University of Calgary Press
The Large-Scale Structure of Inductive Inference
About this book
The Large-Scale Structure of Inductive Inference investigates the relations of inductive support on the large scale, among the totality of facts comprising a science or science in general. These relations form a massively entangled, non-hierarchical structure which is discovered by making hypotheses provisionally that are later supported by facts drawn from the entirety of the science. What results is a benignly circular, self-supporting inductive structure in which universal rules are not employed, the classical Humean problem cannot be formulated and analogous regress arguments fail.
The earlier volume, The Material Theory of Induction, proposed that individual inductive inferences are warranted not by universal rules but by facts particular to each context. This book now investigates how the totality of these inductive inferences interact in a mature science. Each fact that warrants an individual inductive inference is in turn supported inductively by other facts. Numerous case studies in the history of science support, and illustrate further, those claims. This is a novel, thoroughly researched, and sustained remedy to the enduring failures of formal approaches to inductive inference.
With The Large-Scale Structure of Inductive Inference, author John D. Norton presents a novel, thoroughly researched, and sustained remedy to the enduring failures of formal approaches of inductive inference.Author / Editor information
John D. Norton is a distinguished professor of history and philosophy of science at the University of Pittsburgh. He works in history and philosophy of physics and general philosophy of science. He is co-founder of PhilSci-Archive, a preprint server in the philosophy of science,
Reviews
There is much to admire about this book. It combines philosophical theorizing in an exemplary way with beautifully chosen case studies, and it is, like all of Norton’s work, superbly written. A must-read for anyone interested in the philosophy of science.
Hans Halvorson, Stuart Professor of Philosophy, Princeton University:
In the face of centuries of skepticism about, and backlash against science, Norton provides the strongest case ever that all is good (or can be good) with science. The perspective is fresh, the arguments are probing, and the assembled historical data is awe inspiring.
Marc Lange, Theda Perdue Distinguished Professor of Philosophy, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill:
Norton’s important new book will be an essential touchstone for all future work on the logic of scientific reasoning.
Topics
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Frontmatter
i -
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Contents
v -
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List of Figures
ix -
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List of Tables
xi -
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Preface
xiii -
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Introduction
1 -
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1 The Material Theory of Induction, Briefly
15 - Part I — General Claims and Arguments
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2 Large-Scale Structure: Four Claims
59 -
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3 Circularity
99 -
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4 The Uniqueness of Domain-Specific Inductive Logics
119 -
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5 Coherentism and the Material Theory of Induction
143 -
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6 The Problem of Induction
175 - Part II — Historical Case Studies
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7 The Recession of the Nebulae
231 -
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8 Newton on Universal Gravitation
257 -
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9 Mutually Supporting Evidence in Atomic Spectra
269 -
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10 Mutually Supporting Evidence in Radiocarbon Dating
289 -
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11 The Determination of Atomic Weights
297 -
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12 The Use of Hypotheses in Determining Distances in Our Planetary System
331 -
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13 Dowsing: The Instabilities of Evidential Competition
365 -
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14 Stock Market Prediction: When Inductive Logics Compete
387 -
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Afterword
413 -
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Index
415