Changing Technology Trends, Transition Dynamics, and Growth Accounting
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Michael R. Pakko
Abstract
The technology growth trends that underlie recent productivity patterns are investigated in a framework that incorporates investment-specific technological progress. Structural-break tests and regime-shifting models reveal the presence of a downward shift in total factor productivity growth in the late 1960s and an upward shift in investment-specific technology growth in the mid-1980s. In both cases, these breaks precede the generally recognized dates of labor productivity growth shifts. Simulations of technology growth shocks in a basic neoclassical model show that induced patterns of capital accumulation are generally consistent with the observed lags between technological advances and changes in productivity growth.
©2011 Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co. KG, Berlin/Boston
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- Comparing Wealth Effects: The Stock Market versus the Housing Market
- Optimal Time-Consistent Taxation with International Mobility Of Capital
- The Great Inflation of the Seventies: What Really Happened?
- Contributions Article
- The Effects of Industrialization on Education and Youth Labor in Indonesia
- A Closed Form Ramsey Saddle Path
- Indeterminacy, Stabilization Policy and Returns to Scale: A Re-Investigation
- Hiccups for HIPCs? Implications of Debt Relief for Fiscal Sustainability and Monetary Policy
- The Effects of Reducing Firing Costs in Spain: A Lost Opportunity?
- The Buffer-Stock Consumption Model with Endogenous Income Shifts
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- Indeterminacy and the Stability Puzzle in Non-Convex Economies
- The Underestimated Virtues of the Two-sector AK Model
- How Well Does the New Keynesian Sticky-Price Model Fit the Data?
- Exchange Rates and Fiscal Adjustments: Evidence from the OECD and Implications for the EMU
- Changing Technology Trends, Transition Dynamics, and Growth Accounting
- The 3-Equation New Keynesian Model --- A Graphical Exposition
- Topics Article
- Transparency and Reputation: The Publication of Central Bank Forecasts
- Technology Adoption in Follower Countries: With or Without Local R&D Activities?
- Non-Scale Models of R&D-based Growth: The Market Solution
- Parameter Instability, Model Uncertainty and the Choice of Monetary Policy
- Job Insecurity, Reallocation and Technological Innovation in a Self-Fulfilling Prophecy
- The Scope of Monetary Policy Actions Authorized Under the Federal Reserve Act
- Roads versus Schooling: Growth Effects of Government Choices
- Matching Up the Data on Education with Economic Growth Models
- An Active Public Investment Rule and the Downsizing Experience in the US: 1960-2000
- Exchange Rate Regimes and Financial Dollarization: Does Flexibility Reduce Currency Mismatches in Bank Intermediation?
- U.S. Regional Income and Technology: A Unit-Root and Cointegration Study
- Firm Entry with an Imperfect Labor Market
- Fiscal Policy and the Price Level
- Income Taxation, Productive Government Expenditure and Stochastic Growth: On Conditions for an Optimal Policy and the Role of the Risk Premium
- Income and Wealth Distributions Along the Business Cycle: Implications from the Neoclassical Growth Model
- Ramsey-Friedman Optimality with Banking Time
- Optimal Fiscal Policy with Rationing in the Labor Market
- The Monetary Policy Committee's Reaction Function: An Exercise in Estimation
- Policy Effects in the Post Boom U.S. Economy
- Human Capital and Growth: An Alternative Accounting
- Growing Old Together: Firm Survival and Employee Turnover
- Vertical Diversity, Communication Gap and Equilibrium Growth
- Should Developing Countries Strengthen their Intellectual Property Rights?
- Capital Accumulation in Private Information Economies
Articles in the same Issue
- Advances Article
- Comparing Wealth Effects: The Stock Market versus the Housing Market
- Optimal Time-Consistent Taxation with International Mobility Of Capital
- The Great Inflation of the Seventies: What Really Happened?
- Contributions Article
- The Effects of Industrialization on Education and Youth Labor in Indonesia
- A Closed Form Ramsey Saddle Path
- Indeterminacy, Stabilization Policy and Returns to Scale: A Re-Investigation
- Hiccups for HIPCs? Implications of Debt Relief for Fiscal Sustainability and Monetary Policy
- The Effects of Reducing Firing Costs in Spain: A Lost Opportunity?
- The Buffer-Stock Consumption Model with Endogenous Income Shifts
- Capital-Skill Complementarity and Rigid Relative Wages: Inference from the Business Cycle
- Indeterminacy and the Stability Puzzle in Non-Convex Economies
- The Underestimated Virtues of the Two-sector AK Model
- How Well Does the New Keynesian Sticky-Price Model Fit the Data?
- Exchange Rates and Fiscal Adjustments: Evidence from the OECD and Implications for the EMU
- Changing Technology Trends, Transition Dynamics, and Growth Accounting
- The 3-Equation New Keynesian Model --- A Graphical Exposition
- Topics Article
- Transparency and Reputation: The Publication of Central Bank Forecasts
- Technology Adoption in Follower Countries: With or Without Local R&D Activities?
- Non-Scale Models of R&D-based Growth: The Market Solution
- Parameter Instability, Model Uncertainty and the Choice of Monetary Policy
- Job Insecurity, Reallocation and Technological Innovation in a Self-Fulfilling Prophecy
- The Scope of Monetary Policy Actions Authorized Under the Federal Reserve Act
- Roads versus Schooling: Growth Effects of Government Choices
- Matching Up the Data on Education with Economic Growth Models
- An Active Public Investment Rule and the Downsizing Experience in the US: 1960-2000
- Exchange Rate Regimes and Financial Dollarization: Does Flexibility Reduce Currency Mismatches in Bank Intermediation?
- U.S. Regional Income and Technology: A Unit-Root and Cointegration Study
- Firm Entry with an Imperfect Labor Market
- Fiscal Policy and the Price Level
- Income Taxation, Productive Government Expenditure and Stochastic Growth: On Conditions for an Optimal Policy and the Role of the Risk Premium
- Income and Wealth Distributions Along the Business Cycle: Implications from the Neoclassical Growth Model
- Ramsey-Friedman Optimality with Banking Time
- Optimal Fiscal Policy with Rationing in the Labor Market
- The Monetary Policy Committee's Reaction Function: An Exercise in Estimation
- Policy Effects in the Post Boom U.S. Economy
- Human Capital and Growth: An Alternative Accounting
- Growing Old Together: Firm Survival and Employee Turnover
- Vertical Diversity, Communication Gap and Equilibrium Growth
- Should Developing Countries Strengthen their Intellectual Property Rights?
- Capital Accumulation in Private Information Economies