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Sovereign Reputation and Yield Spreads: A Case Study on Retroactive Legislation

  • Otto Randl and Josef Zechner
Published/Copyright: November 30, 2019

Abstract

This paper uses recent legislation in Austria to establish a link between sovereign reputation and yield spreads. In 2009, Hypo Alpe Adria International, a bank previously co-owned by the regional government of Carinthia, had been nationalized by Austria’s central government in order to avoid a default triggering multi-billion Euro local government guarantees. In 2015, special legislation retroactively introduced collective action clauses allowing a haircut on both the bonds and the guarantees while avoiding formal default. We document that legislative and administrative action designed to partly abrogate the guarantees resulted in a loss of reputation, leading to higher yield spreads for sovereign debt. Our analysis of covered bonds uncovers an increase in yield spreads on the secondary market and a deterioration of primary market conditions.

Published Online: 2019-11-30
Published in Print: 2018-08-01

© 2019 by Walter de Gruyter Berlin/Boston

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