Is a Recession Ahead? The Models Say Yes, but the Mind Says No

Edward E Leamer

doi:10.2202/1553-3832.1239

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Is a Recession Ahead? The Models Say Yes, but the Mind Says No

Edward E Leamer

Published/Copyright: January 11, 2007

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From the journal The Economists' Voice Volume 4 Issue 1

Models based on leading indicators suggest that a recession is almost certainly imminent, but Edward Leamer, a prominent econometrician, distrusts the econometrics and argues that the housing slump will be confined to that sector.

Published Online: 2007-1-11

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Articles in the same Issue

Column
Is a Recession Ahead? The Models Say Yes, but the Mind Says No
Housing Collapse? Bring It On!
The Case for Public Funding and Public Oversight of Clinical Trials
Dirty Money: What the Underworld Understands that Economists Do Not
Deconstructing the China Price

https://doi.org/10.2202/1553-3832.1239

Articles in the same Issue

Column
Is a Recession Ahead? The Models Say Yes, but the Mind Says No
Housing Collapse? Bring It On!
The Case for Public Funding and Public Oversight of Clinical Trials
Dirty Money: What the Underworld Understands that Economists Do Not
Deconstructing the China Price