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Geo-information system of tuberculosis spread based on inversion and prediction

  • Sergey Kabanikhin , Olga Krivorotko ORCID logo EMAIL logo , Aliya Takuadina , Darya Andornaya and Shuhua Zhang
Published/Copyright: September 1, 2020

Abstract

The monitoring, analysis and prediction of epidemic spread in the region require the construction of mathematical model, big data processing and visualization because the amount of population and the size of the region could be huge. One of the important steps is refinement of mathematical model, i.e. determination of initial data and coefficients of system of differential equations of epidemiologic processes using additional information. We analyze numerical method for solving inverse problem of epidemiology based on genetic algorithm and traditional optimization approach. Our algorithms are applied to analysis and prediction of epidemic situation in regions of Russian Federation, Republic of Kazakhstan and People’s Republic of China. Due to a great amount of data we use a special software ”Digital Earth” for visualization of epidemic.

MSC 2010: 65L09

Award Identifier / Grant number: 18-71-10044

Funding statement: This work is supported by the Russian Science Foundation (project No. 18-71-10044).

Acknowledgements

Authors are grateful to Igor Marinin for the help in construction of prediction map with GIS “Digital Earth”.

References

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Received: 2020-02-21
Revised: 2020-03-11
Accepted: 2020-03-15
Published Online: 2020-09-01
Published in Print: 2021-02-01

© 2020 Walter de Gruyter GmbH, Berlin/Boston

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