Chapter
Publicly Available
PREFACE
-
Julian Lincoln Simon
Chapters in this book
- Frontmatter i
- CONTENTS vii
- LIST OF FIGURES xiii
- LIST OF TABLES xvii
- PREFACE xxi
- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS xxv
- LIST OF SYMBOLS xxvii
- FOREWORD xxix
- Chapter I: Introduction to the Issues and to the Book 1
-
PART I: The Effects of Population Growth on Economic Conditions
- Introduction 23
- Chapter 2: The Effect of Population Growth on the Economic Level: Background, Comparative Statics, and General Dynamic Model 25
- Chapter 3: The Influence of Population Growth on Income in Developed Economies: Data, Theories, and Micro-Economic Variables 44
- Chapter 4: Macro-Economic Influences of Population Growth on Income in Developed Economies 63
- Chapter 5: Natural Resources, Pollution, and Population Growth in MDC's 82
- Chapter 6: The Effect of Population on Per- Worker Income in MDC's: A Simulation 108
- Chapter 7: The Effect of Population Growth on LDC Economies and Their Development: The Model in General 137
- Chapter 8: Change in Agricultural Techniques: The Population-Push and Invention-Pull Theories of Economic-Demographic History Reconciled 158
- Chapter 9: Behavior Change, Amount of Work, and Population Increase in LDC Agriculture 183
- Appendix to Chapter 9: Case Study of the Sensitivity of Agricultural Productive Behavior to Increase in Farm Population in Village India 204
- Chapter 10: The Effect of Additional Children on Nonfarm Physical and Human Capital in LDC's 216
- Appendix to Chapter 10: Criticism of the Coale-Hoover Results 235
- Chapter 11: The Effect of Population Growth on Agricultural Investment in LDC's 238
- Chapter 12: The Effect of Population Growth on Social Capital and Economies of Scale 262
- Chapter 13: Simulations of the Effect of Population Growth on the Economic Development of LDC's 278
-
PART II: The Effects of Economic Conditions on Fertility
- Introduction 309
- Chapter 14: The Effect of Income on Fertility: Basic Theory and Concepts 310
- Appendix to Chapter 14: A Formal Reconciliation of the Contradiction between Time-Series and Cross-Section Evidence on Income and Fertility 326
- Chapter 15: The Short-Run and Long-Run Effects of Income on Fertility in MDC's 329
- Chapter 16: The Short-Run and Long-Run Effects of lncome on Fertility in LDC's 353
- Chapter 17: Incentives and Income Redistribution as Devices to Alter Fertility 364
-
PART III: Economic Decisions about Population Growth
- Introduction 391
- Chapter 18: The Welfare Economics of Fertility 393
- Appendix to Chapter 18: Some Additional Issues 420
- Chapter 19: The Per-Capita-Income Criterion and Natality Policies in Poor Countries 423
- Chapter 20: The Value of Averted Births to People in the LDC's 428
- Chapter 21: A Cost-Benefit Decision Method for LDC Fertility Reduction Programs 440
- Chapter 22: Birth-Control Market-Segmentation Strategy, or How To Increase Contraceptive Usage 451
- Chapter 23: Summary and Conclusions 474
- Chapter 24: Some Speculations 486
- Appendix: Common Objections to the Book's Conclusions and Some Simplified Rebuttals 493
- References 507
- Index 545
Chapters in this book
- Frontmatter i
- CONTENTS vii
- LIST OF FIGURES xiii
- LIST OF TABLES xvii
- PREFACE xxi
- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS xxv
- LIST OF SYMBOLS xxvii
- FOREWORD xxix
- Chapter I: Introduction to the Issues and to the Book 1
-
PART I: The Effects of Population Growth on Economic Conditions
- Introduction 23
- Chapter 2: The Effect of Population Growth on the Economic Level: Background, Comparative Statics, and General Dynamic Model 25
- Chapter 3: The Influence of Population Growth on Income in Developed Economies: Data, Theories, and Micro-Economic Variables 44
- Chapter 4: Macro-Economic Influences of Population Growth on Income in Developed Economies 63
- Chapter 5: Natural Resources, Pollution, and Population Growth in MDC's 82
- Chapter 6: The Effect of Population on Per- Worker Income in MDC's: A Simulation 108
- Chapter 7: The Effect of Population Growth on LDC Economies and Their Development: The Model in General 137
- Chapter 8: Change in Agricultural Techniques: The Population-Push and Invention-Pull Theories of Economic-Demographic History Reconciled 158
- Chapter 9: Behavior Change, Amount of Work, and Population Increase in LDC Agriculture 183
- Appendix to Chapter 9: Case Study of the Sensitivity of Agricultural Productive Behavior to Increase in Farm Population in Village India 204
- Chapter 10: The Effect of Additional Children on Nonfarm Physical and Human Capital in LDC's 216
- Appendix to Chapter 10: Criticism of the Coale-Hoover Results 235
- Chapter 11: The Effect of Population Growth on Agricultural Investment in LDC's 238
- Chapter 12: The Effect of Population Growth on Social Capital and Economies of Scale 262
- Chapter 13: Simulations of the Effect of Population Growth on the Economic Development of LDC's 278
-
PART II: The Effects of Economic Conditions on Fertility
- Introduction 309
- Chapter 14: The Effect of Income on Fertility: Basic Theory and Concepts 310
- Appendix to Chapter 14: A Formal Reconciliation of the Contradiction between Time-Series and Cross-Section Evidence on Income and Fertility 326
- Chapter 15: The Short-Run and Long-Run Effects of Income on Fertility in MDC's 329
- Chapter 16: The Short-Run and Long-Run Effects of lncome on Fertility in LDC's 353
- Chapter 17: Incentives and Income Redistribution as Devices to Alter Fertility 364
-
PART III: Economic Decisions about Population Growth
- Introduction 391
- Chapter 18: The Welfare Economics of Fertility 393
- Appendix to Chapter 18: Some Additional Issues 420
- Chapter 19: The Per-Capita-Income Criterion and Natality Policies in Poor Countries 423
- Chapter 20: The Value of Averted Births to People in the LDC's 428
- Chapter 21: A Cost-Benefit Decision Method for LDC Fertility Reduction Programs 440
- Chapter 22: Birth-Control Market-Segmentation Strategy, or How To Increase Contraceptive Usage 451
- Chapter 23: Summary and Conclusions 474
- Chapter 24: Some Speculations 486
- Appendix: Common Objections to the Book's Conclusions and Some Simplified Rebuttals 493
- References 507
- Index 545