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Donald, tell us how: Futurecasting principles for empowering human-centered design
-
Wei Liu
, Xin Xin , Yancong Zhu , Di Zhu and Ruonan Huang
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Chapters in this book
- Frontmatter 1
- CONTENTS 4
- Foreword 9
- Introduction 12
-
PRELIMINARY CONDITIONS
-
People, teams, and identity
- Settling-in to the future: An organizational identity perspective 50
- Dos and don’ts of futurecasting 60
- Statement 66
- A transformative entrepreneurial journey: Addressing corporate future challenges with innovation and intrapreneurship 70
- Statement 78
-
Counterfactual thinking and imagination
- Harnessing imagination to improve strategic decision-making 82
- How we imagine the future 92
- Stories to imagine alternate futures 102
- Not-knowing as a heuristic of its own: Certain uncertainties in futures research 112
-
Ambitions, objectives, and sensemaking
- Beyond the death sentence of striving for better futures: Can humanity hear the universe? 124
- Dealing with the future: Exploring ways to remain ambitious while putting a piece of yourself into the future you are looking for 130
- Statement 142
- Enabling desired futures at Arup 144
- INTERVIEW 152
-
FUTURECASTING WITH DATA
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Making probable futures discernible through facts
- Learning and transforming with planetary futures 166
- Statement 180
- Futures thinking: Anticipating society’s embedding of new & emerging technologies 182
- Data dilemmas: The material and the imaginary 190
- Donald, tell us how: Futurecasting principles for empowering human-centered design 200
- INTERVIEW 210
-
FUTURECASTING WITH FICTION
-
Making futures plausible through cognitive experience
- Science fiction is a Luddite literature 222
- Except in science fiction? Why you can get there from here 224
- Future perfect? Telling better stories about AI and technology 232
- Teaching critical optimism: Seven lessons from a decade of sci-fi prototyping 242
- Statement 252
- Using diegetic prototypes to create a future worth living in 256
- Plausible futures: Cognitively balancing complexity, corroboration, & conjecture in futurecasting 270
- The Iron Fist and The Velvet Glove: “The future simulator” 286
- INTERVIEW 292
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FUTURECASTING WITH MATTER
-
Making futures plausible with bodily experience
- In praise of vacuums 308
- Experiential insight: When we do, we understand 318
- Statement 328
- Embodying futures: The transformative power of embodied learning experiences 334
- Statement 348
- Cultivating creativity and freeing the imagination: The case for participatory futuring 350
- Future making, futurecasting, and matter: The Berlin-Brandenburg International Airport case study 366
- The dilemmas & delights of corporate tomorrowing 380
- Using the power of gameworlds 394
- How to make futures plausible? Personal experiences from EU policymaking 408
- Leaning into the unknown: Insights into an immersive method of co-creation 420
-
AFTERTHOUGHTS
-
What we can learn for practice
- Beyond the obvious: Re-imagining corporate strategy 434
- What did I take away as a practitioner? 446
- Contributor biographies 457
- Acknowledgement 470
Chapters in this book
- Frontmatter 1
- CONTENTS 4
- Foreword 9
- Introduction 12
-
PRELIMINARY CONDITIONS
-
People, teams, and identity
- Settling-in to the future: An organizational identity perspective 50
- Dos and don’ts of futurecasting 60
- Statement 66
- A transformative entrepreneurial journey: Addressing corporate future challenges with innovation and intrapreneurship 70
- Statement 78
-
Counterfactual thinking and imagination
- Harnessing imagination to improve strategic decision-making 82
- How we imagine the future 92
- Stories to imagine alternate futures 102
- Not-knowing as a heuristic of its own: Certain uncertainties in futures research 112
-
Ambitions, objectives, and sensemaking
- Beyond the death sentence of striving for better futures: Can humanity hear the universe? 124
- Dealing with the future: Exploring ways to remain ambitious while putting a piece of yourself into the future you are looking for 130
- Statement 142
- Enabling desired futures at Arup 144
- INTERVIEW 152
-
FUTURECASTING WITH DATA
-
Making probable futures discernible through facts
- Learning and transforming with planetary futures 166
- Statement 180
- Futures thinking: Anticipating society’s embedding of new & emerging technologies 182
- Data dilemmas: The material and the imaginary 190
- Donald, tell us how: Futurecasting principles for empowering human-centered design 200
- INTERVIEW 210
-
FUTURECASTING WITH FICTION
-
Making futures plausible through cognitive experience
- Science fiction is a Luddite literature 222
- Except in science fiction? Why you can get there from here 224
- Future perfect? Telling better stories about AI and technology 232
- Teaching critical optimism: Seven lessons from a decade of sci-fi prototyping 242
- Statement 252
- Using diegetic prototypes to create a future worth living in 256
- Plausible futures: Cognitively balancing complexity, corroboration, & conjecture in futurecasting 270
- The Iron Fist and The Velvet Glove: “The future simulator” 286
- INTERVIEW 292
-
FUTURECASTING WITH MATTER
-
Making futures plausible with bodily experience
- In praise of vacuums 308
- Experiential insight: When we do, we understand 318
- Statement 328
- Embodying futures: The transformative power of embodied learning experiences 334
- Statement 348
- Cultivating creativity and freeing the imagination: The case for participatory futuring 350
- Future making, futurecasting, and matter: The Berlin-Brandenburg International Airport case study 366
- The dilemmas & delights of corporate tomorrowing 380
- Using the power of gameworlds 394
- How to make futures plausible? Personal experiences from EU policymaking 408
- Leaning into the unknown: Insights into an immersive method of co-creation 420
-
AFTERTHOUGHTS
-
What we can learn for practice
- Beyond the obvious: Re-imagining corporate strategy 434
- What did I take away as a practitioner? 446
- Contributor biographies 457
- Acknowledgement 470