Frontmatter

Chapters in this book

1. Frontmatter I
2. Foreword V
3. Acknowledgments
4. Contents IX
5. Introduction 1
6. Part 1: Issues Concerning the Transition from Artificial Narrow Intelligence to Artificial General Intelligence
7. Part 1.1: Origin, Self-Emergence, Future Trajectories from ANI to AGI 5
8. Chapter 1 How Might Artificial General Intelligence Emerge? 11
9. Chapter 2 Trajectories for AGI, if not Governed or Governed Badly. What Might Happen? 20
10. Chapter 3 What Initial Conditions, Rules, Regulations, and Guardrails for AGI should we Pursue now? 28
11. Part 1.2: Value Alignment, Morality, and Values
12. Chapter 4 Drawing on the Work of the Global Partnership on AI, UNESCO, and Others that have Already Identified Norms, Principles, and Values, what Additional or Unique Values should be Considered for AGI? 33
13. Chapter 5 How can Alignment be Achieved? If it is not Possible, then what is the Best Way to Manage this Situation? 39
14. Part 1.3: Governance and Regulations
15. Chapter 6 How to Manage the International Cooperation Necessary to Build a Global Governance System, While Nations and Corporations are in an Intellectual “arms race” for Global AGI Leadership? 45
16. Chapter 7 What are the Options for Successful Governance of the Emergence of AGI? 53
17. Chapter 8 What Risks Arise from Attempts to Govern the Emergence of AGI? Might Some Measures be Counterproductive? 58
18. Chapter 9 Should Future AGI Varieties be Given Rights? 61
19. Chapter 10 How can a Governance System be Flexible Enough to Respond to New Issues Previously Unknown at the Time of Creating that Governance System? 64
20. Chapter 11 What International Governance Trials, Tests, or Experiments can be Constructed to Inform the Text of an International AGI Agreement? 66
21. Chapter 12 How can International Treaties and a Governance System Prevent Increased Centralization of Power Crowding Out Others? 69
22. Chapter 13 Where is the Most Important or Insightful Work Today being Conducted on Global Governance of AGI? 72
23. Chapter 14 What Enforcement Powers will be Needed to Make a United Nations Convention on AGI Effective? 74
24. Part 1.4: Control
25. Chapter 15 How can the Use of AGI by Organized Crime and Terrorism be Reduced or Prevented? 77
26. Chapter 16 Assuming AGI Audits would have to be Continuous Rather than One-time Certifications, How would Audit Values be Addressed? 82
27. Chapter 17 What Disruptions could Complicate the Task of Enforcing AGI Governance? 84
28. Chapter 18 How can a Governance Model Correct Undesirable Action Unanticipated in Utility Functions? 86
29. Chapter 19 How will Quantum Computing Affect AGI Control? 89
30. Chapter 20 How can International Agreements and a Governance System Prevent an AGI “arms race” and Escalation from Going Faster than Expected, Getting Out of Control and Leading to War, be it Kinetic, Algorithmic, Cyber, or Information Warfare? 91
31. Chapter 21 What Additional Issues and/or Questions Need to be Addressed to have a Positive AGI Outcome? 95
32. Part 2: Potential Regulations and Global Governance Models
33. Part 2: Potential Regulations and Global Governance Models 99
34. Part 2.1: Executive Summary of Recommendations from this Research 103
35. Part 2.2: Real-Time Delphi Results 109
36. Question 1: What Design Concepts should be Included for a UN AGI Agency to Certify National Licensing of Nonmilitary AGI Systems? 113
37. Part 3: If Humans were Free—The Self-Actualization Economy a 2050 Scenario Made Possible by AGI
38. Part 3: If Humans were Free—The Self-Actualization Economy a 2050 Scenario Made Possible by AGI 147
39. Part 4: Conclusions, Recommendations, and Remaining Issues
40. Part 4: Conclusions, Recommendations, and Remaining Issues 165
41. Appendices 185
42. Appendix A: The Millennium Project Nodes 187
43. Appendix B: The Millennium Project AGI Team 197
44. Appendix C: AGI Experts and Thought Leaders Featured in Part 1 199
45. Appendix D: List of Questions for the Governance of AGI in Part 1 201
46. Appendix E: Regional Demographics/Region Percentage 203
47. Appendix F: Real-Time Delphi Participants Featured in Part 2 205
48. List of Abbreviations
49. Index