CONTENTS

Chapters in this book

1. Frontmatter i
2. CONTENTS vii
3. Introduction 1
4. Chapter 1. Scientists, Disasters, and Prediction Before the War 30
5. Chapter 2. Embracing Prediction in the 1940s 49
6. Chapter 3. Plans for Disasters and Blueprints for Prediction 68
7. Chapter 4. The Niigata Earthquake and Kawasumi Hiroshi’s Theory 91
8. Chapter 5. The Matsushiro Earthquake Cluster 113
9. Chapter 6. Tokyo’s Disastrous Futures 133
10. Chapter 7. The Making of the Tōkai Earthquake 158
11. Chapter 8. The Tōkai Earthquake and the Turn to Prediction 185
12. Chapter 9. Uncertainty and the Hanshin-Awaji Earthquake 221
13. Epilogue. The Future of Disasters 250
14. NOTES 283
15. BIBLIOGRAPHY 335
16. INDEX 355
17. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS 367