Abstract
We conduct a preliminary analysis of the first 200 days of the Donald Trump presidency, to determine who his principal allies in the US House have been. We build our analysis around three groups of Republicans, based on caucus affiliations: members of the Republican Main Street Partnership (RMSP), the Republican Study Committee (RSC), and the House Freedom Caucus (HFC). We find that House Republicans, regardless off caucus membership, broadly support President Trump and largely shared in the his electoral success. Yet, we also uncover suggestive evidence that the HFC is maneuvering into a position of influence with President Trump. Freedom Caucus members are more closely tied to his electoral performance than members of other conservative groups, and they appear to receive more time with the President relative to a comparable group of House Republicans. While these results are interesting, they are also initial and more time is needed to assess how President Trump builds a winning coalition with Republican House members.
References
DiSalvo, Daniel. 2012. Engines of Change: Party Factions in American Politics, 1868–2010. New York: Oxford University Press.10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199891702.001.0001Search in Google Scholar
Dunn, Susan. 2010. Roosevelt’s Purge: How FDR Fought to Change the Democratic Party. Cambridge: Harvard University Press.Search in Google Scholar
Iacus, Stefano M., Gary King, and Giuseppe Porro. 2012. “Causal Inference Without Balance Checking: Coarsened Exact Matching.” Political Analysis 20 (1): 1–24.10.1093/pan/mpr013Search in Google Scholar
Lee, Frances E. 2009. Beyond Ideology: Politics, Principles and Partisanship in the U.S. Senate. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.10.7208/chicago/9780226470771.001.0001Search in Google Scholar
Lee, Frances E. 2016. Insecure Majorities: Congress and the Perpetual Campaign. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.10.7208/chicago/9780226409184.001.0001Search in Google Scholar
Lucas, DeWayne, and Iva E. Deutchman. 2007. “The Ideology of Moderate Republicans in the House.” The Forum 5 (2): 1–19.10.2202/1540-8884.1146Search in Google Scholar
McCarty, Nolan, and Boris Shor. 2015. “Partisan Polarization in the United States: Diagnoses and Avenues for Reform.” Working Paper, available at http://projects.iq.harvard.edu/files/pegroup/files/mccartyshor2015.pdf.10.2139/ssrn.2714013Search in Google Scholar
McCarty, Nolan, Keith Poole, and Howard Rosenthal. 2016. Polarized America: The Dance of Ideology and Unequal Riches. 2nd ed. Cambridge: MIT Press.Search in Google Scholar
Milkis, Sydney M. 1985. “Franklin D. Roosevelt and The Transcendence of Partisan Politics.” Political Science Quarterly 100 (3): 4789–4504.10.2307/2151069Search in Google Scholar
Poole, Keith T., and Howard Rosenthal. 2007. Ideology and Congress. New Brunswick: Transaction.Search in Google Scholar
Price, Charles M., and Joseph Boskin. 1966. “The Roosevelt ‘Purge’: A Reappraisal.” The Journal of Politics 28 (3): 660–670.10.2307/2128161Search in Google Scholar
©2017 Walter de Gruyter GmbH, Berlin/Boston
Articles in the same Issue
- Frontmatter
- Introduction
- Who are President Trump’s Allies in the House of Representatives?
- Trump, Congress, and Health Care: All Politics Is National
- No Deal: Donald Trump’s Leadership of Congress
- Trump and the Republican Congress: The Challenges of Governing
- President Trump and Congressional Republicans: Uncertain Teamwork in the 115th Congress
- Donald Trump, the Public, and Congress: The First 7 Months
- The Shadow of Executive Privilege
- The Struggle to Govern in the Trump White House: Competing Power Centers, Personalities, and World Visions The First 7 Months
- ‘I Alone Can Fix It’ Donald Trump, the Administrative Presidency, and Hazards of Executive-Centered Partisanship
- Book reviews
- Hiding Politics in Plain Sight
- Progressive Federalism
- Relic: How Our Constitution Undermines Effective Government and Why We Need a More Powerful Presidency
Articles in the same Issue
- Frontmatter
- Introduction
- Who are President Trump’s Allies in the House of Representatives?
- Trump, Congress, and Health Care: All Politics Is National
- No Deal: Donald Trump’s Leadership of Congress
- Trump and the Republican Congress: The Challenges of Governing
- President Trump and Congressional Republicans: Uncertain Teamwork in the 115th Congress
- Donald Trump, the Public, and Congress: The First 7 Months
- The Shadow of Executive Privilege
- The Struggle to Govern in the Trump White House: Competing Power Centers, Personalities, and World Visions The First 7 Months
- ‘I Alone Can Fix It’ Donald Trump, the Administrative Presidency, and Hazards of Executive-Centered Partisanship
- Book reviews
- Hiding Politics in Plain Sight
- Progressive Federalism
- Relic: How Our Constitution Undermines Effective Government and Why We Need a More Powerful Presidency