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APPENDIX B. Moving Average Smoothing of Data
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Michael J. Schell
Michael J. SchellSearch for this author in:
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Chapters in this book
- Frontmatter i
- CONTENTS vii
- PREFACE ix
- ABBREVIATIONS xi
- CHAPTER 1. Fair Ball! 1
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PART ONE. The Methods
- CHAPTER 2. Manager’s Game Plan 9
- CHAPTER 3. New Ball! 28
- CHAPTER 4. Calling It a Career 45
- CHAPTER 5. Talent Search 58
- CHAPTER 6. Home Park Advantage 69
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PART TWO. The Findings
- CHAPTER 7. Swing, Batter! 99
- CHAPTER 8. Hit . . . and Run 108
- CHAPTER 9. This One’s Outta Here! 118
- CHAPTER 10. Changing the Score 131
- CHAPTER 11. The Count 149
- CHAPTER 12. Stealing the Show 162
- CHAPTER 13. Putting It All Together 168
- CHAPTER 14. Fantasy League 177
- CHAPTER 15. The Players Take the Field 189
- CHAPTER 16. Final Score 204
- CHAPTER 17. Post-Game Report 209
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APPENDICES
- APPENDIX A. The Piecewise Linear Regression Method 217
- APPENDIX B. Moving Average Smoothing of Data 226
- APPENDIX C. The Multiple Changepoint Regression Procedure 228
- APPENDIX D. How to Estimate Ballpark Effects 235
- APPENDIX E. Transformations of Offensive Event Averages 247
- APPENDIX F. How to Adjust for Doubles and Triples 257
- APPENDIX G. Predicting Runs and RBIs from the Batting Record 260
- APPENDIX H. Regular Player Event Averages 265
- APPENDIX I. Event Performance Spreads 266
- APPENDIX J. Event Park Effects 267
- APPENDIX K. Home Run Park Effects 284
- APPENDIX L. Best Individual Seasons 297
- APPENDIX M. Best Careers 327
- APPENDIX N. Adjusted Career Offensive Averages 356
- GLOSSARY 380
- REFERENCES 387
- PLAYER INDEX 389
Chapters in this book
- Frontmatter i
- CONTENTS vii
- PREFACE ix
- ABBREVIATIONS xi
- CHAPTER 1. Fair Ball! 1
-
PART ONE. The Methods
- CHAPTER 2. Manager’s Game Plan 9
- CHAPTER 3. New Ball! 28
- CHAPTER 4. Calling It a Career 45
- CHAPTER 5. Talent Search 58
- CHAPTER 6. Home Park Advantage 69
-
PART TWO. The Findings
- CHAPTER 7. Swing, Batter! 99
- CHAPTER 8. Hit . . . and Run 108
- CHAPTER 9. This One’s Outta Here! 118
- CHAPTER 10. Changing the Score 131
- CHAPTER 11. The Count 149
- CHAPTER 12. Stealing the Show 162
- CHAPTER 13. Putting It All Together 168
- CHAPTER 14. Fantasy League 177
- CHAPTER 15. The Players Take the Field 189
- CHAPTER 16. Final Score 204
- CHAPTER 17. Post-Game Report 209
-
APPENDICES
- APPENDIX A. The Piecewise Linear Regression Method 217
- APPENDIX B. Moving Average Smoothing of Data 226
- APPENDIX C. The Multiple Changepoint Regression Procedure 228
- APPENDIX D. How to Estimate Ballpark Effects 235
- APPENDIX E. Transformations of Offensive Event Averages 247
- APPENDIX F. How to Adjust for Doubles and Triples 257
- APPENDIX G. Predicting Runs and RBIs from the Batting Record 260
- APPENDIX H. Regular Player Event Averages 265
- APPENDIX I. Event Performance Spreads 266
- APPENDIX J. Event Park Effects 267
- APPENDIX K. Home Run Park Effects 284
- APPENDIX L. Best Individual Seasons 297
- APPENDIX M. Best Careers 327
- APPENDIX N. Adjusted Career Offensive Averages 356
- GLOSSARY 380
- REFERENCES 387
- PLAYER INDEX 389