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Is Fiscal Policy Procyclical in the Euro Area?

  • Florence Huart
Published/Copyright: November 30, 2019

Abstract

We test the relationship between the cyclically adjusted primary balance and alternative indicators of cyclical conditions for the euro area and 18 OECD countries over the period 1970-2009. A countercyclical stance of discretionary fiscal policy is found during bad times after 1999 in the euro area as a whole and in a few member countries only (France, Ireland and The Netherlands). It is also associated with high public deficits or low public debts. There is no significant case of procyclical fiscal policy after 1999, neither in good times nor in bad times.

Published Online: 2019-11-30
Published in Print: 2013-02-01

© 2019 by Walter de Gruyter Berlin/Boston

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