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Measurement in Set Theory

  • Shoshana Friedman and Sheila K. Miller Edwards EMAIL logo
Published/Copyright: May 22, 2025

Abstract

Measurement holds a special place in the epistemology of the physical world. Knowledge that has been verified by measurement is considered more reliable than that deduced from unmeasurable theories. However, relativity shows that the act of measurement is not independent of our frame of reference. From quantum mechanics we learned that the states of some systems cannot be known without a measurement that itself alters the state of that system, and furthermore that there exist certain systems all of whose states we cannot simultaneously know. We propose that certain fundamental functions of set theory are measurements and apply this interpretation to the debate surrounding whether there is a single universe of sets or a multiverse of universes of sets.

1 Introduction

Many of the questions that early set theorists hoped and expected to resolve are provably undecidable from the standard axioms of set theory. What does it mean that set theory has been unable to resolve what appear to be basic question about sets and cardinality, and how do we interpret the resulting ambiguity? In particular, how do we make sense of the diversity of models of set theory? One approach is to embrace a multiverse view of set theory; some even suppose that there are many distinct concepts of iterative set exhibited by the various models in the multiverse. Universists hold that there is one distinguished concept of iterative set and one associated universe expressing the true, inevitable consequences of that concept. Still others maintain that the concept of iterative set itself is in some way ill-defined, and there is no way to make mathematical sense of questions like the continuum hypothesis.

In this paper, we propose that certain functions of set theory are measurements, and we examine independence phenomena in light of the philosophy of measurement. In Section 2 we review some set theoretic background and introduce universe and multiverse interpretations of independence that we will discuss at length in Section 6. In Section 4 we propose that cardinality, order type, and cofinality can be viewed as measurements. To support that conversation we briefly survey the theory of measurement in Section 3. In Section 5 we review some features and limitations of measurement of the physical world and outline a possible interpretation of independence phenomena as an artifact of measurement. In Section 6 we examine universe and multiverse views from a measurement perspective and propose further investigations in Section 7.

2 Independence in Set Theory

Set theory is widely considered “the standard foundation for mathematics” (Bagaria 2023) that gives us a common framework in which we can interpret all of mathematics, and as such it has been taken to be an arena of final adjudication able to tell us the truth of the matter in cases of dispute or uncertainty. (See Maddy (2017) for a detailed and highly readable exposition of past and present views of set theory as a foundation for mathematics.)

The hope was that to be a true theorem of mathematics was to be a consequence of the axioms of set theory together with Predicate Calculus. The incompleteness phenomena, demonstrated by Gödel (1931), revealed that all strong recursive theories are incomplete or inconsistent, and, furthermore, that no theory can provide a finite proof of its own consistency. Independent statements are not confined to a mathematically irrelevant, meta-mathematical periphery, either. The existence or nonexistence of a proper subset of real numbers with size different from both that of the natural numbers and the set of real numbers is independent of the axioms of set theory.[1]

Cantor (1932) (as quoted by Boolos (1971)) first defined a set as “any collection …into a whole of definite, well-distinguished objects of our intuition or thought,” but this broad conception, known as näive set theory, gives rise to paradox. Paradoxes arise when one attempts to create a set of all sets (the classical paradox of Bertrand Russell, likely independently discovered by Ernst Zermelo), a set of all cardinalities (Cantor’s Paradox), or a set of all ordinal numbers (Burali-Forti’s Paradox). The existence of such paradoxes led to the development of the more restrictive notion of iterative set. Iterative sets must be built from known objects, beginning with the non-sets (or urelements), if any are allowed. Typically, there are none, so the “set of nonsets” is empty. From the empty set, we can build a set that has the empty set as a member. Continuing in this way, taking the powerset at successor stages and the union at limit stages, we create the cumulative hierarchy V of all sets whose members were formed at a previous stage. The move to iterative sets eliminates the classical paradoxes of Russell, Zermelo, Cantor, and Burali-Forti.

The axioms of set theory laid out by Zermelo, together with contributions by Fraenkel, aim to formalize the notion of an iterative set. Taken together with the Axiom of Choice, they (ZFC) are the standard axioms of set theory. The ZFC axioms do not, however, have a single mathematical model. Given one model of set theory, it is possible to construct many more.

After proving the incompleteness theorems, Gödel demonstrated the relative consistency of the continuum hypothesis (CH) with the axioms of set theory by constructing an inner model L of V using only the definable sets (Gödel 1938). The construction of an inner model is unproblematic philosophically; we have a universe of sets V and, within that universe, we have a microcosm L that has no sets with size strictly between countable and the size of the continuum.

Building on Gödel’s work, Paul Cohen developed a technique for proving relative consistency results called forcing. The fundamental form of these results looks like this: If you can consistently have a model M that satisfies the axioms of set theory, then you can have one M[G] consistently satisfying the axioms of set theory and also the statement φ where φ can assert, for example, that the continuum is 2 (or, more generally, almost anything you want) (Cohen 1963). Taken together with Gödel’s proof that the existence of a model of ZFC implies the existence of a model of ZFC + CH, Cohen’s result gives an independence result: The axioms of ZFC do not determine the truth value of the continuum hypothesis.

Though many forcing arguments stop short of constructing a model exhibiting the relative consistency result they establish, they could in principle.[2] Therefore, for the purposes of this discussion, we will take those models to be constructed. The question we are left with is how to interpret M and M[G], especially in instances of class forcing in which one forces over V and obtains an extension V[G].[3]

The dilemma ascends. We can force over the forcing extension M[G] to construct M[G][H], another model of set theory that could satisfy a still-different set of sentences. How are we to interpret the multitude of incompatible models of set theory?

2.1 Interpreting Independence Results

Those who believe there to be a single concept of iterative set described by the axioms might explain that when doing set theory they are studying the one true universe of sets, V, described by the axioms of set theory. This view is called the universe (or Universist) view and is, historically, the default position of set theorists.

Another possibility is to take the models produced by forcing constructions to be an argument against the existence of a single, true universe of set theory. One can even adopt the perspective first put forward by Joel David Hamkins that there is not one concept of iterative set but many, each one instantiated by an equally valid universe of sets (Hamkins 2012). From this perspective, set theorists study a multiverse of universes that satisfy some or all of the axioms of set theory, no one universe fundamentally more correct or real than any other. Hamkins calls this perspective Set Theoretic Pluralism. Hamkins’s view is not the only conception of a multiverse of sets; others, including Hugh Woodin, John Steel, and Sy David Friedman have articulated multiverse theories less permissive than that of Hamkins. (Adopting a multiverse view does not commit one to a realist ontology. See, for example, S.-D. Friedman). Woodin’s Generic Multiverse is so restrictive it seems likely that Woodin actually ascribes to the universe view sometimes called Monist Platonist, according to which independent statements of set theory do have truth values and there does exist a distinguished universe V.

In addition to universe and multiverse views of set theory, a third possibility is that, in some essential way, we do not know what we are doing when we do set theory because the concept of iterative set is underdefined. Sol Feferman argues that “the continuum is neither a definite mathematical problem nor a definite logical problem” (Feferman n.d.) — and Michael Rathjen has proven Feferman’s conjecture that the continuum hypothesis is indefinite in the context of a particular semi-intuitionistic set theory (Rathjen 2016). Under Feferman’s view, set theory might not be a suitable foundation for mathematics.[4]

In the sequel we look at the study of set theory as measurements. Under that view one can consider the abundance of models of set theory to be an artifact of our measurements rather than an attribute of the universe itself; one can also take the various universes as independently existing, real (or formal) structures. Our interpretation of certain functions as measurements is thus compatible with the universe view without forbidding a multiverse interpretation of set theory.

3 Measurement in Science

A typical measurement uses a relationship between a better-understood abstract system and a physical system to gain insight into the physical system. In Section 4 we will propose that some set theoretic functions can be understood as measurements. In order to provide a framework for our claim, we first survey some basic questions in the philosophy of measurement.

3.1 Measurement Types and Scales

In this section we introduce types and scales of measurement. Types classify the nature of an act of measurement while scales classify the relational structures produced by the data.

Any act of measurement is an assignment of value from one relational structure to another. Measurements are either fundamental or not fundamental according to their measurement type. Measurements that can be obtained directly from the object of interest, like measurement of length of an object by a ruler, are called fundamental. In contrast, measurement of temperature is not fundamental because we cannot measure the temperature from the temperature itself. We must rely on an intermediary, such as the rate of expansion of a metal.

Measurement can be further classified by the nature of the data it generates, called the measurement scale. Although there is not complete agreement on the possible scales, we will give here the four most standard scales discussed in any introduction to statistics.

A nominal scale assigns labels (names) to objects in a consistent way. An example might be labeling each animal on a farm with the name of their species (e.g., horse, cow, dog, etc.).

In an ordinal scale, only the ordering on labels of the data is important: 3 is less than 4, or disagree is less than neutral. Ordinal scales are used for self-reports of satisfaction with anything from a taco to a visit to the Grand Canyon. In these situations, one person might consider a given taco to be a 2 while another person considers it to be a 4. Furthermore, the distance between 3 and 4 might not be the same as the distance between 1 and 2 or between 4 and 5, even for the same taco consumer. Averaging measurements of ordinal scales, although common practice, does not carry meaning about the objects being ordered.[5]

In contrast, the distance between the values of an interval scale is fixed and constant between values and therefore is meaningful. This is why, for example, we can convert between temperatures in Celsius and those in Fahrenheit by the familiar formula 9 5 C + 32 = F . Notice that we needed to add 32; that is because, while the interval between values is fixed, the zero-point of the scales is arbitrary.[6]

Ratio scales, like those for measuring length, volume, and area have a non-arbitrary zero point, and one can translate from inches to centimeters by multiplying by a ratio derived from the identity 1 inch = 2.54 centimeters.

What can reasonably be done with the numbers we obtain as measurements further differentiates measurements of length, temperature, and internal states. Measurement of length is additive; the sum of two measured lengths corresponds to the concatenation of the objects being measured. Measurement of temperature is not additive: 100° Fahrenheit is not “twice” 50° Fahrenheit, and summing ordinal measurements is not well-defined.

3.2 What can be Measured? And How?

Measurement is of sufficient general and mathematical interest to have attracted the efforts of Aristotle, Euclid, Gottfried Wilhelm Leibniz, Henri Poincaré, Bertrand Russell, Hermann von Hemholz, Patrick Suppes, and many others. Mathematicians have applied mathematical thinking to clarify what could or should be meant by a measurement, to offer axiomatizations for measurement, and to make explicit the underlying claims of measurement systems. In Section 4 we propose to reverse this effort and apply the theory of measurement to offer a possible interpretation of independence phenomena in set theory.

Because we are making the unconventional assertion that we can and do measure abstract, mathematical objects, we offer the reader a very brief account of the history and philosophy of measurement as they relate to the questions of what can be measured and how. For a more detailed treatment, see, e.g., (Tal 2020).

The idea that some categories are more amenable than others to numerical description is at least as old as Aristotle. In Categories (Barnes and Aristotle 2014) Aristotle took there to be quantities such as numbers, lines, and surfaces that could be compared by equality or inequality, but not by degrees, while qualities like justice, health, hotness, coolness, and paleness admit comparison by degrees, but not by equality. Even velocity, which we now routinely quantify, was considered a quality: Without a way to measure it in terms of quantities, speed could only be more fast or less fast, but two speeds could not be equal.

The notion of when one quantity measures another is explicit in Euclid: “a magnitude — such as a line, a surface or a solid — measures another when the latter is a whole multiple of the former” (Euclid (1908) Book V, def 1 & 2). Clearly, the measurement scale Euclid has in mind is a fundamental, additive, ratio scale.

The great fourteenth-century French philosopher and mathematician Nicole Oresme challenged many Aristotelian ideas, including his dichotomy between quantities and qualities. Using a geometric argument, Oresme described changes in velocity geometrically, demonstrating that velocity could be interpreted as a quality and as a quantity (Grant 1972; Sylla 1971; Tal 2020). In so doing, Oresme showed that at least some qualities could be meaningfully discussed as quantities.

Leibniz took this idea further: His “principle of continuity” claims that all natural changes are produced by degrees. It says that “nothing jumps in nature and that one thing cannot pass from one state to another without passing through all the other states that can be conceived of between them” (d’Alembert and Glaus 2008). Leibniz’s law of continuity seems to have influenced Kant, who parceled magnitudes into extensive and intensive. Length is the prototypical example of an extensive magnitude — one “wherein the presentation of the parts makes possible (and hence necessarily precedes) the presentation of the whole” (Kant 1998, p.234, A163/B203).

Just as Oresme’s work with velocity subverted Aristotle’s clear distinction between quality and quantity, the scientific developments of the nineteenth century undermined Kant’s distinction between intensive and extensive. Temperature, color, and even electrical conductance and resistance were broken down into pieces by theoretical and technological advancements, in spite of their not being composed of spacial or temporal parts; suddenly temperature was a question of velocity and color was one of wavelength.

Two more recently developed perspectives on measurement are the Representational Theory of Measurement (RTM) advanced by Patrick Suppes (and others) and model-based accounts of measurement. The essential idea of RTM is this: “A measurement scale is a many-to-one mapping — a homomorphism — from an empirical to a numerical relational structure, and measurement is the construction of scales” (Tal 2020). RTM was a response to the widespread effort to import ideas of measurement from the physical sciences into psychology. In their chapter in the Stevens’ Handbook of Experimental Psychology (Luce and Suppes 2002, p. 1), Luce and Suppes explain their motivation:

…by the 1940s a number of physicists and philosophers of physics concluded […] correctly, that the classical measurement models were for the most part unsuited to psychological phenomena. But they also concluded, incorrectly, that no scientifically sound psychological measurement is possible at all. In part, the theory of representational measurement was the response of some psychologists and other social scientists who were fairly well trained in the necessary physics and mathematics to understand how to modify in substantial ways the classical models of physical measurement to be better suited to psychological issues.

Model-based accounts of measurement emphasize that there are two levels at which a measurement is determined. The first is the actual process of interacting with the environment through measuring devices, and the second is the abstract framework — the model — in which we interpret the results of the first. “Model” in this context is used in the general mathematical and scientific sense rather than the logical one.

Model-based accounts of measurement recognize that one’s choice of model and modeling assumptions impact what we observe. They also suggest that the act of measurement does not read off an independently existent property from an object, but instead provides information that increases our knowledge about the object (Mari, Wilson, and Maul 2023).

Our discussions of measurement in set theory in Sections 4 and 6 emphasize RTM and model-based accounts of measurement.

4 Measurement in Set Theory

In this section we propose an interpretation of cardinality, cofinality, and order type as measurements and investigate their properties. Such measurements involve the construction of maps from classes of sets to classes of better-understood sets, namely the classes of cardinals and ordinals. These better-understood sets can be thought of as classifying sets. We will define the domain, classifying set, and map for each of cardinality, order type, and cofinality. We will then discuss the properties of the three measurements together in subsection 4.4.

4.1 Cardinality

Colloquially, one refers to the cardinality of a set as the “size of the set,” and we intuitively expect this type of measure to share properties with other measurements of size like length, area, and volume. For two sets A and B to have the same size means that there exists a bijection between A and B. The bijection pairs off the elements from one set with elements of the other in such as way that no element is left over from either set. A bijection between sets A and B demonstrates that the given sets have the same size, but it does not allow us to say the size of either set is something or another.

Naturally, if there is a bijection between sets A and B and between sets B and C, there is also a bijection between sets A and C. Because of this transitivity, the sizes of sets form equivalence classes. One could choose an arbitrary representative from each equivalence class to denote the size of the sets in that class, but a better generalization of counting is to use a distinguished class of objects, the cardinal numbers, as the representatives. A cardinal number is typically defined as an initial ordinal. For completeness, we briefly define ordinals and cardinals now.

In everyday life we count by enumerating: When we point at a plate of cookies and count one, two, three we are identifying a first, second, and third cookie. We consider the smallest (positive) natural number that has not yet been used, one, and assign it to the first cookie. To proceed we again assign the smallest natural number that has not yet been used, two, to the second cookie. Repeating this process until we run out of cookies, we say that the number of cookies is the last number we assigned.

For the natural numbers, a number’s position when counting (its place in the ordering) and its size (the number of elements it can count) coincide. For infinite sets, this is no longer the case, and we need to distinguish between an element’s position in the list of ordinals and its size. We consider ordinals first.

To extend the idea of assigning the “least numeral” to infinite sets, we need a linearly ordered class of sets to use as labels, and that class needs to have the property that every nonempty subset has a least element. The ordinals form exactly such a class.

There are many equivalent definitions that characterize when a set X is an ordinal; we’ll use the von Neumann ordinals. Identify 0 with the empty set, ∅. The set containing the empty set {∅} is 1, the set containing 0 and 1, namely {∅, {∅}}, is 2, and so on. Then the successor of an ordinal α, denoted by α + 1, is α ∪ {α}; whenever we have a set X of ordinals such that for every α in X, the successor of α is also in X, the first ordinal greater than every member of X is the limit ordinal ∪ X. We denote by ω the least ordinal greater than every (finite) natural number.

Cardinality can be described as a map from the class of all sets to the class of all cardinal numbers where the cardinality of a set A, denoted by |A|, is the (unique) least ordinal in the equivalence class of sets bijective with A. That initial ordinal is a cardinal.

Although each ordinal has one and only one cardinality, many ordinals can have the same cardinality; the cardinality map from the ordinals onto the cardinals is not one-to-one. For a measure of size, that’s not an alarming property. Many shoe boxes have the same length; many ordinals have the same cardinality.

Another property shared by cardinality and other measures of size such as length, area, and volume is additivity. Without loss of generality, assume sets A and B are disjoint, |A| = α, and |B| = β. Suppose we concatenate A and B by forming the union |AB|. If the cardinalities of both A and B are finite, then the cardinality of the their union is the sum of their cardinalities: |AB| = α + β = |A| + |B|. Now suppose α, the size of A, is less than or equal to β, the size of B, and that either α or β is infinite. Then the cardinality of their union |AB| is again equal to the sum of their cardinalities, α + β, which in this case is equal to β. Therefore, cardinality is additive. From here, however, the parallels with length become weaker.

In the context of forcing over a given ground model, both the ground model and the forcing extensions use their own sets to determine the size of a given set X. Consider a forcing that collapses cardinals and a set Y that is uncountable in the ground model M and countable in the extension M[G]. If the size of Y was not 1 in M, then the other uncountable cardinals smaller than |Y| in M are also collapsed to 0 in M[G]; there is no rational scaling factor, or indeed anything analogous, that can recover in M[G] the fact that those sets had different cardinalities in M. This suggests that each measurement of cardinality is meaningful only in the model in which it takes place.

4.2 Order Type

The cardinality of a set depends only on how many elements are in the set, not on any internal structure it might have. One could, however, reasonably wish to classify internal structure of sets as well. Intuitively, the order type of a set describes the properties of its order relation, and two sets have the same order type if and only if there is an order-preserving bijection between them. Specifically, two ordered sets A and B have the same order type if and only if there exists an order-preserving bijection f from A to B such that for any two elements x and y in A, if x ≤ y holds in A, then f(x) ≤ f(y) holds in B.

Although the order type of more general sets is of mathematical interest, we will restrict our conversation to well-ordered sets. A well-ordered set is a totally ordered set in which every non-empty subset has a least element. Preservation of order and bijection are transitive, so the order types of well ordered sets form equivalence classes. Every equivalence class of well-ordered sets has a unique ordinal number representative. Call that ordinal α the order type of the well-ordered set X.

In the physical universe of finite objects, the ideas can be arranged in a line of seven ordered objects and contains seven objects coincide, so there is no distinction between order type and cardinality. For infinite sets, the two ideas are distinct. Adding finitely many elements to an infinite set doesn’t change the cardinality of the set, but it can change its order type. Suppose we construct a set of order type ω + 1 by adding a maximal element to a set of order type ω; the cardinality of the new set is still 0, but we can no longer construct an order-preserving isomorphism between ω and ω + 1. On the other hand, if we take ω and add one element at the start of the ordered list, we get 1 + ω. There is an order-preserving bijection between 1 + ω and ω that maps the least element of ω to the least element of 1 + ω. This noncommutativity holds in general, with sums of increasing numbers of ordinals having an increasing number of possible values.[7]

4.3 Cofinality

Cofinality describes another aspect of the structure of an ordered set A. Given a subset B of A, say informally that B is cofinal in A if B contains elements as large as any element of A. That is, for every element a in A, there is an element b in B such that a ≤ b. The cardinality of the least such set B is the cofinality of A. Another description (equivalent if we allow the Axiom of Choice) is to say that the cofinality of a set A is the least ordinal β such that there is a function f from β to A with cofinal image. Specifically, for every a in A, there is an x in β with a ≤ f(x). In the sequel we will restrict our discussion to cofinalities of ordinals.

The cofinality of A is at most the cardinality of A, and many sets and many ordinals have cofinalities strictly smaller than their cardinalities. For example, ω ω has cardinality ω but confinality ω, as witnessed by the function f from ω to ω ω mapping n to ω n . For cardinals, the relative sizes of the cardinality and the cofinality of the set identify an important property: A cardinal κ is regular if it is equal to its own cofinality; otherwise it is singular.

Cohen’s method of forcing shows that ZFC is consistent with 2 0 = n for any positive natural number n; note that these are all regular cardinals. Indeed, cofinality considerations offer one of the few limits on the possibilities for the continuum. While cofinality can be changed by forcing, with sets of uncountable cofinality in the ground model having countable cofinality in the forcing extension, the continuum 2 0 cannot be forced to be the singular cardinal ω .

4.4 Properties of Measurements of Cardinality, Cofinality, and Order Type

In our everyday speech, we talk about the cardinality, the order type, and the cofinality of a set in a way that suggests that we expect a given set to have exactly one measurement of each of these attributes. However, properties witnessed by functions are vulnerable to changes by forcing, suggesting that these measurements are not fundamental.

Recall that fundamental measurements can be read from the object itself without an intermediary. Initially one might expect that it is possible to measure the cardinality, order type, and cofinality directly from a given set and that these measurements would be resilient to changes is measurement tools and observers in ways similar to the measurement of length of ordinary objects under ordinary circumstances: Except in extreme conditions, the length of a metal rod is unchanged by its environment, and the measurement of that length is independent of the environment and measurement system (up to the tolerance of the instruments and the skill of the people operating them).

The properties of sets discussed in this section do not demonstrate such resilience. Within a given model a set has one and only one cardinality, order type, and cofinality (even if we don’t know what they are), but those values might be different in an inner or outer model. In scientific measurement, we expect that if we are using two different proxies for temperature (such as the expansion of two different metals), we will still arrive at the same measurement. If we didn’t, we would reject one or both of the proxies. On the other hand, we expect the distance between two points to vary with (but not within) the geometry in which we've chosen to measure it. In general we have a sense of which geometry is appropriate for a given question, and we consider a correctly computed measurement in a different geometry (called a measurement-model below) to be incorrect or inapplicable. Here set theory is unlike geometry, where we have highly attuned intuition based on millennia of cumulative embodied experience.

In the broader scientific community, one tries to find models that fit phenomena of interest. These models, even when excellent for their specific application, are not always compatible with one another. General relativity and quantum mechanics are a paradigmatic example: Both seem correct where they are intended to apply, and neither can be meaningfully interpreted in the other. In this sense, we cannot say that either is a model of physical universe in its entirety.

One way to accommodate a Universist or Monist Platonist perspective is to view the models of set theory as scientific models — approximations of the true universe of sets that we perhaps don’t yet (and may never) have the knowledge to measure. Such a stance would permit that the study of models of set theory is itself of interest without demanding a commitment to the ontological status of said models. It would also allow one to adopt new axioms that settle questions like the continuum hypothesis without rejecting the diversity of models of set theory. The array of multiverse views can also be articulated in this framework.

Mathematicians have thousands of years of experience with addition and multiplication of natural numbers. On the strength of that experience and its correspondence to the ordinary world, we are confident that we can discern the standard model of arithmetic from the nonstandard ones. The existence of nonstandard models of the theory of arithmetic does not necessitate a multiverse of models of arithmetic on the natural numbers, all of them equally ontologically real. Instead, one can (and some do) accept the uncountably many non-isomorphic nonstandard models of arithmetic as consequences of the machinery, as mathematically interesting in their own right, and as useful for understanding the limits of what can be specified in the formal language in which we do mathematics.

Before proceeding, we make a small remark on the word “measureable” in set theory. Descriptive set theory explores the deep connections between measures in analysis that generalize the protypical additive ratio measures of the physical world, like those of length and area, and various descriptions of the size of a set. Two different measures might classify the same set with different values. For example, one measure might classify an interval of real numbers with its length while another measure might classify it with the cardinality of the set of points in the interval. Measurable cardinals are those that admit a two-valued measure with certain properties; essentially they classify all subsets as either large (measure 1) or small (measure 0). Though one could consider such a classification a measurement, attempting such an account is not within the scope of this paper, and the possibility of such an account does not alter the philosophical observations about measurement in set theory made in the coming sections.

In the sequel we will call the perspective of a set theorist (including but not limited to the axioms, models, and tools such as forcings they choose to use) their measurement-model. By this we mean the model (in the sense of scientific model) they are using to conduct their measurements. Our basic contention is that the properties of sets that we measure are not independent of the measurement-model in which they take place. They depend on the instrumentation (e.g., axiom system and models) used to measure them, which are themselves a reflection of the relative position of the observer.

5 Limitations of Measurement in the Physical World

Some mathematicians have the sense that we understand the abstract world much better than we do physical reality. Hamkins, for example, has expressed that it is not the abstract world that is problematic and the physical world that is well-understood. Instead “physical existence is the one that’s deeply mysterious” and there might be no one who “can give any kind of sensible account for what it means to exist physically” (Hamkins 2023).

Certiainly the study of the physical and abstract worlds has revealed startling and surprising voids in what can be known in each. While acknowledging that the methods of gaining knowledge in mathematics and the empirical sciences are different in key ways (see, as a small sample of a large and diverse literature, Benacerraf (1973); Maddy (1992); and Tait (1986) for some relevant discussion), we wish to examine some limitations of measurement in the empirical sciences for their potential analogy with measurement in set theory.[8]

Albert Einstein’s 1905 paper on special relativity introduced a number of counterintuitive properties of measurements of moving bodies (Einstein 1905). We’ll discuss three. First, when two observers are in motion relative to one another, events that appear simultaneous to one observer might not appear so to the other. Second, measurement of time itself is relative: A clock on a fast-moving airplane, for example, ticks more slowly than a stationary one on the ground, as was famously demonstrated by the Hafele-Keating experiment conducted in 1971 (Hafele and Keating 1972). Finally, even length, our standard-bearer of what it means to be measurable, is subject to contraction along the dimension of motion. Suppose an object is moving close to the speed of light relative to an observer who is at rest. The observer would measure the length of the moving object to be shorter than when the object is measured at rest. Each of these three properties of moving bodies produces a plurality of measurements where we would have expected agreement; in each, the observer (whether human or instrument) is a non-negligible part of the measurement system.

The analogy for measurement in set theory is imperfect but illustrative. The main idea is that, in choosing a measurement-model, set theorists influence the answers to the questions they ask. A set is uncountable from one perspective and countable from another. Still, the difference in the length of a metal rod at rest and at high velocity doesn’t cause us to believe that there are two different rods or to doubt the existence of the rod. Perhaps the fact that measurements of the cardinality, order type, or cofinality of a set (such as the continuum) change between measurement-models is not an indication of a plurality of models with equal ontological status but instead an artifact of the measurement-models used to measure them.

After Einstein’s work on the universe at a large scale, subsequent developments in quantum mechanics showed that the very smallest things in the universe, the building blocks of our reality, are unmeasurable in important ways. Heisenberg’s uncertainty principle first established mathematically what experiments later verified: We cannot simultaneously know the position and velocity of certain subatomic particles (Heisenberg 1927). It isn’t only that a single measurement won’t give us both pieces of information; the act of measurement changes the state of the system, so repeated measurement only gives partial information about the new state of the system. If subatomic reality has a true state, we cannot know what it is.

One can see at least superficial echos of this in set theory. Consider, for example, forcing constructions that allow one to specify the desired cardinality of a set but not its cofinality. The analogy is not perfect; one would likely expect the position and the velocity of a particle to change with time, while one would not conventionally expect the cardinality and cofinality of a set to change. Still, it is another occasion to observe in set theory the role of the one performing the measurement and their chosen measurement-model.

As Alan Turing remarked in an unpublished essay (A. Turing 1932, p. 63):

It used to be supposed in Science that if everything was known about the Universe at any particular moment then we can predict what it will be through all the future. …More modern science however has come to the conclusion that when we are dealing with atoms and electrons we are quite unable to know the exact state of them; our instruments being made of atoms and electrons themselves.

We can see the specter of self-reference in Turing’s reflection. Regardless of whether we discuss the physical world at a large scale or a small one, measurements are not independent of the people and instruments making the measurements. Gödel showed that even something as pure as arithmetic is not free from the pathological consequences of the type of self-reference we see in the liar paradox, and as a result, arithmetic (if consistent) cannot prove all of its own true statements. Turing demonstrated that there is no general process (no program) that can determine whether or not a given formula is provable (Turing 1937).

In the work of both Gödel and Turing, the thing about which we are reasoning can be used to encode statements about the thing about which we are reasoning. Our situation is not dissimilar. Every model of set theory is trying to use its own sets to measure the properties of its own sets.

The examples of relativity and inaccessibility of measurement in the physical world have cohesive theories able to account for them. In the context of set theory, such an account would need to address the question of how to interpret the many models of set theory. In so doing, it would take a step toward a principle challenge in the philosophy of set theory, the development of what Hugh Woodin in his 2015 Rothschild lecture called “a convincing philosophy of truth” (Woodin 2015).

In the next section, we propose translations of existing positions in the philosophy of set theory into the language of measurement.

6 Measurement and the Multiverse

The work of Alfred Tarski gives conditions for the truth of sentences in a model. However, by Tarski’s undecidability theorem, we cannot define arithmetic truth within arithmetic (for example), and so there will be no model of set theory able to declare itself the one that correctly proves true set theoretic statements (Tarski 1936). Among multiverse views, some are pluralist about ontology and some about truth values (see, e.g., Koellner (2013)). We will focus on interpreting pluralism (or not) about ontology, about what such an interpretation means for set theory as a foundation of mathematics, and on questions relating to the concept of iterative set.

6.1 What Qualifies as a Concept of Set?

The mathematical universes created by forcing (and other model construction techniques) do agree, by and large, on classical mathematics. Hamkins argues that, “since one expects to find all the familiar classical mathematical objects and structures inside any one of the universes in the multiverse” (Hamkins 2012), set theory can still offer a realist foundation for classical mathematics — even if we accept all of these universes as equally extant, real, and valid. Though they all exist, Hamkins notes, “we may prefer some of the universes in the multiverse to others, and there is no obligation to consider them all as somehow equal” (Hamkins 2012).

The expansive multiverse view of Hamkins is maximally accommodating of mathematical practice. It asserts, in some sense, that if a mathematical model feels real — namely, if it was constructed using what we recognize as valid mathematical methods — then it is real. Under this view, there can be no classical resolution to the continuum hypothesis of the sort longed for by David Hilbert (1902). The value of the continuum is the spectrum of possibilities it satisfies in all the possible worlds satisfying the hypotheses of set theory and nothing more.

And what are these universes of set theory? Hamkins suggests that they are instantiations of different concepts of set, remarking in his groundbreaking paper The Set-Theoretic Multiverse (Hamkins 2012) that for the purposes of that article he “shall simply identify a set concept with the model of set theory to which it gives rise.”

Although Hamkins does not provide an argument in favor of this interpretation in that paper, we give one against it here and suggest it is more plausible that the multitude of models generated by forcing arguments are an artifact of mathematical tools we use to measure sets than that they constitute so many distinct concepts of set. We will subsequently consider what coherence, if any, it is reasonable to ask of said models.

Mathematicians and philosophers have grappled with identifying different concepts of set and their consequences for 150 years. In his recent book Conceptions of Set and the Foundations of Mathematics, for example, philosopher Luca Incurvati illustrates how different conceptions of set give rise to mathematically and philosophically discernible distinctions (Incurvati 2020).

To diagnose the origins of the paradoxes of naïve set theory and distinguish the concept of iterative set was significant mathematical and philosophical work. For many working set theorists, these are the only two concepts of set they know. What, then, would it mean for every model of set theory to be its own instantiation of a concept of set? It seems unlikely that each is an identifiable concept of set in the same way as the naïve and iterative concepts of set. Furthermore, there is no evidence that this is the case. There are not, for example, some small number of the universes of set theory that do give rise to distinct concepts of set in this sense and thereby justify the possibility that they might all do so.

Much more likely is the possibility that Hamkins has something different in mind when he suggests that these models can be taken as instantiations of different concepts of set. The question is: what does he mean by concept of set? The Wittgensteinian idea that a concept of set is what a concept of set does could be interpreted as a kind of formalism rather than a realist account of the inevitable consequences of the concept of iterative set. Formalism is clearly not what Hamkins has in mind, however, especially as he offers set theoretic pluralism as a realist foundation for mathematics. We proceed under the assumption that there is not sufficient evidence to consider the models of set theory to be models of distinct concepts of iterative set. In what follows, we consider them to be models in the scientific sense: approximations in which we can perform and analyze measurements.

6.2 The Multiverse as a Foundation for Mathematics

Perhaps all we really need for a multiverse to provide a foundation for mathematics is agreement on the Π 1 0 sentences that describe what Steel calls “concrete mathematics” (Steel 2014) and protection of some sort against forming questions that appear mathematical but are actually gibberish. One could consider that a prerequisite to saying the same thing is using the same language; Steel’s multiverse project addresses these syntactic issues.

Steel works to build a unifying language and a unifying framework to “maximize interpretative power” and provide a common ground for the development of all current and future mathematics (Steel 2014, p. 2). Rather than be content with agreement on classical mathematics, Steel proposes to build a framework that can serve all the universes in the multiverse using the large cardinal hierarchy. Whether we lose expressive power when moving from the language of set theory to the multiverse language and whether there is a unique world called a core (similar to a universe) that must be contained in every other world in the multiverse are important questions.

A Monist Platonist might view the forcing extensions as (scientific) models of a measurement giving information about a single true universe of set theory, V. To make the (scientific) modeling assumption that convergence of those models accords with proximity to truth in V is akin to positing the existence of a core of the multiverse, namely that universe onto which they are converging.

Hugh Woodin’s generic multiverse is the collection of possible universes of sets generated by closure of any given model of set theory under generic extensions and refinements (Woodin 2011). A sentence is true in the generic multiverse if and only if it holds in every universe of the multiverse generated by forcing over V.[9] Then, assuming a proper class of Woodin cardinals and that the Ω-Conjecture is true, Woodin argues that the generic multiverse position reduces truth about the universe to truth in a small fragment of the universe (Woodin 2011, p. 2).

For very interesting technical developments beyond the scope of this paper, we refer the interested reader to the work of Gunter Fuchs, Hamkins, and Jonas Reitz in set theoretic geology (Fuchs, Hamkin, and Reitz 2015), to Toshimichi Usuba’s recent result that the existence of an extendible cardinal[10] implies that the mantle is a ground model of V (Usuba 2019), and to Gabriel Goldberg’s proof that the assumption of an extendible cardinal in Usuba’s result cannot be weakened (Goldberg 2021).[11] The aforementioned body of work speaks directly to the possible existence of a core in the sense of Steel, but there is not yet a generally agreed upon interpretation of the results, or of Usuba’s theorem in particular. Some, such as Steel, see the results as evidence of a core but have certain reservations (for details, see Steel (2024)), others, Hugh Woodin in particular, consider Usuba’s result definitive proof that the generic multiverse does have a core (Woodin 2023).

6.3 Moderate Multiverse Views

Other multiverse views fall somewhere between those of set theoretic pluralism and the generic multiverse.

Peter Koellner, who refers to the multiverse view as the pluralist view and the universe view as non-pluralist view, posits that one can be a non-pluralist with respect to one theory and pluralist with respect to another. For example, citing a view he ascribes to Feferman, he asserts that “many people would agree that a Π 1 0 statement like the Reimann Hypothesis has a determinate truth value but CH does not” (Koellner 2013). He describes a hierarchy of positions one might take, being non-pluralist up to a certain theory in the interpretability hierarchy and a pluralist beyond it. For example, one could be a non-pluralist about ZFC but a pluralist about CH.

Neil Barton has written extensively on various forms of potentialism (which we will define shortly), on the question of whether there is a single, maximal universe of sets or a multiverse of sets, and on challenges posed to the universe view by the seeming mathematical reality of forcing extensions, especially class forcing extensions of V. He also offers ways a Universist might interpret certain forcing extensions in the context of forcing over a countable transitive model of ZFC (Barton 2020).

Caroline Antos, Sy-David Friedman, Radek Honzik, and Claudio Ternullo describe possible positions on the multiverse in terms of whether one considers it possible to add anything to V (Antos et al. 2015). They call a person that considers V to be an actual (maximal) object that cannot be modified an actualist. According to this position, any perceived changes to V (such as extension by forcing) are actually occurring inside V. A potentialist position asserts that V can never be fully fixed, even though there are unchangeable portions of V. These positions are not absolute: A person could be an actualist with respect to the height of the universe and a maximalist with respect to width, for example. Height actualism is the position that the height of V is fixed. Height potentialism asserts that it is possible to add new ordinals to V. Width actualism, similarly is the position that no new subsets can be added to V, while width potentialism allows that new subsets can always be added. They argue for a hybrid position that is actualist in width but potentialist in height, attributing that basic idea to Zermelo (1930). That position serves the development of the Hyperuniverse Programme (see Arrigoni and Friedman (2013)).

The multiverse conceptions mentioned here share an expectation that all universes in the multiverse have some fragment in common; they differ on the extent and nature of that overlap. For a more robust understanding of the set theoretic pluralism put forth by Hamkins, see Hamkins (2012); for Steel’s multiverse, see Steel (2014), Maddy and Meadows (2020), and Steel (2024); for more on Woodin’s generic multiverse, see Woodin (2011); for an account of arguments Woodin has made against the generic multiverse, see Meadows (2021). For a general discussion of set theory as a foundation of mathematics in light of multiverse arguments, see Maddy (2017).

We propose that interpreting the plethora of models of set theory as scientific models of the concept of set is compatible with the universe view without forbidding a multiverse interpretation of set theory.

7 Final Thoughts and Open Questions

Many practicing mathematicians feel that when they do mathematics they are learning about extant objects, even if they gain knowledge-that rather than knowledge-of. As they are most commonly presented, both the universe view and the multiverse view of set theory are essentially realist, even if only realist about the sense made by the structures we generate when we study mathematics. The existence of a structure, whether generated by the axioms and rules of inference of mathematicians or mind-independent, gives us grounds for asking questions about how to measure it.

Ours is a preliminary investigation, and we are offering a line of inquiry rather than firm conclusions. We close the paper with a number of questions whose answers we believe could be illuminating.

Forcing constructions generate models of set theory in which, for example, the continuum can take almost any value we want. The most lenient of multiverse views takes all of these models to have equal ontological status. What new perspective do we get if we consider them instead to be models in the general mathematical sense? Specifically, if we consider them to be approximations of an underlying structure based on modeling assumptions?

We’ve offered initial suggestions in the previous section, but there is much left to explore.

Forcing adds measurement tools analogous to quantum measurement; whatever model we begin with, we have access to one where different measurements can be observed after any nontrivial forcing. What if measurement of size in set theory is sensitive to the same challenges as measurement in the physical world? If we view the models generated by forcing as models in which we take measurements fragile to our modeling assumptions, does that permit us to demand certain kinds of cohesiveness without nullifying the interesting mathematics that leads to incompatible measurements? What would the community of set theorists want and expect of measurements of set theoretic properties?

Many other functions of set theory could also be considered measurements and analyzed as such. Perhaps a robust understanding of these interacting measurements can give a more detailed account of the seeming plurality of universes of set theory and how they might — or might not — form a cohesive whole.


Corresponding author: Sheila K. Miller Edwards, Arizona State University, Glendale, USA, E-mail:

Funding source: Friedman received partial support for this work from a PSC CUNY grant.

Acknowledgments

Miller Edwards would like to thank the Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences, Cambridge, for support and hospitality during the programme Mathematical, foundational and computational aspects of the higher infinite, where work on this paper was undertaken. This work was supported by EPSRC grant EP/K032208/1. Several people shared helpful feedback on early versions of this manuscript. The authors would like to thank Rick Sommer for helpful conversations and Allen Mann and the annonymous referees for their careful reading, comments, and suggestions. Their efforts lead to many improvements in the manuscript.

  1. Research funding: Friedman received partial support for this work from a PSC CUNY grant.

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Received: 2023-05-16
Accepted: 2025-04-04
Published Online: 2025-05-22

© 2025 the author(s), published by De Gruyter, Berlin/Boston

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