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State estimation in flash flood prediction for small rivers

  • Divas Karimanzira

    Divas Karimanzira is a Technology professional with a PhD. in Systems engineering and Information Technology. He obtained his first degree in Automation and Control from the Humboldt University in Berlin. He worked as a lecturing associate professor at the University of Technology Ilmenau mainly in the field of Modelling, Simulation, Optimization and Control. He has 10+ years working and research experience in Resources management (Water/Energy). Currently, he is working at the Fraunhofer Research Institute in Germany in Intelligent Water management systems.

    Fraunhofer IOSB-AST, Am Vogelherd 50, 98693 Ilmenau, Germany

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    , Hartmut Linke

    Fraunhofer IOSB-AST, Am Vogelherd 50, 98693 Ilmenau, Germany

    , Thomas Rauschenbach

    Prof. habil. Thomas Rauschenbach ist the Head of the Fraunhofer Ilmeanu.He has been working in the field of water management for several years.He also lectures at the University of Technology Ilmenau mainly in the field of Modelling, Simulation, Optimization and Control.

    Fraunhofer IOSB-AST, Am Vogelherd 50, 98693 Ilmenau, Germany

    and Torsten Pfützenreuter

    Fraunhofer IOSB-AST, Am Vogelherd 50, 98693 Ilmenau, Germany

Published/Copyright: July 7, 2015

Abstract

Rainfall–runoff models are used as an integral part of flood warning systems. Especially in small river catchment areas with a fast response to intense rain, an early enough triggering of warnings requires high quality weather forecasts as well as sufficiently accurate models. A conceptual rainfall–runoff model proposed by Lorent/Gevers serves as core routine of a pilot flash flood warning system for the Truse catchment in Thuringia (Germany). A moving horizon state estimator is used in order to enable this model for online application.

Zusammenfassung

Abflussmodelle sind ein notwendiger Bestandteil alle Sturzflutwarnsysteme. Besonders in Einzugsgebieten kleiner Flüsse mit schneller Reaktion zu intensiven Regen, sind Frühwarnsysteme basierend auf hoch-qualitativen Regenvorhersagen und Einzugsgebietsmodellen sehr wichtig. In diesem Beitrag wird ein Frühwarnsytem für das Trusetalgebiet (Thüringen) vorgestellt. Eine Zustandsschätzung mittels Moving Horizon ermöglicht die Online-Anwendung.

About the authors

Divas Karimanzira

Divas Karimanzira is a Technology professional with a PhD. in Systems engineering and Information Technology. He obtained his first degree in Automation and Control from the Humboldt University in Berlin. He worked as a lecturing associate professor at the University of Technology Ilmenau mainly in the field of Modelling, Simulation, Optimization and Control. He has 10+ years working and research experience in Resources management (Water/Energy). Currently, he is working at the Fraunhofer Research Institute in Germany in Intelligent Water management systems.

Fraunhofer IOSB-AST, Am Vogelherd 50, 98693 Ilmenau, Germany

Hartmut Linke

Fraunhofer IOSB-AST, Am Vogelherd 50, 98693 Ilmenau, Germany

Thomas Rauschenbach

Prof. habil. Thomas Rauschenbach ist the Head of the Fraunhofer Ilmeanu.He has been working in the field of water management for several years.He also lectures at the University of Technology Ilmenau mainly in the field of Modelling, Simulation, Optimization and Control.

Fraunhofer IOSB-AST, Am Vogelherd 50, 98693 Ilmenau, Germany

Torsten Pfützenreuter

Fraunhofer IOSB-AST, Am Vogelherd 50, 98693 Ilmenau, Germany

Acknowledgement

The authors wish to thank the Freistaat Thüringen Ministerium für Landwirtschaft, Forsten, Umwelt und Naturschutz who sponsored the Project. We thank our colleagues who provided insight and expertise that greatly assisted the research.

Received: 2014-12-11
Accepted: 2015-4-15
Published Online: 2015-7-7
Published in Print: 2015-7-28

©2015 Walter de Gruyter Berlin/Boston

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