Abstract
In this note we argue that despite the progress achieved, as measured by income convergence and compliance with the official (Maastricht Treaty) requirements, implementing the ECB interest rates would most probably destabilize the Polish economy leading to a loss of potential gains from adopting the common currency.
Acknowledgements
This note would not reach its current shape without the advice and help of K. Basiarz (London School of Economics), M. Hołda (NBP), M. Kitala (NBP), R. Kokoszczyński (Warsaw University, NBP), G. Schnabl (University of Leipzig) and M. Szadkowski (NBP). I express gratitude to all of them, obviously taking full responsibility for stated opinions and all remaining errors.
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Article note
This paper presents the author’s personal opinions and does not necessary reflect the official position of the NBP.
©2018 Walter de Gruyter GmbH, Berlin/Boston
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Articles in the same Issue
- Editorial
- The European Monetary Union on a Bumpy Road – Challenges and Solutions for an Uncertain Future
- Policy Papers
- Core-Periphery Relations in the Eurozone
- Monetary Integration, Fiscal Divergence and Current Account Imbalances in Europe
- Secular Stagnation, Unemployment Hysteresis and Monetary Policy in EMU: Scratches but Not Scars?
- An Evolutionary Path Towards a European Monetary Fund
- How to Leave the Eurozone: The Case of Finland
- Policy Forum
- Solidarity and Responsibility in the Euro Area: Foes or Friends?
- The European Central Bank, Italy and the Next Eurozone Crisis
- Beyond Risk Sharing and Risk Reduction
- How Europe should Overcome the Coming Deadlock
- “Strengthen Stability: Further Development of the ESM in a Deepened Monetary Union”
- Poland’s Euro Adoption Perspectives
- The Fairy Tale of Low Inflation in the Euro Area
- On the Accuracy of Estimating the Inflation Rate: Marty Feldstein as Dr. Pangloss
- Other Papers
- The Unbearable Errorlessness of Global Poverty Estimates
- Property Rights on Credit and State Control of Money: The Irrelevance of the Origin of Money