.010 | 0.208 | 0.021 | 0.299 |
| (0.108) | (0.220) | (0.078) | (0.248) | (0.105) | (0.388) | |
| Observations | 5,998 | 5,998 | 5,998 | 5,998 | 5,998 | 5,998 |
| Electoral margins | Linear | Linear | Linear | Linear | Linear | Linear |
| Individual controls | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Household controls | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| State fixed effect | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
-
Robust clustered standard errors at district level in parentheses. Full sample of 5998 observations include all children with non-missing test scores (including close and non-close election observations) Regressions include share of seats in district with close man-woman elections. Individual child controls include age dummies, gender, religion, caste, and years of education completed. Household controls include household size, expenditure and income per capita, and highest adult years of education. Significance levels ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1.
Robustness.
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Female MLAs | 1.195* | 1.393 | 0.973** | 0.714*** | 0.725** | 1.000*** |
| (Close elections) | (0.648) | (0.958) | (0.399) | (0.260) | (0.313) | (0.257) |
| Observations | 1,970 | 1,970 | 1,970 | 1,537 | 1,970 | 1,970 |
| Sample | Average | Continuous | Continuous | Exclusion | Sample | Sample |
| z-score | test score | test score | 8-year old | weights | weights | |
| reading | math | math | reading | math | ||
| Female MLAs | 0.320 | 0.730*** | 0.722*** | 0.920*** | 0.387* | 0.728*** |
| (Close elections) | (0.363) | (0.266) | (0.269) | (0.217) | (0.205) | (0.250) |
| Observations | 1,970 | 1,970 | 1,970 | 1,970 | 1,970 | 1,970 |
| Sample | Quadratic | Quadratic | Political | Political | Reduced | Reduced |
| margins | margins | controls | controls | Form | form | |
| reading | math | reading | math | reading | math | |
| All controls | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| State fixed effect | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
-
Robust clustered standard errors at district level in parentheses. Regressions include share of seats in district with close man-woman elections. Individual child controls include age dummies, gender, religion, caste, and years of education completed. Household controls include household size, expenditure and income per capita, and highest adult years of education. Significance levels ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1.
Effect of female MLAs on teachers.
| Received training (1) | Female teacher (2) | Years of education (3) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Female MLAs | 0.265** | −0.487 | −0.533 |
| (Close elections) | (0.119) | (0.521) | (1.396) |
| Observations | 2,484 | 2,473 | 2,484 |
| Electoral margins | Linear | Linear | Linear |
| State fixed effects | Yes | Yes | Yes |
-
Robust clustered standard errors at district level in parentheses. Regressions include share of seats with close man-woman elections. Significance levels ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1.

Illustration of first stage estimate.
The figure shows the share of seats won by female MLAs against the vote margins of all man-woman elections in the sample. The plot uses data-driven and evenly spaced bins to mimic the underlying variability of the data.

Electoral margins in man-woman elections.
Notes: Panel A plots the distribution of electoral margins in man-woman elections. Panel B depicts the McCrary density test.

Election margins and test scores.
The graph plots the effect of female MLAs on reading and math proficiency against various close election bandwidths ranging from 2.5 to 5%. The dashed line represents the 95% confidence intervals of the coefficient estimates.
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Articles in the same Issue
- Frontmatter
- Research Articles
- Default Behavior and Risk Aversion in Defined Contribution Retirement Systems: Evidence from Chile
- Linking Employment and Death: Measuring the Structural Disparity in COVID-19 Deaths for Non-telework Essential Workers
- Estimating the Effect of Distance on the Migration of Higher Education Candidates
- Do Female Politicians Lead to Better Learning Outcomes?
- Understanding Household Consumption Behaviour: What do we Learn from a Developing Country?
- Learning with Differing-Ability Peers: Evidence from a Natural Experiment in South Korea
- Is Bilingual Education Desirable in Multilingual countries?
- Letter
- Is the Non-disclosure Policy of Audit Intensity Always Effective? A Theoretical Exploration
Articles in the same Issue
- Frontmatter
- Research Articles
- Default Behavior and Risk Aversion in Defined Contribution Retirement Systems: Evidence from Chile
- Linking Employment and Death: Measuring the Structural Disparity in COVID-19 Deaths for Non-telework Essential Workers
- Estimating the Effect of Distance on the Migration of Higher Education Candidates
- Do Female Politicians Lead to Better Learning Outcomes?
- Understanding Household Consumption Behaviour: What do we Learn from a Developing Country?
- Learning with Differing-Ability Peers: Evidence from a Natural Experiment in South Korea
- Is Bilingual Education Desirable in Multilingual countries?
- Letter
- Is the Non-disclosure Policy of Audit Intensity Always Effective? A Theoretical Exploration