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One sided strong laws for random variables with infinite mean

  • André Adler EMAIL logo
Published/Copyright: June 22, 2017

Abstract

This paper establishes conditions that secure the almost sure upper and lower bounds for a particular normalized weighted sum of independent nonnegative random variables. These random variables do not possess a finite first moment so these results are not typical. These mild conditions allow us to show that the almost sure upper limit is infinity while the almost sure lower bound is one.

MSC 2010: 60F15

This paper extends work done in [1] and [2]. We use those Weak Laws to obtain our almost sure upper and lower bounds. We present conditions that allow us to achieve these bounds for our normalized weighted sums. As in [2] the random variables at the heart of these theorems are independent without a first moment where P{Xj = 0} = 1 − aj and P{Xj>x}=1x+1/aj, for x > 0. We set An =j=1naj , which must go to infinity in order to establish our theorems.

In terms of notation we use lg x = ln x, but whenever we have ln 1 in a denominator we will just set that equal to one, so we won’t be dividing by zero. Hence lg x = ln x, except lg 1 = 1. We set lg1 x = lg x, and lgk+1 x = lg(lgk x), so the i in lgi x is not the base, it is the iteration of the logarithm. Many times in the proofs and the examples we will pull the logarithm and any other slowly varying function out from an integral and the infinite summations since they are slowly varying, see [3] pages 279-284. Finally, note that the constant C will be used as a generic bound that is not necessarily the same in each appearance. From [2] we have a Weak Law that helps us produce the almost sure lower bound.

Theorem 1

If An → ∞, then

j=1n ajXjAnlgAnP1. (1)

We next establish the almost sure upper bound for these same weighted sums. The condition that ensures that the upper bound is infinite is

n=1anAnlgAn=. (2)

Theorem 2

If (2) holds, then

lim supnj=1najXjAnlgAn=almostsurely.

Proof

For all M > 0

n=1P{anXnAnlgAn>M}=n=1P{Xn>MAnlgAnan}=n=11MAnlgAnan+1an=n=1anMAnlgAn+1=.

Thus

lim supnanXnAnlgAn= almost surely

hence

lim supnj=inajXjAnlgAnlim supnanXnAnlgAn=almostsurely

which completes this proof. ☐

In order to get the lower limit we assume there is a sequence {dn, n ≥ 1} where

limnj=1najlg(ajdj)AnlgAn=1 (3)

and

n=1an2dnAn2lg2An<. (4)

Note that we need both An and an dn to go to infinity to achieve our results. But these are mild conditions.

What is fascinating is that even though we can split (3) into two pieces, we need both parts. When aj = jα, where α > −1, we select dj = j which gives us

j=1najlgajAnlgAnαα+1

and

j=1najlgdjAnlgAn1α+1.

This shows that both terms are necessary. Combining that with An ~ nα+1/(α + 1), we see that (3) and (4) hold, see Example 4.

Theorem 3

If there exist a sequence {dn, n ≥ 1} satisfying (3) and (4) then

lim infnj=1najXjAnlgAn=1almostsurely.

Proof

From Theorem 1 we have

lim infnj=1najXjAnlgAn1almostsurely.

We will show that conditions (3) and (4) establishes

lim infnj=1najXjAnlgAn1almostsurely. (5)

Using our sequence {dn, n ≥ 1} we have

j=1najXjAnlgAnj=1najXjI(Xjdj)AnlgAn=j=1naj[XjI(Xjdj)EXjI(Xjdj)]AnlgAn+j=1najEXjI(Xjdj)AnlgAn.

By the Khintchine-Kolmogorov Convergence Theorem, see [4] page 113, and the Kronecker lemma, the first term converges to zero almost surely since

n=1an2EXn2I(Xndn)An2lg2An=n=1an2An2lg2An0 dn x2dx(x+1/an)2n=1an2dnAn2lg2An<

by (4). We now examine our expectation

j=1najEXjI(Xjdj)AnlgAn=1AnlgAnj=1naj0djxdx(x+1/aj)2=1AnlgAnj=1naj1/ajdj+1/aj(u1/aj)duu2=1AnlgAnj=1naj1/ajdj+1/ajduu1AnlgAnj=1n1/ajdj+1/ajduu2.

The first term converges to one by (3) since

1AnlgAnj=1naj1/ajdj+1/ajduu=1AnlgAnj=1naj[lg(dj+1/aj)lg(1/aj)]=1AnlgAnj=1najlg(ajdj+1)1

while the second term goes to zero since

1AnlgAnj=1n1/ajdj+1/ajduu21AnlgAnj=1n1/ajduu2=1AnlgAnj=1naj=AnAnlgAn=1lgAn0.

Hence (5) does hold, concluding the proof. ☐

We conclude with three examples, each showing how to select {dn, n ≥ 1} so that (3) and (4) hold. What is quite remarkable is that if we select {dn, n ≥ 1} correctly we see that all three conditions hold even though (2) and (4) seem contradictory.

Example 4

Let L(x) be any slowly varying function and α > −1, then

lim infnj=1njαL(j)Xjnα+1L(n)lgn=1almostsurely
and
lim supnj=1njαL(j)Xjnα+1L(n)lgn=almostsurely.

Proof

Since aj = jαL(j) we have An ~ nα+1L(n)/(α + 1) and lg An ~ (α + 1) and lg n, thus

n=1anAnlgAnCn=1nαL(n)nα+1L(n)lgn=Cn=11nlgn=.

In this case we set dj = j. Thus ajdj = jα+1L(j) and lg(ajdj) ~ (α + 1) lg j, hence

j=1najlg(ajdj)AnlgAn(α+1)j=1njαL(j)lgjnα+1L(n)lgn1

and

n=1an2dnAn2lg2AnCn=1n2α+1L2(n)n2α+2L2(n)lg2n=Cn=11nlg2n<.

Next we look at a borderline case, where once again An → ∞ is necessary.

Example 5

If α > −1, then for all δ

liminfnj=1n(lgj)α(lg2j)δjXj(lgn)α+1(lg2n)δ+1=1almostsurely
and
limsupnj=1n(lgj)α(lg2j)δjXj(lgn)α+1(lg2n)δ+1=almostsurely.

Proof

Since aj = (lgj)α(lg2 j)δ/j we have An ~ (lgn)α+1(lg2n)δ /(α + 1) and lg An ~ (α + 1) lg2 n, thus

n=1anAnlgAnCn=1(lgn)α(lg2n)δ/n(lgn)α+1(lg2n)δ+1=Cn=11nlgnlg2n=.

In this case we set dj = j lg j. Thus ajdj = (lg j)α+1(lg2 j)δ and lg(aj dj) ~ (α + 1) lg2 j, hence

j=1najlg(ajdj)AnlgAn(α+1)j=1n(lgj)α(lg2j)δ+1/j(lgn)α+1(lg2n)δ+11

and

n=1an2dnAn2lg2AnCn=1((lgn)α(lg2n)δn)2(nlgn)((lgn)α+1(lg2n)δ+1)2=Cn=11nlgnlg22n<.

Example 6

If α > −1, then for all δ

liminfnj=1n(lg2j)α(lg3j)δjlgjXj(lg2n)α+1(lg3n)δ+1=1almostsurely
and
limsupnj=1n(lg2j)α(lg3j)δjlgjXj(lg2n)α+1(lg3n)δ+1=almostsurely.

Proof

Since aj = (lg2 j)α(lg3 j)δ/(j lg j) we have An ~ (lg2n)α+1(lg3 n)δ/(α + 1) and lg An ~ (α + 1) lg3 n, thus

n=1anAnlgAnCn=1(lg2n)α(lg3n)δ/(nlgn)(lg2n)α+1(lg3n)δ+1=Cn=11nlgnlg2nlg3n=.

In this case we set dj = j lgj lg2 j. Thus ajdj = (lg2 j)α+1(lg3 j)δ and lg(ajdj) ~ (α + 1) lg3 j, hence

j=1najlg(ajdj)AnlgAn(α+1)j=1n(lg2j)α(lg3j)δ+1/(jlgj)(lg2n)α+1(lg3n)δ+11

and

n=1an2dnAn2lg2AnCn=1((lg2n)α(lg3n)δnlgn)2(nlgnlg2n)((lg2n)α+1(lg3n)δ+1)2=Cn=11nlgnlg2nlg32n<.

In each case we see that even though (2) and (4) are quite similar series and even though one must be finite and the other infinite, if one selects {dn, n ≥ 1} correctly, these two equations along with (3) hold every time. We can continue with

an=(lgd+1n)α(lgd+2n)δni=1dlgin

where α > −1, as long as we set dn=ni=1d+1lgin.

Remark 7

It would be nice to replace (2) with the milder condition An → ∞, but they arent equivalent. If we have rapidly growing sequences we can see the difference. For example, let An = en2, then clearly An → ∞. However

an=AnAn1=en2e(n1)2<en2
and
n=1anAnlgAn<n=1en2en2lg(en2)=n=11n2<.

References

[1] Adler A., An exact weak law of large numbers, Bull. Inst. Math. Acad. Sinica, 2012, 7, 417-422Search in Google Scholar

[2] Nakata T., Weak law of large numbers for weighted independent random variables with infinite mean. Statist. Probab. Letters, 2016, 109, 124-12910.1016/j.spl.2015.11.017Search in Google Scholar

[3] Feller W., An Introduction to Probability Theory and its Applications, Vol 2, 2nd edition, 1996, Wiley and SonsSearch in Google Scholar

[4] Chow Y.S., Teicher H., Probability Theory: Independence, Interchangeability, Martingales, 3rd edition, 1997, Springer-Verlag10.1007/978-1-4612-1950-7Search in Google Scholar

Received: 2016-12-12
Accepted: 2017-5-16
Published Online: 2017-6-22

© 2017 Adler

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.

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